Twins vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - June 28, 2023

Twins at Braves

4:20 pm • MLB Network

Minnesota Twins

10-16

0 - 3

Atlanta Braves

11-14

pitcher		team	era	w-l
K.Allard			6.57	0-1
K.Maeda			4.23	6-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 10-16	+1.5-145	o10-115	+135
Braves 11-14	-1.5+120	u10-105	-162

Wednesday 4:20 p.m.

June 28, 2023

Truist ParkAtlanta

Over 10-115

1.15u

Under 10.5-115

0.5u

Bet to 10 (-108)

MIN +1.5-140

1.4u

M.Olson o1.5 Total Bases-110

0.91u

Book disparity, Maeda reckoning day - 401 ft out

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The Braves are 25-59 (.298) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .201.

Ronald Acuna is batting .298 on breaking pitches since last season -- third best in MLB-- 98th Percentile. Griffin Jax has thrown his slider 55% of the time since last season -- 10th highest among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Austin Riley is slugging .550 on non-fastballs since last season -- fourth best in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Griffin Jax has thrown off-speed pitches 66% of the time since last season -- ninth highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 22% (2/9) against Kenta Maeda -- tied for 5th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 41% -- fifth Percentile.

Kenta Maeda has thrown off-speed pitches 70% of the time (35/50) against right-handed batters over the past seven days (1 games) -- 3rd highest in AL over the last week; League Avg: 49% -- 95th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 5-9 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Braves' 11 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	11-14	6-5	5-9	8-10	3-4
Twins	12-14	8-5	4-9	10-9	2-5

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	12-10-3	5-5-1	7-5-2	10-7-1	2-3-2
Twins	10-13-3	5-7-1	5-6-2	8-9-2	2-4-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	11-14	8-3	3-11	10-8	1-6
Twins	10-16	7-6	3-10	9-10	1-6

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 27th	MIN	W 6-2	-1.5 W	U 9	ATL -149
Jun 26th	MIN	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	ATL -227
Jun 25th	@CIN	W 7-6	-1.5 L	O 11	ATL -220
Jun 24th	@CIN	W 7-6	-1.5 L	O 12	ATL -138
Jun 23rd	@CIN	L 10-11	-1.5 L	O 11.5	CIN -152

Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out with knee
Out
Joe Jimenez
P
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out with hamstring
Out
Nacho Alvarez
IF
Alvarez is out with wrist
Out

Willi Castro
IF
Castro is out with oblique
Out
Royce Lewis
IF
Lewis is out with hamstring
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Maeda, P	82	5	4	2
LJ. Moran, P	36	2	3	0
RJ. Balazovic, P	18	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1D.Solano, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
1E.Julien, PH	0-1	0	0	0
1E.Julien, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
2B.Buxton, DH	1-4	0	0	0
3R.Lewis, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4K.Farmer, SS	0-4	0	0	0
5W.Castro, LF	2-3	0	0	0
5W.Castro, CF	2-3	0	0	0
6A.Kirilloff, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
7C.Vazquez, C	0-2	0	0	0
8M.Taylor, CF	0-2	0	0	0
8M.Kepler, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8M.Kepler, RF	0-1	0	0	0
9J.Gallo, RF	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Gallo, LF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LK.Allard, P	71	4.2	8
RK.Yates, P	25	1.1	3
LA.Minter, P	13	1	0
RJ.Jimenez, P	18	1	1
RR.Iglesias, P	10	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	1-2	1	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	0-3	0	0	1
3A.Riley, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	2-4	1	1	2
5T.d'Arnaud, C	0-3	0	0	0
6M.Ozuna, DH	1-3	0	0	0
7E.Rosario, LF	0-3	0	0	0
8O.Arcia, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9M.Harris, CF	2-3	1	0	0