Royals vs. Giants Odds & Betting Predictions - April 7, 2023

Royals at Giants

8:35 pm • NBCS-BA

Kansas City Royals

3-3

3 - 1

San Francisco Giants

3-5

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Cobb			3.87	7-7
B.Keller			4.57	3-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Royals 3-3	N/A	N/A	N/A
Giants 3-5	N/A	N/A	N/A

Friday 8:35 p.m.

April 07, 2023

Oracle ParkSan Francisco

KC +188

0.47u

Small to +179

SF -1.5+105

KC +175

0.88u

SF u4.5-118

1.69u

KC +150

1.01u

KC u3.5-120

0.58u

Logic in best bets tomorrow

Under 8-105

Cobb estimators around 3 since LY - KRC sub-90 wRC+ Rd, v RHP & overall this season so far - both teams have decent pens

Under 4 (F5)-110

0.45u

This number is only at BetUS right now but may potentially write up as best bet if it comes to US books later Simple as: two pitchers I’m higher than market on

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The Giants are 35-10 (.778) when totaling 10 or more hits since the 2022 season -- 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .727.

The Royals are just 49-6 (.891) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season -- 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Giants are 8-67 (.107) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season -- 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .086.

The Royals are 13-11 (.542) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season -- 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Bobby Witt Jr. had a groundball rate of just 30% on fastballs last season -- 10th lowest in MLB-- eighth Percentile. Opponents had a groundball rate of 56% against Alex Cobb fastball last season -- 11th highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 91st Percentile.

Thairo Estrada had a groundball rate of 51% on fastballs last season -- tied for 12th highest in MLB-- 90th Percentile. Opponents had a groundball rate of 58% against Brad Keller fastball last season -- ninth highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 93rd Percentile.

Brad Keller has a strike rate of just 38% (9/24) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 63% -- first Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of 67% (64/96) against Alex Cobb when he's behind in the count since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: 40% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 62% (268/434) against Alex Cobb in 2022 -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% -- 98th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Giants are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Giants are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Giants are 1-2 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Giants' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Giants' 5 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Giants	2-6	1-4	1-2	1-0	1-6
Royals	3-3	2-1	1-2	1-1	2-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Giants	3-3-2	2-2-1	1-1-1	1-0	2-3-2
Royals	1-5	1-2	0-3	0-2	1-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Giants	3-5	1-4	2-1	1-0	2-5
Royals	3-3	2-1	1-2	1-1	2-2

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 6th	@CWS	W 16-6	-	-	-
Apr 5th	@CWS	L 3-7	-	-	-
Apr 3rd	@CWS	W 12-3	-	-	-
Apr 2nd	@NYY	L 0-6	-	-	-
Apr 1st	@NYY	W 7-5	-	-	-

Michael Massey
2B
Massey is out with calf
Out

Hayden Birdsong
SP
Birdsong is out with arm
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Keller, P	94	5.2	3	1
LR.Yarbrough, P	22	1.1	1	0
LA.Chapman, P	13	1	2	0
RS.Barlow, P	23	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Melendez, RF	1-4	0	0	0
2M.Massey, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
2B.Witt, PH	0-1	0	0	0
2B.Witt, SS	0-1	0	0	0
3S.Perez, C	1-4	1	1	1
4V.Pasquantino, DH	2-3	1	1	1
5K.Isbel, CF	1-4	1	0	0
6H. Dozier, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
7N.Lopez, SS	1-4	0	0	1
7N.Lopez, 2B	1-4	0	0	1
8J. Bradley, LF	0-4	0	0	0
9M.Duffy, 3B	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Cobb, P	97	7	6	2
LT.Rogers, P	12	1	0	1
RC.Doval, P	14	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1L.Wade, 1B	0-3	0	0
1L.Wade, LF	0-3	0	0
1J.Davis, PH	1-1	0	0
1J.Davis, 3B	1-1	0	0
2M.Conforto, RF	0-3	0	0
3D.Villar, 3B	0-3	0	0
3B.Johnson, CF	0-0	0	0
4J.Pederson, DH	1-3	0	0
5M.Yastrzemski, CF	1-4	1	0
5M.Yastrzemski, LF	1-4	1	0
6T.Estrada, 2B	1-3	0	0
7B.Crawford, SS	0-3	0	0
8B.Sabol, LF	1-4	0	1
8B.Sabol, C	1-4	0	1
9R. Pérez, C	0-2	0	0
9W.Flores, 1B	0-1	0	0