Red Sox vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Betting Predictions - May 27, 2023

Red Sox at Diamondbacks

1:40 am • BSAZ

Boston Red Sox

11-7

7 - 2

Arizona Diamondbacks

11-10

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Pfaadt			5.72	3-9
C.Sale			4.30	6-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 11-7	-1.5+125	o8.5-115	-130
Diamondbacks 11-10	+1.5-150	u8.5-105	+105

Saturday 1:40 a.m.

May 27, 2023

Chase FieldPhoenix

C.Sale o5.5 Ks-150

0.75u

BOS -125

0.5u

Over 8.5-110

0.5u

ARI o3.5-115

0.25u

Fade Chris Sale 3-2 (+.91 Units)

Under 9-120

C.Sale o5.5 Ks-145

0.4u

Sale is blowing by this number in 3 straight starts with 10, 9, and 8. Many have never seen Sale before either which I think benefits the pitcher.

C.Sale o6.5 Ks+112

Available at FanDuel. FanDuel's above the market on Sale, so if you want to dip this down to 5.5 and lay around -150 on the over, that's available. I think the plus money on the over at a larger number is tough to turn down. I have Sale projected at 7.51 strikeouts, which is why I'm fine swinging for the fences. He jacked up his four-seam fastball usage four starts ago, and it has led to a big spike in his strikeouts. He's at 30.8% in that span. He has also hit 110 pitches in consecutive starts, so health no longer seems to be a concern. You've got two ways to play this one; I just prefer to dabble in the upside, given how fun Sale's recent stretch has been.

B.Pfaadt o3.5 Ks-118

0.85u

Available at FanDuel. Pfaadt has struggled thus far -- but it has primarily been with hard contact. His swinging-strike rate is 10.4%, implying his strikeout rate should rise soon. Even with that, he has been at 3 or more strikeouts in all 4 starts despite hitting the over on this number just once. I have Pfaadt projected for 4.7 strikeouts. It's a leap of faith given the lack of third strikes thus far, but I think the peripherals imply those will come soon.

Over 8.5-110

0.5u

Bet to -115

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The Diamondbacks are 10-6 (.625) at home this season -- tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .519.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Diamondbacks are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Diamondbacks are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Diamondbacks are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Diamondbacks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 50 of Diamondbacks' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	82-80	37-44	45-36	37-48	43-31
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Diamondbacks	92-64-6	50-29-2	42-35-4	50-33-2	41-29-4
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	89-73	44-37	45-36	52-33	35-39
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 24th	@PHI	L 5-6	-1.5 L	O 8	PHI -108
May 23rd	@PHI	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 9.5	ARI +132
May 22nd	@PHI	W 6-3	+1.5 W	U 9	ARI +190
May 21st	@PIT	W 8-3	-1.5 W	O 8.5	ARI -124
May 20th	@PIT	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 8.5	ARI +127

Rafael Devers
IF
Devers is questionable with shoulder
Questionable

Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
P
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Brayan Bello
P
Bello is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Masataka Yoshida
OF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Sale, P	73	5	3	1
RJ.Winckowski, P	34	3	1	1
LB.Bernardino, P	24	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R. Tapia, CF	2-5	0	0	1
2A.Verdugo, RF	3-5	1	0	1
3J.Turner, 3B	2-5	0	0	1
4M.Yoshida, DH	0-5	0	0	0
5R.Refsnyder, LF	1-4	1	0	0
6T.Casas, 1B	3-5	2	0	1
7E.Hernandez, SS	1-3	1	1	2
8E.Valdez, 2B	0-5	0	0	0
9C.Wong, C	2-4	2	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Pfaadt, P	87	3.2	4	5
RL.Frias, P	51	2.1	5	1
RK.Ginkel, P	32	2	2	1
RJ.Ruiz, P	19	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1K.Marte, 2B	1-4	0	0
2E.Rivera, 3B	2-4	1	1
3L.Gurriel, LF	1-4	0	1
4C.Walker, 1B	0-4	0	0
5E. Longoria, DH	0-2	0	0
5P.Smith, PH	0-2	0	0
5P.Smith, DH	0-2	0	0
6C.Carroll, CF	1-4	0	0
7N.Ahmed, SS	0-2	0	0
7G.Perdomo, PH	0-1	0	0
7G.Perdomo, SS	0-1	0	0
8J.McCarthy, RF	0-2	0	0
8G.Moreno, PH	0-1	0	0
9J.Herrera, C	2-3	1	0