The Detroit Tigers host the Miami Marlins on April 12, 2026. First pitch from Comerica Park is scheduled for 1:40 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on MIAM.
The Tigers are favored by -210 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Marlins are +176 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 6.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Marlins vs Tigers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Marlins vs Tigers Prediction
- Marlins vs Tigers Pick: Marlins ML (+150 or Better)
My Marlins vs Tigers best bet is on the Fish to win. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Marlins vs Tigers Odds
| Marlins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -146 | 6 -115o / -105u | +176 |
| Tigers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +122 | 6 -115o / -105u | -210 |
- Marlins vs Tigers spread: Tigers -1.5 (+122), Marlins +1.5 (-146)
- Marlins vs Tigers over/under: 6.5 (-115o / -105u)
- Marlins vs Tigers moneyline: Marlins +176, Tigers -210
Marlins vs Tigers Pitchers
| Sandy Alcantara (RHP) | Stat | Tarik Skubal (LHP) |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | W-L | 1-2 |
| 0.9 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.5 |
| 0.74 / 1.37 | ERA / xERA | 2.55 / 4.39 |
| 2.28 / 3.59 | FIP / xFIP | 2.41 / 2.61 |
| 0.58 | WHIP | 1.08 |
| 16.3% | K-BB% | 19.7% |
| 49.2% | GB% | 42.3% |
| 101 | Stuff+ | 118 |
| 107 | Location+ | 111 |
Marlins vs Tigers MLB Betting Preview
This game triggered one of our Action PRO betting systems, powered by Evan Abrams.
In interleague play, road underdogs have been profitable on the moneyline over the past few seasons.
They have only a 43.3% win percentage, but those teams have turned a 4.6% ROI for bettors since 2016 and have been profitable in five consecutive seasons.
Marlins vs Tigers Picks
This is an absolute superstar starting pitching matchup.
But are we sure Tarik Skubal is the better arm?
Sandy Alcantara has been near-perfect through three starts. He leads the league in innings pitched with a 0.74 ERA. He ranks second among MLB pitchers in fWAR (0.9). His command has been near-perfect, and that sinker is forcing tons of ground balls again (49%). He’s already thrown a complete-game shutout this season, but also tossed seven shutout innings against the Rockies and 8 ⅓ two-run innings against the Reds.
While Skubal still looks like an Ace, he’s struggled more than usual with contact this season (9.4% barrel rate, 40% hard-hit rate), leading to a surprisingly high 4.39 xERA.
To throw in an even hotter take: are we sure the Tigers are the better team?
The Marlins have exceeded expectations this season, while the Tigers have been relatively disappointing.
The Fish have a very fun, athletic, versatile young lineup that ranks seventh among MLB teams in wRC+ (110). The Tigers can’t stop striking out (25%) and are running just a 102 wRC+ against right-handed pitching (18th among MLB lineups).
The Fish have been much better in the bullpen (3.90 xFIP, 0.7 fWAR) than the Tigers (4.41 xFIP, -0.1 fWAR). Miami has been much better on defense (+2 OAA, -0.1 Def) than Detroit (-4 OAA, -2.2 Def), in part because it has a far more athletic squad — their improved infield defense really helps a pitcher like Sandy.
The uber-athletic Marlins also lead the league in Extra Runs Taken (+3), while the Tigers rank closer to league-average (+1).
I think the wrong team might be favored on Sunday.
Pick: Marlins ML (+150 or Better)
