Yankees vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - April 13, 2024

Yankees at Guardians

4:10 pm • BSGL

New York Yankees

10-9

3 - 2

Cleveland Guardians

8-12

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Carrasco			5.64	3-10
C.Schmidt			2.85	5-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Yankees 10-9	-1.5	-1.5+127	o8.5-109	-132
Guardians 8-12	u8.5	+1.5-152	u8.5-108	+112

Saturday 4:10 p.m.

April 13, 2024

Progressive FieldCleveland

Under 8.5-119

0.84u

NYY -135

0.74u

C.Schmidt u4.5 Ks-130

0.65u

#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

C.Schmidt u4.5 Ks-130

@The_Oddsmaker (bet365 price).

C.Schmidt u4.5 Ks-135

1.35u

NYY -130

0.77u

… take the fav when good teams play each other Overall: 131-63-0,68% (ROI:17%) Season:5-4-0,56% (ROI:0%)

Under 8.5-105

Under 8.5-115

0.5u

Game 1. Bet to 8 (-110). Winds will be 20+ mph in afternoon and die down for G2

Featured Insight
Opponents had a hard-hit rate of just 36% against the Yankees RPs last season -- best in MLB. Guardians hitters had a hard-hit rate of just 33% last season -- worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Guardians allowed just 2.3 runs per game in the first five innings last season -- fourth lowest in MLB (162 games). The Yankees scored just 2.4 runs per game in the first five innings last season -- eighth lowest in MLB (162 games).

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Saturday's Massive MLB Betting Model Edge
PJ Walsh•
Apr 13, 2024 UTC

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The Guardians are just 6-16 (.273) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .496.

The Yankees are 73-5 (.936) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .897.

The Yankees are 57-15 (.792) when they've hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .690.

Clarke Schmidt has an average spin rate of 2625.9 RPM on fastballs since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 69 total IP; League Avg: 2236.6 -- 100th Percentile.

Triston McKenzie has allowed an OBP of just .228 (197 PA's) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2022 season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: .321 -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 41-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Guardians' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27
Yankees	80-82	35-46	45-36	62-72	18-9

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4
Yankees	87-69-6	45-33-3	42-36-3	76-54-4	11-14-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33
Yankees	94-68	44-37	50-31	76-58	18-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 10th	CWS	W 7-6	-1.5 L	O 7.5	CLE -265
Apr 9th	CWS	L 5-7	-1.5 L	O 8.5	CWS -247
Apr 8th	CWS	W 4-0	-1.5 W	U 8	CLE -241
Apr 6th	@MIN	W 3-1	+1.5 W	U 8	CLE +142
Apr 4th	@MIN	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 7	CLE +140

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
John Means
P
Means is out with elbow
Out
David Fry
C
Fry is out with elbow
Out
Daniel Espino
P
Espino is out with shoulder
Out

Giancarlo Stanton
DH
Stanton is out with elbow
Out

Clarke Schmidt
P
Schmidt is questionable with back
Questionable

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Schmidt, P	85	5	7	1
LC.Ferguson, P	25	1	1	0
RI.Hamilton, P	33	2	1	0
RC.Holmes, P	14	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Volpe, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2J.Soto, RF	0-4	0	0	0
3A.Judge, DH	2-5	0	0	0
4A.Rizzo, 1B	2-3	0	0	0
5G.Torres, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
6A.Verdugo, LF	2-3	2	0	0
7O.Cabrera, 3B	1-3	1	1	2
8J.Trevino, C	2-3	0	0	0
9T.Grisham, CF	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Carrasco, P	88	4.2	2	1
RN.Sandlin, P	21	1	1	2
RE.Morgan, P	28	1	2	0
LT.Herrin, P	22	1.1	1	0
RP.Strzelecki, P	12	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	1-3	1	0
2A.Gimenez, 2B	2-4	1	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	0-4	0	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	0-1	0	0
5T.Freeman, CF	0-4	0	1
6W.Brennan, RF	0-2	0	0
6R.Laureano, PH	1-2	0	0
6R.Laureano, RF	1-2	0	0
7B.Naylor, C	0-2	0	0
8E.Florial, DH	0-3	0	0
9B.Rocchio, SS	1-4	0	0