Royals vs. Tigers Odds & Betting Predictions - April 28, 2024

Royals at Tigers

5:40 pm • BSDET

Kansas City Royals

12-8

1 - 4

Detroit Tigers

9-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Skubal			2.39	18-4
M.Wacha			3.35	13-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Royals 12-8	+1.5-155	o7.5+101	+145
Tigers 9-9	-1.5+130	u7.5-122	-174

Sunday 5:40 p.m.

April 28, 2024

Comerica ParkDetroit

DET -1-125

1.6u

M.Wacha o16.5 Outs-115

Under 7.5-115

0.5u

KC +130

System play (playing DET)

T.Skubal o5.5 Ks-135

0.37u

Ballpark pal projects 6.13 Ks and +ev bet with devig odds of -176 giving value to this number

Under 7.5-110

0.91u

... early unders for division games and game just went over Overall: 326-245-28,57% (ROI:10%) Season:1-2-0,33% (ROI:-36%)

DET -150 (F5)

0.33u

Flat to -150

Featured Insight
The Royals have allowed just 3.0 runs per game on the road this season -- tied for fourth lowest in MLB (10 games). The Tigers have scored just 3.3 runs per game at home this season -- fifth lowest in MLB (12 games).

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Featured Insight
Tigers right-handed hitters have struck out just 10% against LHP over the last week -- third lowest in MLB. Royals RPs have a strikeout rate of just 15% vs right-handed batters over the last week -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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The Royals are just 8-21 (.276) after a road win since the 2023 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .493.

Javier Baez has an OPS of just .581 since last season -- second worst in MLB-- first Percentile. Ryan Helsley has allowed an OPS of just .545 (205 PAs) since last season -- eighth best among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Tarik Skubal has allowed an OPS of just .205 (45 PA's) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- best among in MLB; League Avg: .683 -- 100th Percentile.

Tarik Skubal has allowed a slugging percentage of just .071 (3 Total Bases / 42 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- best among in MLB; League Avg: .386 -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .122 (5-for-41) against Michael Wacha when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season -- 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 -- 93rd Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Tigers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Tigers are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Tigers are 48-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Tigers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Tigers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Tigers	87-75	39-42	48-33	27-39	60-36
Royals	87-75	43-38	44-37	40-38	46-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Tigers	79-78-5	36-43-2	43-35-3	31-32-3	48-46-2
Royals	69-88-5	38-42-1	31-46-4	32-46	36-42-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Tigers	86-76	43-38	43-38	38-28	48-48
Royals	86-76	45-36	41-40	49-29	36-47

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 27th	KC	W 6-5	+1.5 W	O 8	DET -112
Apr 26th	KC	L 0-8	-1.5 L	U 8	KC -128
Apr 24th	@TB	L 5-7	-1.5 L	O 8	TB -113
Apr 23rd	@TB	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 8	DET +138
Apr 22nd	@TB	W 7-1	-1.5 W	O 7.5	DET -108

Alex Cobb
P
Cobb is out with hip
Out
Jose Urquidy
P
Urquidy is out with arm
Out
Sawyer Gipson-Long
P
Gipson-Long is out with groin
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Wacha, P	91	5.2	3	4
LW.Smith, P	4	0.1	0	0
RN.Anderson, P	18	1	0	0
RW.Klein, P	13	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Garcia, 3B	1-4	1	0
2B.Witt, SS	1-4	0	1
3S.Perez, 1B	0-3	0	0
4N.Velazquez, LF	0-3	0	0
4M.Massey, PH	1-1	0	0
5F.Fermin, C	0-3	0	0
5V.Pasquantino, PH	0-1	0	0
6H.Renfroe, RF	0-2	0	0
6M.Melendez, PH	0-1	0	0
7D.Blanco, CF	1-4	0	0
8G.Hampson, 2B	1-3	0	0
9A.Frazier, DH	0-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Skubal, P	91	7	6	1
RS.Miller, P	7	1	1	0
RJ.Foley, P	18	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Greene, LF	1-2	0	0	1
2M.Canha, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
3W.Perez, RF	2-4	1	1	2
4K.Carpenter, DH	1-4	0	0	0
5M.Vierling, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
6C.Keith, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
7Z.McKinstry, SS	1-4	0	0	0
8J.Rogers, C	2-4	2	1	1
9P.Meadows, CF	1-3	0	0	0