Royals vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - May 17, 2023

Royals at Padres

8:10 pm • BSSD

Kansas City Royals

3-3

4 - 3

San Diego Padres

2-4

pitcher		team	era	w-l
Y.Darvish			4.56	8-10
C.Hernandez			5.27	1-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Royals 3-3	N/A	N/A	N/A
Padres 2-4	N/A	N/A	N/A

Wednesday 8:10 p.m.

May 17, 2023

Petco ParkSan Diego

J.Soto o0.5 RBI+160

0.5u

Bet365 3:20.

Under 8.5-105

See notes for KCR side

KC +230

2.3u

Going to use a lot of the same logic for the Under - KC expected to throw Hernandez/Kowar (the latter a prospect of some note a couple years back), worse than Darvish (3.76 SIERA/3.14 xERA), but SDP 90 wRC+ v RHP, KCR 77 - def combined 13 Runs Prevented - KC pen 1/2 run better estimators L30 days - Only major edge for SDP is Darvish - appears a bit high

F.Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases+100

SD -1.5-138

J.Soto o1.5 Total Bases+160

0.5u

Bet365 10:20.

KC +245

0.61u

Small to +245

SD -1.5-135

$1.35

F.Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases+100

$1.00

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The Padres are 23-25 (.479) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season -- tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .349.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Padres are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Padres' 6 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	3-3	3-3	N/A	3-1	0-2
Royals	3-3	2-1	1-2	1-1	2-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	2-3-1	2-3-1	N/A	0-3-1	2-0
Royals	1-5	1-2	0-3	0-2	1-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	2-4	2-4	N/A	2-2	0-2
Royals	3-3	2-1	1-2	1-1	2-2

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 17th	KC	L 4-5	-	-	-
May 16th	KC	W 4-0	-	-	-
May 14th	@LAD	L 0-4	-	-	-
May 13th	@LAD	L 2-4	-	-	-
May 13th	@LAD	L 2-4	-	-	-

Michael Massey
2B
Massey is out with calf
Out

Joe Musgrove
SP
Musgrove is out with elbow
Out
Griffin Canning
SP
Canning is out with achilles
Out
Matt Waldron
SP
Waldron is out with lower body
Out
Will Wagner
3B
Wagner is out with oblique
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Hernandez, P	33	2	4	0
RM. Mayers, P	56	2.2	3	1
LJ.Taylor, P	19	0.2	2	2
RJ.Cuas, P	17	0.2	1	0
LA.Chapman, P	27	1	2	0
RT.Clarke, P	15	1	0	0
RS.Barlow, P	7	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Witt, SS	1-4	2	0	0
2V.Pasquantino, DH	1-4	1	1	2
3S.Perez, C	0-4	0	0	0
4M.Melendez, RF	2-4	1	0	1
5M.Garcia, 3B	3-4	0	0	1
6N.Pratto, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
7M.Massey, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
7M.Duffy, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7M.Duffy, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
8N.Eaton, LF	1-4	0	0	0
9J. Bradley, CF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RY.Darvish, P	90	5.1	6	4
LT.Hill, P	6	1	0	0
RS.Wilson, P	24	1.1	2	0
LT.Cosgrove, P	9	0.1	1	0
RL.Garcia, P	14	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1X.Bogaerts, SS	2-4	0	0	1
2J.Cronenworth, 1B	2-3	1	1	1
3F.Tatis, RF	0-5	0	0	0
4J.Soto, LF	0-4	0	0	0
5M.Carpenter, DH	1-2	1	0	0
5N. Cruz, PH	0-2	0	0	0
5N. Cruz, DH	0-2	0	0	0
6H.Kim, 3B	2-3	1	0	0
7R. Odor, 2B	1-2	0	0	0
8T.Grisham, CF	0-4	0	0	0
9A.Nola, C	0-2	0	0	0
9B.Sullivan, PH	0-2	0	0	0
9B.Sullivan, C	0-2	0	0	0