Red Sox vs. Royals Odds & Betting Predictions - May 11, 2025

Red Sox at Royals

6:10 pm • NESN

Boston Red Sox

1-2

3 - 1

Kansas City Royals

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Lugo			4.15	8-7
L.Giolito			3.41	10-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 1-2	+1.5	+1.5-185	o8.5-115	+115
Royals 0-0	u8.5	-1.5+154	u8.5-106	-135

Sunday 6:10 p.m.

May 11, 2025

Kauffman StadiumKansas City

L.Giolito u4.5 Ks-140

0.7u

Tailing @cawright95

L.Giolito u4.5 Ks-140

1.4u

Giolito came out of the gates averaging 93.3 mph on his fastball. Last time out against the Rangers, it was down at 91.6 mph. Not ideal. The pitch mix is also a red flag. He's thrown a total of 9 sliders and curveballs so far. Fastballs and changeups make up nearly 95% of his arsenal through 2 starts. If the elbow surgery is limiting his repertoire, whether because of discomfort or lack of trust, he might be in trouble. Kansas City is the toughest strikeout matchup in the league for righties. They have the lowest K% vs. RHP over the past 30 days.

KC -125

1.25u

BOS +115

2.3u

Over 8.5-109

0.55u

Bet to 9 (+100)

Red Sox vs. Royals: Fade Lucas Giolito
Charlie Wright•
May 11, 2025 UTC

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MLB Public Betting

Royals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Royals are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Royals are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Royals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 31 of Royals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	82-80	38-43	44-37	32-38	49-40
Red Sox	87-75	43-38	44-37	53-50	34-23

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Royals	71-90-1	31-50	40-40-1	30-40	41-47-1
Red Sox	76-82-4	33-45-3	43-37-1	50-50-3	26-30-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	82-80	43-38	39-42	40-30	40-49
Red Sox	89-73	48-33	41-40	61-42	28-29

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 10th	BOS	L 1-10	+1.5 L	O 7	BOS -115
May 9th	BOS	W 2-1	+1.5 W	U 9	KC -110
May 8th	CWS	W 10-0	-1.5 W	O 8.5	KC -250
May 7th	CWS	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 8	KC -220
May 6th	CWS	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	KC -256

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Jovani Moran
RP
Moran is out with arm
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RL.Giolito, P	88	6.2	5
LJ.Wilson, P	12	1	2
RG.Weissert, P	4	0.1	0
LA.Chapman, P	17	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, LF	1-4	1	0	0
2R.Devers, DH	2-3	1	1	2
3A.Bregman, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4W.Abreu, RF	3-4	1	1	1
5T.Story, SS	1-4	0	0	0
6N.Sogard, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
7D.Hamilton, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
8C.Narvaez, C	1-3	0	0	0
9C.Rafaela, CF	0-2	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Lugo, P	96	6	5	3
RS.Cruz, P	9	1	0	0
LD.Lynch, P	7	0.2	1	0
RJ.Schreiber, P	3	0.1	1	0
RT.Clarke, P	19	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R
1J.India, LF	0-4	0
1J.India, 2B	0-4	0
2B.Witt, SS	0-4	0
3V.Pasquantino, DH	0-4	0
4S.Perez, 1B	1-4	0
4C.Biggio, PR	0-0	0
5M.Garcia, 3B	0-4	0
6M.Massey, 2B	0-2	0
6M.Canha, PH	0-2	0
6M.Canha, LF	0-2	0
7D.Waters, RF	1-3	1
8L.Maile, C	1-2	0
9K.Isbel, CF	1-2	0