Red Sox vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - August 21, 2024

Red Sox at Astros

12:10 am • SCHN
6 - 5
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Ronel Blanco logoR.BlancoHouston Astros logo2.8013-6
Nick Pivetta logoN.PivettaBoston Red Sox logo4.146-12

Red Sox at Astros Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox
0-0
-1.5
-1.5+150
o8.5-115
-108
Astros
0-2
u8
+1.5-178
u8.5-105
-110
location pinWednesday 12:10 a.m.
August 21, 2024
Minute Maid ParkHouston
Red Sox vs. Astros Expert Picks
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
85d ago
Last 30d: 219-227-3 (+3.3u)
Under 8.5+105
1u
good strikeout pitchers take the under Overall: 326-225-18,59% (ROI:14%) Season:26-17-2,60% (ROI:16%)
HOU -105
1u
home teams on hot days Overall: 660-533-0,55% (ROI:11%) Season:30-31-0,49% (ROI:-3%)
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
85d ago
Last 30d: 58-63-1 (-10.9u)
Over 8.5+100
1u
Picks  Office
Picks Office
86d ago
Last 30d: 88-110-3 (-29.3u)
BOS +100
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Offensively, Boston has been one of the best in the league: 4th in runs per game at 4.94, 2nd in batting average at .261, 3rd in OPS at .767, and 5th in home runs with 157. This definitely gives them an edge over Houston, who is only 12th in runs per game, which hardly suggests they will have an easy time in keeping up with Boston's scoring. Nick Pivetta, who has a record of 5-8, does bring value with his solid WHIP of 1.13 and a respectable 4.41 ERA. Along with that, he has prevented base runners well and struck out 123 in 100.1 IP, so his potential to do so is huge against this Houston lineup who has shown the tendency to strike out. On the other side, Ronel Blanco has been dependable overall but has fallen off recently with a 2.13 WHIP and 7.61 ERA over his last three starts. Given Blanco's present form, Boston's powerful lineup will be well-positioned to exploit it and secure an early lead. A slight concern remains in Boston's bullpen—3.62 ERA this season—that has recently lost some steam, posting a 7.61 ERA over the past three games. If Pivetta can go deep into the game, that really should mitigate the recent struggles of the bullpen to a degree. Additionally, the recent win by Boston in the series, 5-4, shows their capability to perform in clutch situations and on the road, where they have an impressive record of 36-27. This resilience is critical considering the Red Sox are pitching against a Houston team with quite a solid, though not unbeatable, home record of 35-27. Add in umpire Nate Tomlinson's history of favoring away teams, 13-8, and the situation really begins to set up in Boston's favor for what should be a closely contested game. Boston certainly has enough firepower offensively—with Rafael Devers anchoring it, hitting .297 on the year and slugging 27 home runs—to at least challenge Blanco and turn his mistakes into hay.
Mark  Franco
Mark Franco
86d ago
Last 30d: 3-0-0 (+3.0u)
HOU -115
1.15u
JB Bets
JB Bets
86d ago
Last 30d: 67-70-0 (+4.7u)
HOU -110
1u
Sir Lockselot
Sir Lockselot
86d ago
Last 30d: 35-93-0 (-58.3u)
R.Blanco u5.5 Ks+125
2u
This is powered by BetAlytics MLB pitcher prop dashboard 🔑 Ronel Blanco u5.5Ks +125 (DraftKings) 2u A- grade, 8.56% edge on the market, and an expected win probability of 53%. 70% hit rate his L10 starts. He was experiencing some finger issues after being hit by a come backer last game too, could be a factor here. Best value for this that I found is on DK. Always line shop! BOL if you tail or fade 🤝 Join 👉🔗 BetAlytics.com Promo code: LOCKSELOT for 25% off
Firefighter Bets
Firefighter Bets
86d ago
Last 30d: 66-79-0 (-17.7u)
M.Yoshida o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-105
1u
BJ Cunningham
BJ Cunningham
86d ago
Last 30d: 62-51-8 (+6.7u)
BOS +110 (F5)
1u
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
86d ago
Last 30d: 160-160-1 (+22.6u)
BOS +112
1.12u

PRO Insights

Astros logo

Astros

HOU Insights
  • Astros logoThe Astros are batting .260 versus relief pitchers since last season -- best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .259 (1,127-for-4,355) against Red Sox RPs since last season -- third worst in MLB.
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Red Sox vs. Astros Notes

Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Red Sox vs. Astros Public Betting Percentages

22%

Bets%

78%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Astros
81-8040-4141-3956-6023-19
Red Sox
75-8732-4943-3830-4944-37

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Astros
65-91-537-41-328-50-245-66-518-24
Red Sox
79-75-837-40-442-35-437-40-241-34-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Astros
88-7346-3542-3866-5020-22
Red Sox
81-8138-4343-3842-3738-43

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Aug 20thBOSW 5-4-1.5 LO 8HOU -148
Aug 18thCWSW 2-0-1.5 WU 8HOU -372
Aug 17thCWSW 6-1-1.5 WU 8.5HOU -377
Aug 17thCWSL 4-5-1.5 LO 7.5CWS -270
Aug 14th@TBW 2-1-1.5 LU 7.5HOU -125

Astros vs. Red Sox Injury Updates

Astros Injuries

  • Lance McCullers
    P

    McCullers is out with arm

    Out

  • Cristian Javier
    P

    Javier is out with elbow

    Out

  • Luis Garcia
    P

    Garcia is out with elbow

    Out

Red Sox Injuries

  • Lucas Giolito
    P

    Giolito is out for season with elbow

    Out for Season

  • Garrett Whitlock
    P

    Whitlock is out with oblique

    Out

  • David Hamilton
    IF

    Hamilton is out with finger

    Out

Red Sox vs. Astros Box Score
Red Sox Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Nick Pivetta logoRN.Pivetta, P84525
Greg Weissert logoRG.Weissert, P9110
Zack Kelly logoRZ.Kelly, P8100
Luis Garcia logoRL.Garcia, P9110
Kenley Jansen logoRK.Jansen, P12100
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Jarren Duran logo1J.Duran, CF4-4312
Wilyer Abreu logo2W.Abreu, RF1-2101
Rob Refsnyder logo2R.Refsnyder, PH0-2000
Rob Refsnyder logo2R.Refsnyder, LF0-2000
Triston Casas logo3T.Casas, 1B2-3113
Rafael Devers logo4R.Devers, 3B1-5000
Tyler O'Neill logo5T.O'Neill, LF0-4000
Tyler O'Neill logo5T.O'Neill, RF0-4000
Masataka Yoshida logo6M.Yoshida, DH0-5000
Danny Jansen logo7D.Jansen, C0-3000
David Hamilton logo8D.Hamilton, 2B0-4100
Ceddanne Rafaela logo9C.Rafaela, SS1-4000
Astros Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Ronel Blanco logoRR.Blanco, P843.265
Bryan King logoLB.King, P241.110
Caleb Ferguson logoLC.Ferguson, P23110
Kaleb Ort logoRK.Ort, P25221
Shawn Dubin logoRS.Dubin, P26100
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Jose Altuve logo1J.Altuve, 2B1-4100
Yordan Alvarez logo2Y.Alvarez, DH0-3100
Yainer Diaz logo3Y.Diaz, C2-4111
Jeremy Pena logo4J.Pena, SS1-3001
Jon Singleton logo5J.Singleton, 1B1-4112
Mauricio Dubon logo6M.Dubon, LF0-4000
Jake Meyers logo7J.Meyers, CF1-3100
Shay Whitcomb logo8S.Whitcomb, 3B1-3000
Chas McCormick logo9C.McCormick, RF0-2001
Victor Caratini logo9V.Caratini, PH0-1000

Red Sox vs. Astros Odds Comparison

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Red Sox at Astros Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Red Sox
0-0
o4.5+105
u4.5-135
Astros
0-2
o3.5-145
u3.5+114