White Sox vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - August 16, 2023

White Sox at Cubs

12:05 am • MARQ

Chicago White Sox

0-0

5 - 3

Chicago Cubs

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
K.Hendricks			3.75	6-8
T.Toussaint			4.91	0-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
White Sox 0-0	+1.5-133	o8.5-115	+151
Cubs 0-0	-1.5+110	u8.5-105	-184

Wednesday 12:05 a.m.

August 16, 2023

Wrigley FieldChicago

Over 7.5 (F5)-112

$28.00

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C.Bellinger o0.5 RBI+115

0.5u

T.Toussaint u15.5 Outs-157

0.64u

Under 9-115

T.Toussaint o2.5 Earned Runs-115

0.87u

DK/bet365 8:51.

T.Toussaint u5.5 Ks-116

0.86u

Available at FanDuel. Toussaint is coming off consecutive nine-strikeout games, so I get why this number is so high. But Toussaint didn't get a ton of whiffs in either game (9.2% and 10.4% swinging-strike rate), and he still issued a bunch of walks. The one thing he did do to boost expectations is rack up a big pitch count in both, so I've pushed his pitch count up accordingly. Even with that, I still have Toussaint projected for 5.29 strikeouts here, and given the way those are distributed (with big outings possible but with a lower median expectation), -116 on the under is more than fair. This is simply betting on regression after a pair of huge outings.

Under 8.5-110

0.5u

Tuesday. Bet to -118 or 8 (+100)

Featured Insight
The Cubs have scored 1.6 runs per game in late innings over the last week -- second-highest in MLB (125 games). The White Sox have allowed 1.5 runs per game in late innings over the last week -- fourth-highest in MLB (126 games).

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Featured Insight
White Sox hitters have an OPS of just .670 over the last two weeks -- second-worst in MLB. CubsRPs have allowed an OPS of just .675 (1,941 PAs) over the last two weeks -- seventh-best in MLB.

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MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cubs are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 34 of Cubs' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32
White Sox	68-93	34-46	34-47	5-3	63-90

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2
White Sox	66-86-9	31-46-3	35-40-6	4-3-1	62-83-8

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40
White Sox	41-121	23-57	18-63	5-3	36-117

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 13th	@TOR	L 4-11	-1.5 L	O 9	TOR -101
Aug 12th	@TOR	W 5-4	-1.5 L	O 8.5	CHC -106
Aug 11th	@TOR	W 6-2	+1.5 W	U 9	CHC +126
Aug 9th	@NYM	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 9	NYM -118
Aug 8th	@NYM	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 9	CHC -140

Drew Thorpe
P
Thorpe is out with arm
Out

Ben Brown
P
Brown is out with neck
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Toussaint, P	87	4	4	3
LT.Banks, P	13	1	0	0
RL. Ramsey, P	16	1	1	0
LA.Bummer, P	14	1.1	1	0
RG.Santos, P	16	1.2	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1E. Andrus, SS	2-5	1	0	2
2A.Benintendi, LF	1-4	1	0	1
3L.Robert, CF	2-5	1	1	1
4E.Jimenez, DH	1-4	0	0	0
5Y.Moncada, 3B	2-4	0	0	1
6A.Vaughn, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
7Y.Grandal, C	1-3	1	0	0
8O.Colas, RF	0-4	0	0	0
9Z.Remillard, 2B	1-4	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Hendricks, P	98	6	4	3
RJ.Merryweather, P	21	1	2	1
RM.Leiter, P	15	1	2	0
RA.Alzolay, P	22	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Tauchman, CF	0-3	1	0	0
2N.Hoerner, 2B	2-3	0	0	0
3I.Happ, LF	1-4	1	1	2
4C.Bellinger, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
5D.Swanson, SS	0-3	0	0	0
6J.Candelario, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
7C.Morel, DH	0-4	0	0	0
8S.Suzuki, RF	1-4	1	1	1
9Y.Gomes, C	0-3	0	0	0