Reds vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - May 1, 2024

Reds at Padres

8:10 pm • BSOH

Cincinnati Reds

0-0

2 - 6

San Diego Padres

4-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Musgrove			3.88	6-5
G.Ashcraft			5.24	5-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 0-0	+1.5-173	o7.5-111	+124
Padres 4-3	-1.5+145	u7.5-109	-148

Wednesday 8:10 p.m.

May 01, 2024

PETCO ParkSan Diego

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-115

1.15u

CIN +120 (F5)

F5 system

CIN +114

1.5u

Ass Craft

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-118

0.5u

E.De La Cruz u1.5 Total Bases-190

Under 8-105

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Featured Insight
The Padres allowed their opponents to score first in just 44% of their games last season -- fourth lowest in MLB. The Reds scored first in just 43% of their games last season -- second lowest in MLB.

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The Reds are 22-8 (.733) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .575.

The Padres are just 4-16 (.200) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.

The Padres are just 1-83 (.012) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season -- tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.

Elly De La Cruz has 8 home runs this season -- tied for fifth most in MLB-- 98th Percentile. Joe Musgrove has allowed 9 home runs this season -- second most among qualified SPs-- 98th Percentile.

Joe Musgrove has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.000 (17 Total Bases / 17 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .360 -- first Percentile.

Graham Ashcraft has allowed an OPS of 1.678 (21 PA's) when he's behind in the count this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 1.044 -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Padres are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Padres are 47-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 44 of Padres' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	93-69	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 1st	CIN	W 6-4	-1.5 W	O 7	SD -170
Apr 30th	CIN	L 2-5	+1.5 L	U 8	CIN -112
Apr 28th	PHI	L 6-8	-1.5 L	O 8	PHI -144
Apr 28th	PHI	L 1-5	+1.5 L	U 7.5	PHI -117
Apr 27th	PHI	L 3-9	+1.5 L	O 7.5	PHI -108

Jeimer Candelario
IF
Candelario is out with toe
Out
Stuart Fairchild
OF
Fairchild is out with thumb
Out
Matt McLain
IF
McLain is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out with elbow
Out
Graham Ashcraft
P
Ashcraft is out with elbow
Out
Andrew Abbott
P
Abbott is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
IF
Encarnacion-Strand is out with hand
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Ashcraft, P	99	6	4	0
RF.Cruz, P	16	0.1	1	4
LB.Suter, P	18	1.2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1W.Benson, RF	0-4	0	0	0
2E.De La Cruz, SS	1-3	0	0	0
3S.Steer, LF	1-4	1	1	1
4J.India, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
5N.Martini, DH	0-4	0	0	0
6S.Espinal, 3B	1-3	1	0	0
7J.Candelario, 1B	1-3	0	0	1
8L.Maile, C	0-3	0	0	0
9S.Fairchild, CF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Musgrove, P	87	6	9	2
LY.Matsui, P	18	0.2	2	0
RE.De Los Santos, P	6	0.1	1	0
LW.Peralta, P	9	1	0	0
RR.Suarez, P	11	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Profar, LF	4-4	1	0	2
1J.Azocar, LF	0-0	0	0	0
2F.Tatis, RF	0-3	1	0	0
3J.Cronenworth, 1B	1-3	1	1	4
4M.Machado, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
5G.Pauley, DH	0-3	0	0	0
5E.Rosario, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5E.Rosario, DH	0-1	0	0	0
6L.Campusano, C	0-4	0	0	0
7J.Merrill, CF	0-4	1	0	0
8H.Kim, SS	1-3	0	0	0
9T.Wade, 2B	1-4	2	0	0