Yankees vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Betting Predictions - April 3, 2024

Yankees at Diamondbacks

7:40 pm • YES

New York Yankees

8-6

6 - 5

Arizona Diamondbacks

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Kelly			4.03	5-1
C.Rodon			3.96	16-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Yankees 8-6	-1.5+134	o8.5-121	-125
Diamondbacks 0-0	+1.5-160	u8.5+100	+105

Wednesday 7:40 p.m.

April 03, 2024

Chase FieldPhoenix

M.Kelly o5.5 Ks+100

1.5u

NYY -112

NYY -110

$50.00

NYY -115

1.5u

C.Rodon u5.5 Ks-111

0.45u

Ballpark pal projects -170 odds

ARI -102

Also on Merrill Kelly's strikeout prop as my numbers are super into him. Given the repsective matchups, I've got this as close to a toss-up before you account for homefield. Thus, getting Arizona at -102 is enticing.

M.Kelly o5.5 Ks-110

Kelly went 85 pitches in his first start. He had 8 strikeouts there (inflated by a matchup with the Rockies), but he was effective down the stretch last year, too, when he threw more cutters and fewer curves. I've got him projected for 6.7 strikeouts tonight, and this plays well with the Diamondbacks' moneyline.

C.Carroll o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs-125

0.4u

Ballpark pal projects at -191 odds

NYY -114 (F5)

… mlb f5 low era fade Overall: 126-64-32,66% (ROI:14%) Season:1-0-0,100% (ROI:54%)

NYY -110

0.91u

… take the fav when good teams play each other Overall: 126-59-0,68% (ROI:17%) Season:0-0-0, 0% (ROI: 0%)

Featured Insight
Opponents had a hard-hit rate of just 39% against the Yankees last season -- eighth best in MLB. Diamondbacks hitters had a hard-hit rate of just 39% last season -- 10th worst in MLB.

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MLB Public Betting

Diamondbacks are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Diamondbacks are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Diamondbacks are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Diamondbacks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 50 of Diamondbacks' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	82-80	37-44	45-36	37-48	43-31
Yankees	80-82	35-46	45-36	62-72	18-9

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Diamondbacks	92-64-6	50-29-2	42-35-4	50-33-2	41-29-4
Yankees	87-69-6	45-33-3	42-36-3	76-54-4	11-14-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	89-73	44-37	45-36	52-33	35-39
Yankees	94-68	44-37	50-31	76-58	18-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 3rd	NYY	W 7-0	+1.5 W	U 9	ARI -110
Apr 2nd	NYY	L 2-5	+1.5 L	U 9.5	NYY +100
Mar 31st	COL	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 9	ARI -199
Mar 31st	COL	L 4-9	-1.5 L	O 9.5	COL -188
Mar 30th	COL	W 7-3	-1.5 W	O 9	ARI -245

Ryne Nelson
P
Nelson is out with shoulder
Out

JT Brubaker
P
Brubaker is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Rodon, P	95	5.1	3	2
RI.Hamilton, P	27	2.2	4	0
RJ.Loaisiga, P	13	1	1	0
RC.Holmes, P	22	1.1	1	0
LC.Ferguson, P	12	0.2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Torres, 2B	2-5	1	0	0
2J.Soto, RF	0-5	1	0	0
3A.Judge, DH	2-4	1	1	3
4A.Rizzo, 1B	2-5	0	0	0
5A.Volpe, SS	0-5	1	0	0
6A.Verdugo, LF	1-4	1	1	2
6A.Verdugo, CF	1-4	1	1	2
7O.Cabrera, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
7O.Cabrera, LF	0-4	0	0	0
8A.Wells, C	1-4	0	0	0
9T.Grisham, CF	0-1	0	0	0
9J.Berti, PH	0-2	1	0	0
9J.Berti, 3B	0-2	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Kelly, P	91	7	4	2
LJ.Mantiply, P	14	1	1	0
RR.Thompson, P	11	1	1	0
RK.Ginkel, P	12	1	0	1
RS.McGough, P	23	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Marte, DH	2-5	1	1	1
1K.Marte, SS	2-5	1	1	1
2C.Carroll, RF	2-5	0	0	1
3L.Gurriel, LF	0-4	1	0	0
4C.Walker, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5E.Suarez, 3B	2-5	0	0	0
6B.Alexander, 2B	1-2	1	1	1
6J. Peterson, PH	0-2	0	0	0
6J. Peterson, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
7J.Barrosa, CF	1-5	1	0	1
8T.Barnhart, C	1-3	0	0	0
8J.Pederson, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8G.Moreno, C	0-0	0	0	0
9G.Perdomo, SS	0-4	0	0	1
9J.McCarthy, PR	0-0	1	0	0