Reds vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - August 4, 2023

Reds at Cubs

12:05 am • MARQ

Cincinnati Reds

9-9

3 - 5

Chicago Cubs

11-5

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Taillon			4.84	8-10
L.Weaver			3.38	1-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 9-9	+1.5-138	o10.5-114	+133
Cubs 11-5	-1.5+114	u10.5-108	-162

Friday 12:05 a.m.

August 04, 2023

Wrigley FieldChicago

Over 10.5+100

J.Taillon u17.5 Outs-133

1.2u

Blended rate of MGM and DK (limits). He’s under this line in 9/10 starts at home, sporting a 6.43 ERA and .317 OBA - includes a 4.2 IP performance vs CIN in May. Relies heavily on his 4-seamer and cutter (55% collectively) and the Reds are 7th in wRC vs both pitches. Plus, he’s been hit hard the third time through the order, resulting him being pulled mid-6th inning 5 times in his L11 starts. Reds work the count well and don’t chase.

Under 10.5-115

0.5u

Bet to -122 or 10 (-103)

Under 10.5-112

0.89u

CHC -161

Featured Insight
The Cubs have scored 5.1 runs per game over the last week -- fourth-highest in MLB (115 games). The Reds have allowed 5.1 runs per game over the last week -- fifth-highest in MLB (116 games).

TRY FOR FREE

Featured Insight
Reds Right Handed Hitters have struck out 24% against LHP since last season -- sixth-highest in MLB. CubsRPs have a strikeout rate of 25% vs right-handed batters since last season -- ninth-highest in MLB.

TRY FOR FREE

Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Thursday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Aug 3, 2023 UTC

See more MLB Coverage

The Reds are 18-12 (.600) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .431.

Tucker Barnhart has an OPS of just .553 since last season -- fifth worst among hitters with at least 402 total PA's-- first Percentile. Alexis Diaz has allowed an OPS of just .495 (448 PAs) since last season -- sixth best among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cubs are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 34 of Cubs' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 3rd	CIN	W 16-6	-1.5 W	O 11	CHC -163
Aug 2nd	CIN	W 20-9	-1.5 W	O 8.5	CHC -168
Aug 1st	CIN	L 5-6	-1.5 L	O 8.5	CIN -126
Jul 30th	@STL	L 0-3	+1.5 L	U 8.5	STL +114
Jul 29th	@STL	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 10	CHC -110

Nico Hoerner
IF
Hoerner is out with elbow
Out

Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Julian Aguiar
P
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
P
Lowder is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Weaver, P	83	3	5	4
LS.Moll, P	15	1.1	2	0
RD.Duarte, P	12	1.2	1	0
RI.Gibaut, P	17	1	0	0
RF.Cruz, P	15	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1E.De La Cruz, SS	1-4	1	1	1
2T.Friedl, CF	0-4	0	0	0
3M.McLain, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
4J.Fraley, RF	0-3	0	0	0
5S.Steer, 3B	2-4	1	1	1
6J. Votto, DH	0-4	0	0	0
7C.Encarnacion-Strand, 1B	2-3	1	0	0
8W.Benson, LF	2-4	0	0	0
9L.Maile, C	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Taillon, P	92	5	5	2
RM.Leiter, P	18	1.2	4	0
RJ.Merryweather, P	14	1	3	1
RA.Alzolay, P	17	1.1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Tauchman, RF	1-4	0	0
2N.Hoerner, 2B	1-4	2	0
3I.Happ, LF	1-2	1	1
4C.Bellinger, CF	1-4	1	1
5D.Swanson, SS	1-3	1	0
6C.Morel, DH	0-3	0	1
7J.Candelario, 1B	1-3	0	1
8Y.Gomes, C	0-3	0	1
9N.Madrigal, 3B	1-4	0	0