Royals vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - July 4, 2023

Royals at Twins

6:10 pm • BSN

Kansas City Royals

3-2

3 - 9

Minnesota Twins

1-4

pitcher		team	era	w-l
K.Maeda			4.23	6-8
Z. Greinke			5.06	2-15

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Royals 3-2	N/A	N/A	N/A
Twins 1-4	N/A	N/A	N/A

Tuesday 6:10 p.m.

July 04, 2023

Target FieldMinneapolis

Over 9-105

KC u3.5-104

0.5u

Maeda 4.19 SIERA/4.08 xERA & has looked great in 2 starts back from IL - KCR 77/79/69 wRC+ Rd/v RHP/L7 days - MIN pen 11th best estimators MLB L30 days

MIN -1.5+102

1.53u

Z.Greinke u15.5 Outs-135

$135.00

B.Buxton o1.5 Total Bases-115

Under 9-115

1.15u

Z.Greinke o3.5 Ks-115

0.5u

A.Kirilloff o1.5 Total Bases+112

0.5u

Over 9-105

0.95u

Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Fourth of July MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Jul 4, 2023 UTC

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The Royals are just 59-96 (.381) after a loss since last season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .484.

Nicky Lopez is slugging just .248 on non-fastballs since last season -- third worst among hitters with at least 367 total PA's-- first Percentile. Griffin Jax has thrown off-speed pitches 66% of the time since last season -- ninth highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

72% of non-fastball strikeouts for Kyle Farmer are located out of the zone since last season -- 15th highest in MLB-- 88th Percentile. 77% of Zack Greinke non-fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone since last season -- eighth highest among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP-- 96th Percentile.

Zack Greinke has walked 13 of 366 batters (4%) this season -- 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% -- 98th Percentile.

Zack Greinke has allowed a slugging percentage of .831 (49 Total Bases / 59 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: .433 -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Twins are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 3-3 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Twins' last 5 games

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	3-3	N/A	3-3	0-1	3-2
Royals	3-3	2-1	1-2	1-1	2-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	2-4	N/A	2-4	1-0	1-4
Royals	1-5	1-2	0-3	0-2	1-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	2-4	N/A	2-4	0-1	2-3
Royals	3-3	2-1	1-2	1-1	2-2

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 4th	KC	W 8-4	-	-	-
Jul 2nd	@BAL	L 1-2	-	-	-
Jul 1st	@BAL	W 1-0	-	-	-
Jun 30th	@BAL	W 8-1	-	-	-
Jun 28th	@ATL	L 0-3	-	-	-

Michael Massey
2B
Massey is out with calf
Out

Pablo Lopez
SP
Lopez is out with elbow
Out
David Festa
SP
Festa is out with shoulder
Out
Travis Adams
SP
Adams is out with triceps
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RZ. Greinke, P	82	5.1	3	6
RN. Wittgren, P	36	1.2	1	3
RJ.Heasley, P	11	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Garcia, DH	1-4	2	0	0
2B.Witt, SS	2-4	1	1	2
3N.Pratto, 1B	0-3	0	0	1
4S.Perez, C	0-3	0	0	0
5M.Melendez, LF	1-3	0	0	0
6K.Isbel, CF	0-3	0	0	0
7M.Massey, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
8D.Blanco, RF	0-3	0	0	0
9N.Lopez, 3B	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Maeda, P	87	7	9	1
RO.Ortega, P	13	1	0	0
RJ.Lopez, P	8	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Correa, SS	1-5	1	0	0
2D.Solano, 2B	3-4	3	1	1
2J.Gallo, LF	0-1	0	0	0
3B.Buxton, DH	3-4	3	1	1
4A.Kirilloff, 1B	1-3	1	0	2
5M.Kepler, RF	2-3	1	1	4
6J.Miranda, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
6K.Farmer, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
6K.Farmer, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
7W.Castro, LF	0-3	0	0	1
7W.Castro, 3B	0-3	0	0	1
8C.Vazquez, C	0-4	0	0	0
9M.Taylor, CF	0-4	0	0	0