Tigers vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - July 4, 2024

Tigers at Twins

5:10 pm • BSN

Detroit Tigers

4-3

3 - 12

Minnesota Twins

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Ober			3.98	12-9
K.Maeda			6.09	3-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Tigers 4-3	+1.5-130	o8-102	+150
Twins 0-0	-1.5+110	u8-112	-184

Thursday 5:10 p.m.

July 04, 2024

Target FieldMinneapolis

MIN -1.5+115

MIN -168 (F5)

0.25u

Small to -176

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Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 24% against the Twins RPs over the last week -- second best in MLB. Tigers hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 32% over the last week -- worst in MLB.

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The Twins are 19-6 (.760) when they've scored in the first inning this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .636.

31% of Carlos Correa strikeouts are looking since last season -- tied for 12th highest in MLB-- 91st Percentile. 42% of Jason Foley strikeouts are looking since last season -- fifth highest among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Bailey Ober has an ERA of 7.62 (28.1 IP) against division opponents this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.66 -- first Percentile.

Bailey Ober has allowed a slugging percentage of .639 (46 Total Bases / 72 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .358 -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Twins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 43 of Twins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26
Tigers	87-75	39-42	48-33	27-39	60-36

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30
Tigers	79-78-5	36-43-2	43-35-3	31-32-3	48-46-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30
Tigers	86-76	43-38	43-38	38-28	48-48

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 4th	DET	L 2-9	-1.5 L	O 9	DET -174
Jul 2nd	DET	W 5-3	-1.5 W	O 7.5	MIN -130
Jun 30th	@SEA	W 5-3	-1.5 W	O 6.5	MIN -115
Jun 30th	@SEA	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 7	MIN -120
Jun 29th	@SEA	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 7	SEA +110

Javier Baez
IF
Baez is out with back
Out
Sawyer Gipson-Long
P
Gipson-Long is out with groin
Out

Jose Miranda
IF
Jose Miranda (back) has been scratched Thursday.
Out
Trevor Larnach
OF
Larnach is out with hamstring
Out
Joe Ryan
P
Ryan is out with triceps
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Maeda, P	88	3.2	3	9
LJ.Wentz, P	51	2.1	1	1
RS.Miller, P	12	0.2	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Vierling, CF	0-4	0	0	0
1A.Baddoo, CF	0-0	0	0	0
2C.Keith, 2B	2-4	1	1	1
3R.Greene, DH	1-4	0	0	0
4M.Canha, LF	1-3	0	0	0
5W.Perez, RF	0-3	0	0	0
6A.Ibanez, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
7Z.McKinstry, SS	0-3	1	0	0
8G.Urshela, 3B	2-3	1	0	0
9J.Rogers, C	1-3	0	0	2

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Ober, P		103	6	8	1
RC.Sands, P		14	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1W.Castro, 2B	0-5	0	0	0
2C.Correa, SS	1-3	2	0	0
2K.Farmer, PH	1-1	1	0	0
3T.Larnach, DH	0-1	2	0	0
3C.Santana, PH	0-1	1	0	0
3C.Santana, DH	0-1	1	0	0
4J.Miranda, 1B	5-5	4	0	3
5R.Jeffers, C	3-4	2	1	4
6M.Kepler, RF	2-4	0	0	2
7M.Margot, LF	1-4	0	0	1
8B.Lee, 3B	1-2	0	0	1
9A.Martin, CF	0-3	0	0	0