Twins vs. Royals Odds & Betting Predictions - April 2, 2023

Twins at Royals

6:10 pm • BSKC

Minnesota Twins

0-0

7 - 4

Kansas City Royals

3-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Keller			4.57	3-4
J.Ryan			4.51	11-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 0-0	-1.5+112	o9-115	-146
Royals 3-3	+1.5-136	u9-105	+122

Sunday 6:10 p.m.

April 02, 2023

Kauffman StadiumKansas City

KC +130

KC o3.5-125

0.5u

KC u3.5+100

Fading Hazen

KC o3.5-120

0.83u

MIN -158

Over 4 (F5)-120

1.2u

Over 8.5+100

0.5u

Bet to -114

Sunday's NRFI Best Bet: Custom Combo Shows Value on Ryan, Springs
Shayne Trail•
Apr 2, 2023 UTC

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The Twins are just 33-96 (.256) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2021 season -- tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

The Royals are 121-3 (.976) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2021 season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .954.

MJ Melendez batted just .167 on elevated fastballs last season -- tied for 14th worst in MLB-- 13th Percentile. Joe Ryan located his fastball up 58% of the time last season -- 12th highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 91st Percentile.

Hunter Dozier batted just .197 with RISP last season -- third worst in MLB-- second Percentile. Opponents batted just .181 (21-for-116) against Joe Ryan with RISP last season -- 15th best among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 89th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters had a groundball rate of just 29% (54/185) against Joe Ryan in 2022 -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 43% -- 0 Percentile.

Brad Keller has allowed an OBP of .367 (365 PA's) versus the bottom of the order since the 2021 season -- tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: .278 -- second Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 29% (134/461) against Joe Ryan since the 2021 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 43% -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Royals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Royals are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Royals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Royals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	87-75	43-38	44-37	40-38	46-37
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Royals	69-88-5	38-42-1	31-46-4	32-46	36-42-5
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	86-76	45-36	41-40	49-29	36-47
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 1st	MIN	L 0-2	+1.5 L	U 8	MIN +136
Mar 30th	MIN	L 0-2	+1.5 L	U 9	MIN +132
Mar 28th	@TEX	L 3-5	+1.5 L	U 8.5	TEX +104
Mar 28th	@TEX	L 4-4	+1.5 W	U 10	TEX +116
Mar 26th	@CHC	L 0-5	+1.5 L	U 8.5	CHC +164

Kyle Wright
P
Wright is out for season with shoulder
Out for Season

Jose Miranda
IF
Jose Miranda (back) has been scratched Thursday.
Out
Trevor Larnach
OF
Larnach is out with hamstring
Out
Joe Ryan
P
Ryan is out with triceps
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Ryan, P	80	6	6	1
LJ. Moran, P	20	1	2	2
RJ.Lopez, P	11	1	0	0
RE.Pagan, P	16	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Kepler, RF	0-4	0	0	0
2C.Correa, SS	1-5	1	0	0
3B.Buxton, DH	2-4	0	0	0
4T.Larnach, LF	3-4	1	0	1
5J.Miranda, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
6N.Gordon, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
6K.Farmer, PH	0-3	1	0	0
6K.Farmer, 2B	0-3	1	0	0
7J.Gallo, 1B	3-4	3	2	4
8R.Jeffers, C	2-5	0	0	2
9M.Taylor, CF	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Keller, P	88	4.2	6	2
LA.Garrett, P	23	1	0	1
RD.Coleman, P	16	1.1	1	3
RJ.Cuas, P	25	1	2	1
RS.Barlow, P	13	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Melendez, DH	0-3	0	0	0
2B.Witt, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3V.Pasquantino, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
4S.Perez, C	1-3	0	0	0
5M.Massey, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
6E.Olivares, LF	2-4	1	1	2
7K.Isbel, CF	0-4	0	0	0
8J. Bradley, RF	0-3	1	0	0
9M.Duffy, 3B	2-4	1	1	2