White Sox vs. Rays Odds & Betting Predictions - May 7, 2024

White Sox at Rays

10:50 pm • NBCS-CHI

Chicago White Sox

5-13

1 - 5

Tampa Bay Rays

8-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
Z.Eflin			2.60	5-2
M.Soroka			4.75	0-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
White Sox 5-13	+1.5+105	o7.5-118	+220
Rays 8-8	-1.5-126	u7.5-103	-270

Tuesday 10:50 p.m.

May 07, 2024

Tropicana FieldSt. Petersburg

Under 4.5 (F5)-120

0.83u

TB -1.5-130

0.77u

TB -1.5-130

0.77u

P.DeJong o0.5 Hits-117

J.Lowe o0.5 HR+560

0.4u

One of two Dinger Tuesday bets I like tonight. Lowe hit the ball well in his rehab assignment and hit for plenty of power last year. Now facing Mike Soroka, who has had a rough start to the year. Also gets to face the White Sox bullpen if he can't get the job done against Soroka.

Featured Insight
White Sox hitters have a groundball rate of 50% over the last week -- tied for second highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% against Rays over the last week -- second lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Opponents are hitting just .221 (652-for-2,946) against Rays RPs since last season -- second best in MLB. The White Sox are batting just .222 versus relief pitchers since last season -- tied for third worst in MLB.

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The Rays are 32-22 (.593) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The White Sox are just 6-13 (.316) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.

The White Sox are just 57-9 (.864) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.

The Rays are 44-14 (.759) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .573.

Tommy Pham is batting just .225 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season -- worst in MLB-- 0 Percentile. Zach Eflin has a strike rate of 66% on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season -- eighth highest among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP-- 91st Percentile.

Mike Soroka has a strikeout rate of just 8% (5 SO in 63 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% -- first Percentile.

Mike Soroka has a strikeout rate of just 8% (5 SO in 63 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season -- lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 26% -- second Percentile.

Zach Eflin has walked 10 of 342 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Rays are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Rays are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rays are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Rays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Rays' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	89-73	45-36	44-37	32-36	55-34
White Sox	68-93	34-46	34-47	5-3	63-90

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rays	68-88-6	36-40-5	32-48-1	29-38-1	36-48-5
White Sox	66-86-9	31-46-3	35-40-6	4-3-1	62-83-8

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	80-82	42-39	38-43	36-32	42-47
White Sox	41-121	23-57	18-63	5-3	36-117

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 6th	CWS	W 8-2	-1.5 W	O 8.5	TB -163
May 5th	NYM	W 7-6	+1.5 W	O 7	TB -110
May 4th	NYM	W 3-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	TB -110
May 3rd	NYM	W 10-8	-1.5 W	O 8	TB -148
May 1st	@MIL	L 1-7	-1.5 L	U 8.5	MIL -111

Ha-Seong Kim
IF
Kim is out with shoulder
Out

Ky Bush
P
Bush is out with elbow
Out
Drew Thorpe
P
Thorpe is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Soroka, P		102	5	4	3
RB.Keller, P		60	3	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Lopez, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
2G.Sheets, RF	0-4	0	0	0
3E.Jimenez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4A.Vaughn, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5A.Benintendi, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6B.Ramos, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
7R.Ortega, CF	0-4	0	0	0
8P.DeJong, SS	2-3	1	1	1
9K.Lee, C	2-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RZ.Eflin, P	94	7	3	1
RP.Maton, P	15	1	2	0
RM.Rodriguez, P	16	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Y.Diaz, 1B	0-4	1	0	0
2J.Lowe, RF	1-4	0	0	0
3R.Arozarena, LF	1-3	1	1	2
4I.Paredes, 3B	3-4	2	1	1
5R.Palacios, 2B	0-3	1	0	0
6H.Ramirez, DH	1-4	0	0	1
7J.DeLuca, CF	2-3	0	0	0
8B.Rortvedt, C	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Caballero, SS	0-3	0	0	0