Reds vs. Giants Odds & Betting Predictions - May 11, 2024

Reds at Giants

11:15 pm • FOX

Cincinnati Reds

9-11

1 - 5

San Francisco Giants

13-5

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Black			6.44	1-5
N.Lodolo			4.76	9-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 9-11	-1.5+114	o7.5-105	-148
Giants 13-5	+1.5-135	u7.5-115	+124

Saturday 11:15 p.m.

May 11, 2024

Oracle ParkSan Francisco

CIN -1-115

CIN -139

M.Black o4.5 Ks+120

0.5u

CIN -135

1.35u

CIN -110 (F5)

0.83u

Bet to -127 Target Giants Live after 5

Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 29% against the Reds RPs over the last week -- fourth best in MLB. Giants hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 32% over the last week -- fourth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Giants RPs have a strikeout rate of 30% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- fifth highest in MLB. Reds left-handed hitters have struck out 32% against RHP over the last two weeks -- second highest in MLB.

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Giants vs. Reds: Expert F5 Over/Under Bet
Nick Martin•
May 11, 2024 UTC
Opening Pitch: DiSturco's MLB Bets for Saturday
Charlie Disturco•
May 11, 2024 UTC

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The Reds are 22-8 (.733) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .577.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 31% (191/622) against Nick Lodolo on inside fastballs since the 2022 season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 143 total IP; League Avg: 49% -- 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 35% (75/216) against Nick Lodolo this season -- tied for 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 25% -- 98th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Giants are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Giants are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Giants' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Giants' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Giants	77-85	37-44	40-41	34-46	42-38
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Giants	82-72-8	36-43-2	46-29-6	33-45-2	48-26-6
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Giants	80-82	42-39	38-43	45-35	34-46
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 11th	CIN	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 7	CIN -145
May 9th	@COL	L 1-9	-	-	-
May 9th	@COL	W 8-6	-1.5 W	O 9	SF -166
May 8th	@COL	W 5-0	-1.5 W	U 10	SF -163
May 6th	@PHI	L 1-6	+1.5 L	U 7.5	PHI +192

Tom Murphy
C
Murphy is out with back
Out

Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Julian Aguiar
P
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
P
Lowder is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LN.Lodolo, P	98	6	6	4
LB.Suter, P	25	1	2	1
RB.Farmer, P	20	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Friedl, CF	0-4	0	0	0
2E.De La Cruz, SS	1-3	1	1	1
3M.Ford, DH	0-2	0	0	0
3S.Fairchild, PH	0-1	0	0	0
3S.Fairchild, DH	0-1	0	0	0
3C.Capel, PH	0-1	0	0	0
3C.Capel, DH	0-1	0	0	0
4S.Steer, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
4S.Steer, LF	1-3	0	0	0
5J.Fraley, RF	3-4	0	0	0
6T.Stephenson, C	0-4	0	0	0
7J.Candelario, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
7J.Candelario, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
8W.Benson, LF	1-2	0	0	0
8S.Espinal, PH	1-1	0	0	0
8S.Espinal, 3B	1-1	0	0	0
9J.India, 2B	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Black, P	78	4.1	2	1
LT.Rogers, P	12	0.2	2	0
RR.Walker, P	11	1	1	0
LE.Miller, P	20	1	0	0
RT.Rogers, P	10	1	1	0
RS.Hjelle, P	16	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Estrada, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
2L.Wade, 1B	1-3	1	0	0
3P.Bailey, C	1-3	1	0	1
4W.Flores, DH	0-4	0	0	0
5H.Ramos, RF	0-3	1	0	0
5H.Ramos, LF	0-3	1	0	0
6M.Chapman, 3B	2-4	1	1	4
7M.Conforto, LF	1-2	0	0	0
7M.Yastrzemski, PR	0-2	0	0	0
7M.Yastrzemski, RF	0-2	0	0	0
8C.Schmitt, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9T.Fitzgerald, CF	1-3	1	0	0