Reds vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - September 24, 2024

Reds at Guardians

10:40 pm • BSGL

Cincinnati Reds

20-21

1 - 6

Cleveland Guardians

23-16

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Bibee			3.47	12-8
C.Spiers			5.46	5-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 20-21	+1.5	+1.5-125	o8.5-112	+167
Guardians 23-16	u7.5	-1.5+105	u8.5-108	-202

Tuesday 10:40 p.m.

September 24, 2024

Progressive FieldCleveland

CLE -1.5+110

2.2u

CIN +174

Over 4.5 (F5)+100

#ProSystem ... F5 big home favs over after going under Overall: 147-94-11,61% (ROI:17%) Season:15-10-2,60% (ROI:18%)

CLE -1.5+135

1.35u

CLE -184

0.25u

Taking a piece off after Reds pitching change. Will eat the small F5 bet. Prefer Over on this game now and would pass on ML otherwise.

Over 7.5-115

0.58u

Bet to 8.5 (-110) after pitching change

CIN +142

0.5u

Update: Pass after pitching change

CIN +140 (F5)

0.25u

Update: Pass after pitching change

Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 38% against the Reds RPs since last season -- tied for fifth best in MLB. Guardians hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 34% since last season -- worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Guardians have allowed just 0.9 runs per game in late innings this season -- lowest in MLB (157 games). The Reds have scored just 1.1 runs per game in late innings this season -- third lowest in MLB (157 games).

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The Guardians are 12-6 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season -- tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Guardians are 62-18 (.775) when they've hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .698.

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MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 9-12 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 7 of Guardians' 18 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	18-21	9-9	9-12	8-7	10-13
Reds	22-19	10-9	12-10	9-8	13-10

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	20-16-3	7-10-1	13-6-2	10-5	10-10-3
Reds	18-22-1	8-10-1	10-12	5-11-1	12-11

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	23-16	12-6	11-10	12-3	11-12
Reds	20-21	9-10	11-11	10-7	10-13

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 22nd	@STL	L 1-2	+1.5 W	U 7.5	STL +112
Sep 21st	@STL	L 5-6	-1.5 L	O 7.5	STL -130
Sep 21st	@STL	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 8	CLE -102
Sep 19th	MIN	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 8	CLE -105
Sep 18th	MIN	W 5-4	-1.5 L	O 7	CLE -135

Shane Bieber
SP
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
Slade Cecconi
SP
Cecconi is out with oblique
Out
John Means
SP
Means is out with elbow
Out
Lane Thomas
CF
Thomas is out with wrist
Out
David Fry
C
Fry is out with elbow
Out

Jake Fraley
RF
Fraley is out with calf
Out
Noelvi Marte
3B
Marte is day-to-day with side
Day-to-Day
Brandon Williamson
SP
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Julian Aguiar
SP
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
SP
Lowder is out with elbow
Out
Carson Spiers
RP
Spiers is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Spiers, P	69	4	2	3
RI.Gibaut, P	21	1	1	1
LJ.Wilson, P	24	1	1	0
RE.Pagan, P	19	0.2	0	2
RY.Zulueta, P	21	1.1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.India, 2B	0-1	0	0
1A.Rosario, 2B	0-1	0	0
2E.De La Cruz, SS	0-4	0	0
3T.Stephenson, C	1-4	1	0
4S.Steer, LF	1-4	0	1
5T.Friedl, CF	1-3	0	0
6T.France, 1B	0-3	0	0
7J.Fraley, RF	1-3	0	0
8S.Espinal, 3B	0-3	0	0
9N.Marte, DH	0-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Bibee, P	88	7	7	1
RH.Gaddis, P	12	1	0	0
RE.Clase, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Martinez, LF	0-4	0	0	0
2K.Manzardo, DH	1-3	2	1	1
3J.Ramirez, 3B	2-4	2	0	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	2-2	1	0	2
5L.Thomas, CF	1-4	1	1	3
5L.Thomas, RF	1-4	1	1	3
6A.Gimenez, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
7W.Brennan, RF	2-2	0	0	0
7J.Noel, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7J.Noel, RF	0-1	0	0	0
7M.Straw, CF	0-1	0	0	0
8B.Naylor, C	1-4	0	0	0
9B.Rocchio, SS	1-3	0	0	0