Rockies vs. Blue Jays Odds & Betting Predictions - April 14, 2024

Rockies at Blue Jays

5:37 pm • COLR

Colorado Rockies

1-4

0 - 5

Toronto Blue Jays

4-1

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Berrios			3.60	16-11
K.Freeland			5.24	5-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rockies 1-4	+1.5+105	o8.5-114	+210
Blue Jays 4-1	-1.5-125	u8.5-105	-258

Sunday 5:37 p.m.

April 14, 2024

Rogers CentreToronto

TOR o4.5 Team Total-125

0.5u

V.Guerrero To Record 2+ Total Bases Yes-135

$1.35

TOR -1.5-122

J.Turner o1.5 Total Bases+100

0.5u

Ballpark pal gives an extreme advantage to Turner in this matchup and +ev with devig odds of -130 giving value at this number

K.Freeland o2.5 Ks-130

0.5u

Featured Insight
Rockies hitters have a groundball rate of 45% since the 2022 season -- sixth highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Blue Jays since the 2022 season -- eighth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Blue Jays RPs had a strikeout rate of 26% vs left-handed batters last season -- third highest in MLB. Rockies left-handed hitters struck out 25% against RHP last season -- tied for fifth highest in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Dabbundo's MLB Bets for Sunday
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Apr 14, 2024 UTC

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Ryan McMahon has struck out in 29% of PA's since the 2022 season -- fourth highest in MLB-- third Percentile. Jose Alvarado has a strikeout rate of 37% since the 2022 season -- fourth highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Daulton Varsho has an OPS of just .705 since the 2022 season -- ninth worst in MLB-- eighth Percentile. Clay Holmes has allowed an OPS of just .570 (553 PAs) since the 2022 season -- 12th best among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Jose Berrios has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (94/280) this season -- highest among in AL; League Avg: 15% -- 100th Percentile.

Jose Berrios has thrown his curveball 43% of the time (20/47) with runners in scoring position this season -- highest among in AL; League Avg: 14% -- 100th Percentile.

Kyle Freeland has allowed a slugging percentage of .648 (118 Total Bases / 182 ABs) on changeups since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: .376 -- first Percentile.

Kyle Freeland has an ERA of 16.03 (10.2 IP)this season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 4.12 -- first Percentile.

The Blue Jays are 39-17 (.696) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .573.

The Rockies are just 49-14 (.778) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.

The Blue Jays are just 9-62 (.127) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .217.

The Rockies are just 45-22 (.672) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

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MLB Public Betting

Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Blue Jays are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Blue Jays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Blue Jays' 5 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	2-3	2-3	N/A	2-3	N/A
Rockies	4-1	N/A	4-1	N/A	4-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Blue Jays	2-3	2-3	N/A	2-3	N/A
Rockies	1-4	N/A	1-4	N/A	1-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	4-1	4-1	N/A	4-1	N/A
Rockies	1-4	N/A	1-4	N/A	1-4

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 13th	COL	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 9	TOR -191
Apr 12th	COL	L 4-12	-1.5 L	O 8	COL -230
Apr 10th	SEA	L 1-6	-	U 8.5	SEA -120
Apr 9th	SEA	W 5-3	+1.5 W	U 8.5	TOR -112
Apr 8th	SEA	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 8	TOR -119

Jose Berrios
SP
Berrios is out with elbow
Out
Anthony Santander
RF
Santander is out with shoulder
Out
Shane Bieber
SP
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
Bowden Francis
SP
Francis is out with shoulder
Out
Trey Yesavage
SP
Yesavage is out with shoulder
Out

Kris Bryant
DH
Bryant is out with back
Out
Mickey Moniak
RF
Moniak is out with finger
Out
Tyler Freeman
RF
Freeman is out with back
Out
Zac Veen
LF
Veen is out with knee
Out
Blaine Crim
1B
Crim is out with oblique
Out
McCade Brown
SP
Brown is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LK.Freeland, P	95	5	3	4
RV.Vodnik, P	21	1	0	0
LJ.Beeks, P	17	1	0	0
RA.Molina, P	24	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Blackmon, RF	0-4	0	0	0
2E.Tovar, SS	1-3	0	0	0
3R.McMahon, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
4E.Diaz, DH	0-4	0	0	0
5N.Jones, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6B.Doyle, CF	0-4	0	0	0
7B.Rodgers, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8E.Montero, 1B	1-2	0	0	0
9J.Stallings, C	0-2	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RJ.Berrios, P	100	7	7
LG.Cabrera, P	13	1	0
RN.Pearson, P	16	1	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1G.Springer, RF	2-4	2	0
2V.Guerrero, 1B	1-4	1	1
3B.Bichette, SS	0-4	0	0
4J.Turner, DH	3-4	0	3
5D.Schneider, LF	0-4	0	0
5D.Varsho, LF	0-0	0	0
6E.Clement, 3B	2-4	1	0
7A.Kirk, C	2-2	0	0
8I.Kiner-Falefa, 2B	1-4	0	1
9K.Kiermaier, CF	1-4	1	0