Red Sox vs. Mariners Odds & Betting Predictions - March 31, 2024

Red Sox at Mariners

8:10 pm • NESN

Boston Red Sox

78-64

5 - 1

Seattle Mariners

73-68

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Miller			2.95	12-8
G.Whitlock			1.96	1-0

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 78-64	-1.5+164	o8-101	-106
Mariners 73-68	+1.5-192	u8-118	-113

Sunday 8:10 p.m.

March 31, 2024

T-Mobile ParkSeattle

SEA o5.5 Team Total+210

0.35u

J.Rodriguez o1.5 Total Bases-105

0.55u

Over 7.5-117

1.17u

BOS +110

2.2u

T.Story u1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs-145

0.5u

BOS +130

3.9u

BOS +130

1.3u

… Betting Against Good Team Overall: 442-509-0,46% (ROI:16%) Season:0-0-0, 0% (ROI: 0%)

Featured Insight
Red Sox had a strikeout rate of 24% vs right-handed batters last season -- 10th highest in MLB. Mariners Right Handed Hitters struck out 26% against LHP last season -- highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Mariners have scored 2.6 runs per game in the first five innings since the 2022 season -- 10th highest in MLB (327 games). The Red Sox have allowed 2.8 runs per game in the first five innings since the 2022 season -- sixth highest in MLB (327 games).

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Opening Pitch: DiSturco's MLB Bets for Sunday
Charlie Disturco•
Mar 31, 2024 UTC

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The Red Sox are just 38-48 (.442) after a home loss since the 2022 season -- tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.

34% of Rafael Devers strikeouts came on 95+ MPH fastballs last season -- fifth highest in MLB-- 97th Percentile. 61% of Bryce Miller's strikeouts came on 95+ MPH fastballs last season -- fourth highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 98th Percentile.

Bryce Miller allowed a just .315 SLG vs right-handed batters (ninth best)-- 93rd Percentile and .558 vs left-handed batters last season (sixth worst among non-qualified SPs)-- sixth Percentile.

Bryce Miller threw fastballs 70% of the time (770/1,102) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season -- tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 48% -- 99th Percentile.

Garrett Whitlock has walked 28 of 615 batters (5%) since last season -- tied for 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 7% -- 97th Percentile.

Garrett Whitlock threw at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 75% (172/229) of opposing batters in the 2023 season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 64% -- 99th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mariners are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Mariners are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mariners are 26-47 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Mariners' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 34 of Mariners' 68 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	55-86	29-39	26-47	32-64	22-20
Red Sox	76-66	39-33	37-33	47-44	29-20

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mariners	75-60-6	34-29-5	41-31-1	47-43-6	26-16
Red Sox	70-69-3	32-38-2	38-31-1	46-43-2	24-24-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	73-68	41-27	32-41	51-45	20-22
Red Sox	78-64	44-28	34-36	55-36	23-26

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 31st	BOS	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 7.5	SEA -155
Mar 30th	BOS	W 1-0	-1.5 L	U 7	SEA -155
Mar 29th	BOS	L 4-6	-1.5 L	O 7.5	BOS -150
Mar 26th	@SD	W 7-6	+1.5 W	O 8	SEA +117
Mar 26th	@SD	W 4-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	SEA +105

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Jovani Moran
RP
Moran is out with arm
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Whitlock, P	81	5	8	1
RG.Weissert, P	15	1	1	0
LJ.Rodriguez, P	13	0.2	0	0
RJ.Slaten, P	15	2.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	0-5	0	0	0
2R.Devers, 3B	1-5	0	0	0
3T.Story, SS	2-4	0	0	0
4T.Casas, 1B	0-3	1	0	0
5M.Yoshida, DH	1-4	1	0	0
6T.O'Neill, LF	2-3	2	1	1
7W.Abreu, RF	1-3	0	0	0
8E.Valdez, 2B	1-4	1	1	3
9R.McGuire, C	2-4	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Miller, P	91	5	6	4
RC.Bolton, P	22	1	1	1
RC.Snider, P	25	2	1	0
RT.Thornton, P	15	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Crawford, SS	0-3	0	0
2J.Rodriguez, CF	0-4	0	0
3J.Polanco, 2B	0-4	0	0
4M.Haniger, DH	1-4	1	0
5T.France, 1B	2-4	0	0
6D.Canzone, LF	0-2	0	0
6D.Moore, PH	0-2	0	0
6D.Moore, LF	0-2	0	0
7L.Raley, RF	0-3	0	0
8J.Rojas, 3B	1-2	0	1
8L.Urias, PH	0-0	0	0
8L.Urias, 3B	0-0	0	0
9S.Zavala, C	0-3	0	0