Royals vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - April 29, 2023

Royals at Twins

6:10 pm • BSN

Kansas City Royals

27-23

3 - 2

Minnesota Twins

26-21

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Ober			3.43	8-6
B.Keller			4.57	3-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Royals 27-23	+1.5-105	o8.5-112	+199
Twins 26-21	-1.5-115	u8.5-109	-250

Saturday 6:10 p.m.

April 29, 2023

Target FieldMinneapolis

KC +205

2.05u

KC +184 (F5)

0.2u

Little sprinkle on my Keller belief

KC +201

0.6u

KC +180 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to +170

Under 8-105

0.95u

KC +190

0.95u

Bet to +173. BetRivers has a +205 You should bet instead. They also have Royals F5 (+185) which you can bet down to +170. Put them out of business for me. Their trading room is a clown car

The Royals were 30-33 (.476) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 in 2022 -- tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .421.

The Royals are just 4-1 (.800) when leading entering the 7th inning this season -- tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.

The Twins are 7-0 (1.000) when they've scored in the first inning this season -- tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .584.

Carlos Correa is batting just .158 at home this season -- tied for 14th worst among hitters with at least 36 total PA's-- sixth Percentile. Opponents are hitting just .182 (10-for-55) against Brad Keller on the road this season -- eighth best among qualified SPs-- 91st Percentile.

80% of non-fastball strikeouts for Donovan Solano are located out of the zone since last season -- ninth highest among hitters with at least 279 total PA's-- 97th Percentile. 77% of Brad Keller non-fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone since last season -- 11th highest among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP-- 94th Percentile.

Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 73% of the time (961/1,315) since the 2021 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: 43% -- 100th Percentile.

Brad Keller has walked 19 of 108 batters (18%) this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% -- first Percentile.

Brad Keller has thrown his fastball for a strike just 53% (133/252) of the time this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 67% -- first Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 13-13 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Twins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 7 of Twins' 21 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	28-19	15-6	13-13	17-12	11-7
Royals	29-21	15-11	14-10	11-10	17-11

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	16-28-3	7-13-1	9-15-2	10-17-2	6-11-1
Royals	16-33-1	9-17	7-16-1	8-13	8-19-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	26-21	15-6	11-15	17-12	9-9
Royals	27-23	17-9	10-14	13-8	13-15

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 28th	KC	W 8-6	-1.5 W	O 8	MIN -300
Apr 27th	KC	W 7-1	-1.5 W	U 8	MIN -215
Apr 26th	NYY	L 6-12	+1.5 L	O 7.5	NYY -105
Apr 25th	NYY	W 6-2	-1.5 W	O 6.5	MIN -127
Apr 24th	NYY	W 6-1	-1.5 W	U 8	MIN -162

Seth Lugo
SP
Lugo is out with finger
Out
Cole Ragans
SP
Ragans is out with groin
Out
Kyle Wright
SP
Wright is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Keller, P	92	5.1	4	1
RJ.Cuas, P	15	0.2	0	0
RT.Clarke, P	14	1	0	1
LA.Chapman, P	10	1	2	0
RS.Barlow, P	15	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1B.Witt, SS	0-4	1	0
2V.Pasquantino, 1B	0-3	0	0
2J. Bradley, PR	0-0	0	0
2J. Bradley, RF	0-0	0	0
3M.Melendez, C	0-5	0	0
4S.Perez, DH	1-4	0	1
4H. Dozier, PR	0-0	0	0
4H. Dozier, DH	0-0	0	0
5N.Pratto, RF	2-3	0	0
5N.Pratto, 1B	2-3	0	0
6K.Isbel, CF	0-3	0	0
7E.Olivares, LF	2-3	2	0
8M.Massey, 2B	0-3	0	0
9N.Lopez, 3B	1-3	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Ober, P	88	5.2	6	1
LC.Thielbar, P	22	1.1	0	0
RG.Jax, P	15	0.2	0	1
RJ.Lopez, P	16	0.1	0	0
RJ.Duran, P	25	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Kepler, RF	2-3	0	0	0
2C.Correa, SS	2-4	0	0	0
2W.Castro, PR	0-0	0	0	0
3J.Polanco, 2B	2-5	0	0	0
4B.Buxton, DH	1-4	2	1	1
5T.Larnach, LF	1-5	0	0	0
6J.Miranda, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
7J.Gallo, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
8R.Jeffers, C	0-3	0	0	0
9M.Taylor, CF	1-4	0	0	0