Reds vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - April 8, 2023

Reds at Phillies

8:05 pm • NBCS-PH+

Cincinnati Reds

0-0

2 - 3

Philadelphia Phillies

1-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Falter			5.58	2-2
N.Lodolo			6.29	2-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 0-0	+1.5-173	o8-105	+125
Phillies 1-3	-1.5+143	u8-110	-149

Saturday 8:05 p.m.

April 08, 2023

Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

Under 8-105

0.5u

Bet to -111

CIN +120

CIN +112 (F5)

1.12u

Our Staff's Best MLB Bets for Saturday's Afternoon Slate
Action Network Staff•
Apr 8, 2023 UTC
Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Saturday MLB Betting Card
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The Reds are just 55-5 (.917) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season -- tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .954.

The Reds are just 40-18 (.690) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .804.

Kyle Schwarber batted just .149 on breaking pitches from LHP last season -- sixth worst in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Nick Lodolo threw his curveball 30% of the time last season -- 11th highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CB-- 92nd Percentile.

37% of Wil Myers strikeouts were looking last season -- 14th highest among hitters with at least 241 total PA's-- 95th Percentile. 35% of Bailey Falter strikeouts were looking last season -- tied for seventh highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 96th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 54% (13/24) against Nick Lodolo in non-two strike counts this season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 27% -- 100th Percentile.

Nick Lodolo has a strike rate of just 58% (352/606) in two strike counts since last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 65% -- 0 Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Phillies are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Phillies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Phillies' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	95-67	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 7th	CIN	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 7.5	PHI -193
Apr 5th	@NYY	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 6.5	NYY +137
Apr 4th	@NYY	W 4-1	+1.5 W	U 8.5	PHI +132
Apr 3rd	@NYY	L 1-8	+1.5 L	O 7.5	NYY +148
Apr 2nd	@TEX	L 1-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	TEX +105

Jeimer Candelario
IF
Candelario is out with toe
Out
Stuart Fairchild
OF
Fairchild is out with thumb
Out
Matt McLain
IF
McLain is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out with elbow
Out
Graham Ashcraft
P
Ashcraft is out with elbow
Out
Andrew Abbott
P
Abbott is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
IF
Encarnacion-Strand is out with hand
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LN.Lodolo, P	106	7	12	0
RA.Diaz, P	32	1	3	3
RI.Gibaut, P	8	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
2S.Steer, 3B	1-4	1	1	1
3W. Myers, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
3W. Myers, RF	0-4	0	0	0
4T.Stephenson, DH	2-4	0	0	0
5K.Newman, SS	1-3	1	0	0
6T.Friedl, LF	2-4	0	0	0
6T.Friedl, CF	2-4	0	0	0
7S.Fairchild, RF	1-2	0	0	0
7J.Vosler, PH	0-2	0	0	0
7J.Vosler, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
8J. Barrero, CF	0-2	0	0	0
8J.Fraley, PH	0-1	0	0	1
8J.Fraley, LF	0-1	0	0	1
9C.Casali, C	1-3	0	0	0
9W.Benson, PR	0-0	0	0	0
9L.Maile, C	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Falter, P	86	5	2	1
RA. Bellatti, P	14	1	1	0
RC.Brogdon, P	15	1	1	0
RS.Dominguez, P	7	1	0	0
LA. Vasquez, P	24	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1T.Turner, SS	0-3	0	0
2K.Schwarber, DH	0-4	0	0
3J.Realmuto, C	0-4	0	0
4N.Castellanos, RF	0-2	1	0
5A.Bohm, 1B	1-4	1	0
6J. Harrison, LF	0-3	0	0
6B.Marsh, PH	1-1	1	1
7E.Sosa, 3B	1-3	0	1
8B.Stott, 2B	2-4	0	1
9C.Pache, CF	1-2	0	0