Reds vs. Cardinals Odds & Betting Predictions - September 11, 2024

Reds at Cardinals

11:45 pm • BSOH

Cincinnati Reds

0-0

1 - 2

St. Louis Cardinals

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Lynn			3.84	7-4
B.Williamson			3.77	0-0

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 0-0	+1.5-166	o8-105	+130
Cardinals 0-0	-1.5+140	u8-115	-155

Wednesday 11:45 p.m.

September 11, 2024

Busch StadiumSt. Louis

CIN +120

CIN o1.5 Team Total (F5)-140

1.4u

@sandyplashkes

CIN o1.5 Team Total (F5)-140

1.4u

Featured Insight
The Reds have scored 2.8 runs per game in the first five innings since last season -- fifth highest in MLB (307 games). The Cardinals have allowed 2.8 runs per game in the first five innings since last season -- fourth highest in MLB (305 games).

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Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 29% against the Cardinals RPs over the last week -- fourth best in MLB. Reds hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 28% over the last week -- second worst in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Wednesday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Sep 11, 2024 UTC

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The Reds are just 36-45 (.444) after a home loss since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.

39% of Jonathan India strikeouts are looking this season -- ninth highest in MLB-- 94th Percentile. 39% of John King strikeouts are looking this season -- 14th highest among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Brandon Williamson has a first-pitch strike rate of just 45% (14/31) over the last 14 days -- 9th lowest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 62% -- eighth Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 12% (3/25) against Brandon Williamson over the past seven days (1 games) -- 5th lowest in NL over the last week; League Avg: 30% -- fifth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Cardinals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cardinals are 38-43 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Cardinals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Cardinals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	80-82	42-39	38-43	28-49	51-33
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cardinals	74-83-5	37-42-2	37-41-3	39-38	34-45-5
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	83-79	44-37	39-42	39-38	43-41
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 10th	CIN	L 0-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CIN -134
Sep 8th	SEA	L 4-10	+1.5 L	O 7.5	SEA +114
Sep 7th	SEA	W 2-0	+1.5 W	U 7	STL +114
Sep 7th	SEA	L 1-6	+1.5 L	U 7	SEA -102
Sep 4th	@MIL	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 7.5	STL +103

Sonny Gray
P
Gray is out with arm
Out
Willson Contreras
C
Contreras is out with finger
Out
Drew Rom
P
Rom is out with biceps
Out

Jeimer Candelario
IF
Candelario is out with toe
Out
Stuart Fairchild
OF
Fairchild is out with thumb
Out
Matt McLain
IF
McLain is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out with elbow
Out
Graham Ashcraft
P
Ashcraft is out with elbow
Out
Andrew Abbott
P
Abbott is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
IF
Encarnacion-Strand is out with hand
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Williamson, P	82	5	5	1
RF.Cruz, P	24	1.2	4	0
LB.Suter, P	6	0.1	0	0
RB.Farmer, P	24	0.1	1	1
LJ.Wilson, P	4	0.2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.India, 2B	1-4	0	0
2E.De La Cruz, SS	0-4	0	0
3S.Steer, LF	1-4	1	0
4T.Friedl, CF	0-4	0	0
5T.France, 1B	0-4	0	0
6S.Espinal, 3B	1-4	0	1
7J.Fraley, RF	1-2	0	0
7A.Rosario, PH	0-1	0	0
7R.Hinds, RF	0-0	0	0
8N.Marte, DH	1-2	0	0
9L.Maile, C	0-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Lynn, P	90	5	7	1
LM.Liberatore, P	12	1.1	0	0
RA.Kittredge, P	19	1	2	0
LJ.Romero, P	8	0.2	1	0
RR.Helsley, P	8	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Winn, SS	0-3	0	0	0
2L.Baker, DH	0-3	0	0	0
2A.Burleson, PH	0-0	0	0	0
2J.Fermin, PR	0-0	0	0	0
2J.Fermin, DH	0-0	0	0	0
3P.Goldschmidt, 1B	2-4	0	0	1
4N.Arenado, 3B	1-3	1	1	1
5B.Donovan, LF	1-3	0	0	0
6J.Walker, RF	1-4	0	0	0
6L.Nootbaar, RF	0-0	0	0	0
7T.Saggese, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8P.Pages, C	0-2	0	0	0
8M.Carpenter, PH	0-0	0	0	0
8I.Herrera, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8I.Herrera, C	0-1	0	0	0
9M.Siani, CF	1-3	1	0	0