Twins vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - June 28, 2023

Twins at Braves

4:20 pm • MLB Network

Minnesota Twins

8-10

0 - 3

Atlanta Braves

8-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
K.Allard			6.57	0-1
K.Maeda			4.23	6-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 8-10	+1.5-145	o10-115	+135
Braves 8-9	-1.5+120	u10-105	-162

Wednesday 4:20 p.m.

June 28, 2023

Truist ParkAtlanta

Over 10-115

1.15u

Under 10.5-115

0.5u

Bet to 10 (-108)

MIN +1.5-140

1.4u

M.Olson o1.5 Total Bases-110

0.91u

Book disparity, Maeda reckoning day - 401 ft out

Zerillo: Back This Edge in Yankees-A's
Sean Zerillo•
Jun 28, 2023 UTC
Twins vs. Braves: Inconsistent Pitching Gives Value to Over
D.J. James•
Jun 28, 2023 UTC

See more MLB Coverage

The Braves are 25-59 (.298) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .201.

Ronald Acuna is batting .298 on breaking pitches since last season -- third best in MLB-- 98th Percentile. Griffin Jax has thrown his slider 55% of the time since last season -- 10th highest among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Austin Riley is slugging .550 on non-fastballs since last season -- fourth best in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Griffin Jax has thrown off-speed pitches 66% of the time since last season -- ninth highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 22% (2/9) against Kenta Maeda -- tied for 5th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 41% -- fifth Percentile.

Kenta Maeda has thrown off-speed pitches 70% of the time (35/50) against right-handed batters over the past seven days (1 games) -- 3rd highest in AL over the last week; League Avg: 49% -- 95th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Braves' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 27th	MIN	W 6-2	-1.5 W	U 9	ATL -149
Jun 26th	MIN	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	ATL -227
Jun 25th	@CIN	W 7-6	-1.5 L	O 11	ATL -220
Jun 24th	@CIN	W 7-6	-1.5 L	O 12	ATL -138
Jun 23rd	@CIN	L 10-11	-1.5 L	O 11.5	CIN -152

Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out with knee
Out
Joe Jimenez
P
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Maeda, P	82	5	4	2
LJ. Moran, P	36	2	3	0
RJ. Balazovic, P	18	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1D.Solano, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
1E.Julien, PH	0-1	0	0	0
1E.Julien, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
2B.Buxton, DH	1-4	0	0	0
3R.Lewis, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4K.Farmer, SS	0-4	0	0	0
5W.Castro, LF	2-3	0	0	0
5W.Castro, CF	2-3	0	0	0
6A.Kirilloff, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
7C.Vazquez, C	0-2	0	0	0
8M.Taylor, CF	0-2	0	0	0
8M.Kepler, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8M.Kepler, RF	0-1	0	0	0
9J.Gallo, RF	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Gallo, LF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LK.Allard, P	71	4.2	8
RK.Yates, P	25	1.1	3
LA.Minter, P	13	1	0
RJ.Jimenez, P	18	1	1
RR.Iglesias, P	10	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	1-2	1	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	0-3	0	0	1
3A.Riley, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	2-4	1	1	2
5T.d'Arnaud, C	0-3	0	0	0
6M.Ozuna, DH	1-3	0	0	0
7E.Rosario, LF	0-3	0	0	0
8O.Arcia, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9M.Harris, CF	2-3	1	0	0