Yankees vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - April 13, 2024

Yankees at Guardians

10:10 pm • BSGL

New York Yankees

8-6

8 - 2

Cleveland Guardians

4-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.McKenzie			5.12	3-5
C.Poteet			2.22	3-0

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Yankees 8-6	-1.5	-1.5+151	o8.5-119	-111
Guardians 4-6	u8	+1.5-180	u8.5-102	-109

Saturday 10:10 p.m.

April 13, 2024

Progressive FieldCleveland

T.McKenzie u5.5 Ks-134

0.37u

Ballpark pal projects 4.22 Ks and +EV bets with devig odds of -164 giving us value at this number

T.McKenzie u16.5 Outs-125

Tricky to take an outs under on the second leg of a DH, but this is a brutal spot. Yankees big guns are in the lineup - Soto, Judge, Rizzo, Volpe and Stanton all take a ton of pitches. Yanks are #1 in pitches per PA by a wide margin. McKenzie has 6 walks in 9 IP so far, and given he missed almost all of last season, he won’t be on the longest of leashes.

CLE -110

… take the fav when good teams play each other Overall: 131-63-0,68% (ROI:17%) Season:5-4-0,56% (ROI:0%)

The Yankees are 57-15 (.792) when they've hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .690.

The Yankees are 73-5 (.936) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .897.

The Guardians are just 6-16 (.273) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .496.

Trent Grisham is batting just .190 since the 2022 season -- worst in MLB-- 0 Percentile. Left handed batters are hitting just .186 (60-for-323) against Triston McKenzie since the 2022 season -- fifth best among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP-- 96th Percentile.

Trent Grisham is slugging just .345 since the 2022 season -- third worst in MLB-- second Percentile. Triston McKenzie has allowed a SLG of just .319 vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season -- ninth best among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP-- 93rd Percentile.

Triston McKenzie has allowed an OBP of just .228 (197 PA's) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2022 season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: .321 -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .174 (16-for-92) against Triston McKenzie on low fastballs since the 2022 season -- 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: .273 -- 99th Percentile.

Clarke Schmidt has an average spin rate of 2625.9 RPM on fastballs since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 2236.6 -- 100th Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .400 (10-for-25) against Clarke Schmidt this season -- 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .245 -- third Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 41-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Guardians' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27
Yankees	80-82	35-46	45-36	62-72	18-9

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4
Yankees	87-69-6	45-33-3	42-36-3	76-54-4	11-14-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33
Yankees	94-68	44-37	50-31	76-58	18-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 13th	NYY	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 8.5	NYY +112
Apr 10th	CWS	W 7-6	-1.5 L	O 7.5	CLE -265
Apr 9th	CWS	L 5-7	-1.5 L	O 8.5	CWS -247
Apr 8th	CWS	W 4-0	-1.5 W	U 8	CLE -241
Apr 6th	@MIN	W 3-1	+1.5 W	U 8	CLE +142

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

JT Brubaker
P
Brubaker is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Poteet, P	77	6	4	1
RD.Santana, P	21	2	1	0
RR.Marinaccio, P	10	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Volpe, SS	2-4	2	0	1
2J.Soto, RF	1-3	2	1	3
2J.Jones, LF	0-0	0	0	0
3A.Judge, CF	1-4	0	0	0
3T.Grisham, CF	0-0	0	0	0
4A.Rizzo, 1B	2-5	0	0	1
5G.Stanton, DH	0-4	0	0	1
6G.Torres, 2B	1-4	2	0	0
7A.Verdugo, LF	1-3	2	0	0
7A.Verdugo, RF	1-3	2	0	0
8O.Cabrera, 3B	1-5	0	0	1
9A.Wells, C	0-3	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.McKenzie, P	84	4	1	5
RT.Beede, P	24	1	0	2
RC.Smith, P	20	1	1	0
RW.Parsons, P	35	2	2	0
RS.Barlow, P	13	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	1-3	0	0	0
1W.Brennan, RF	0-1	0	0	0
2A.Gimenez, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
3J.Ramirez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	2-4	1	1	1
5R.Laureano, CF	0-4	0	0	0
6E.Florial, RF	1-3	1	1	1
6E.Florial, LF	1-3	1	1	1
7D.Fry, C	1-3	0	0	0
8G.Arias, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
9B.Rocchio, SS	0-3	0	0	0