Reds vs. Dodgers Odds & Betting Predictions - July 29, 2023

Reds at Dodgers

2:10 am • SportsNet LA

Cincinnati Reds

0-0

6 - 5

Los Angeles Dodgers

11-5

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Miller			3.76	11-4
B.Williamson			4.46	5-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 0-0	+1.5-110	o9.5-115	+185
Dodgers 11-5	-1.5-110	u9.5-105	-225

Saturday 2:10 a.m.

July 29, 2023

Dodger StadiumLos Angeles

LAD -235

2.35u

B.Miller u6.5 Ks-122

0.82u

B.Miller u6.5 Ks-116

Full write up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/propbetguys-mlb-player-prop-pick-bobby-miller-friday-july-28

LAD -1.5-115

1.15u

Normally don’t lay (-1.5) but am here… I’m buying on Bobby Miller and selling on Brandon Williamson. Williamson has a 5.57 xERA and a .269 xBA (10.3 barrel%). Sub-20 K% with a high Bb% is not great against this Dodgers team. He’s due for negative regression (4.60 actual) and think it’s comes like a truck Friday night. Benefited from .248 BABIP, too Miller has 3.81 xERA, 3.63 FIP and has great stuff. Over the L30 days of those who have thrown 20+ innings, Miller is 4th in Stuff+ (126) with every pitch grading out above 100

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The Reds are 45-1 (.978) when leading entering the 9th inning this season -- tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .949.

The Dodgers are 58-43 (.574) this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Enrique Hernandez has an OPS of just .604 this season -- fourth worst in MLB-- second Percentile. Alexis Diaz has allowed an OPS of just .542 (186 PAs) this season -- 14th best among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Dodgers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Dodgers are 39-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Dodgers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Dodgers' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Dodgers	81-79	42-38	39-41	74-67	7-11
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Dodgers	88-67-5	45-31-4	43-36-1	79-57-5	9-9
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Dodgers	98-64	52-28	45-35	91-50	6-12
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 26th	TOR	L 1-8	-1.5 L	U 10	TOR -132
Jul 26th	TOR	W 8-7	-1.5 L	O 9	LAD -148
Jul 25th	TOR	L 3-6	-1.5 L	U 9	TOR -120
Jul 23rd	@TEX	L 4-8	-1.5 L	O 9.5	TEX -120
Jul 22nd	@TEX	W 16-3	-1.5 W	O 9.5	LAD -144

Dustin May
P
May is out with elbow
Out
Tony Gonsolin
P
Gonsolin is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Gavin Stone
P
Stone is out with shoulder
Out
Emmet Sheehan
P
Sheehan is out with arm
Out

Jeimer Candelario
IF
Candelario is out with toe
Out
Stuart Fairchild
OF
Fairchild is out with thumb
Out
Matt McLain
IF
McLain is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out with elbow
Out
Graham Ashcraft
P
Ashcraft is out with elbow
Out
Andrew Abbott
P
Abbott is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
IF
Encarnacion-Strand is out with hand
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Williamson, P	77	5.2	2	2
RL.Sims, P	18	0.1	0	3
RI.Gibaut, P	12	0.2	1	0
LA.Young, P	15	1	1	0
RA.Diaz, P	14	1.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1E.De La Cruz, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
1E.De La Cruz, SS	1-4	1	0	0
2T.Friedl, CF	0-4	0	0	2
3M.McLain, SS	2-3	1	0	1
3M.McLain, 2B	2-3	1	0	1
4J.Fraley, RF	1-4	1	1	2
5J.India, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
5L.Maile, C	0-0	0	0	0
6J. Votto, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
7S.Steer, LF	2-4	1	1	1
8T.Stephenson, C	1-3	0	0	0
8N.Senzel, PR	0-1	1	0	0
8N.Senzel, 3B	0-1	1	0	0
9W.Benson, DH	0-2	1	0	0
9C.Encarnacion-Strand, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9C.Encarnacion-Strand, DH	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Miller, P	100	5	6	3
RR.Brasier, P	11	1	1	0
RY.Almonte, P	21	0.1	0	3
RP.Bickford, P	15	0.2	0	0
LC.Ferguson, P	9	1	2	0
LA.Vesia, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Betts, RF	1-3	1	0
1M.Betts, 2B	1-3	1	0
2F.Freeman, 1B	2-4	1	2
3W.Smith, C	0-5	0	0
4J.Martinez, DH	2-5	0	1
5A.Rosario, SS	2-4	1	1
6M.Muncy, 3B	0-3	0	0
7C.Taylor, LF	1-3	0	0
8K.Hernandez, CF	1-2	0	0
8D.Peralta, PH	2-2	1	0
8D.Peralta, RF	2-2	1	0
9M.Rojas, 2B	1-2	0	1
9J.Outman, PH	0-1	1	0
9J.Outman, CF	0-1	1	0