Heat vs. Bucks Odds & Betting Predictions - April 20, 2023

Heat at Bucks

1:00 am • NBA TV

Miami Heat

4-1

122

122 - 138

Milwaukee Bucks

1-4

138

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Heat 4-1	+5.5-108	o216.5-108	+190
Bucks 1-4	-5.5-112	u216.5-107	-235

Thursday 1:00 a.m.

April 20, 2023

Fiserv ForumMilwaukee

K.Middleton o31.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-110

1.1u

G.Vincent o10.5 Pts-109

Under 254.5 (Live)-104

J.Butler u27.5 Pts-110

0.91u

B.Lopez u25.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115

1.15u

MGM. This turns into a gross matchup for him vs Bam. In two games without Giannis vs MIA, he put up 11 and 18 PRA.

MIL -5.5-110

B.Lopez o16.5 Pts-110

Bet at Bet365. #Tailing @PropBomb

B.Lopez o16.5 Pts-110

I expect a more aggressive Lopez tonight for Game 2. Giannis OUT. 17+ PTS in 12 of L15 games w/o him playoff 32+ Min. Bud will be forced to play him heavy min. He avg. 20.5 PPG Per-36 MIN w/ Jrue + Middleton ON court. Height advantage on switches away from Bam. #PlayerProps

J.Holiday o34.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115

0.3u

Adding a bit more without Giannis

J.Holiday o19.5 Pts-115

0.43u

J.Holiday o24.5 Pts+250

0.4u

J.Butler u28.5 Pts-120

I expect MIL to make adjustments against Butler. Herro OUT means Jrue can focus 100% on coverage. With Giannis likely playing, that can put another defender on traps/doubles. And a -8.5 spread could limit ceiling. #PlayerProps

MIL -2.5 (1Q)-110

$90.91

J.Holiday o30.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-120

0.58u

B.Adebayo o12.5 Rebs+Ast-127

M.Strus o5.5 Rebs+Ast-133

0.75u

J.Holiday o34.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-114

0.88u

J.Holiday o18.5 Pts-108

J.Holiday o31.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-113

0.88u

@ChrisRaybon

G.Allen o14.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-127

0.79u

@ChrisRaybon

MIL -2.5 (1Q)-110

0.45u

M.Strus o18.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-125

G.Vincent o2.5 Ast-129

0.23u

G.Allen o15.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-125

@ChrisRaybon

G.Allen o15.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-117

0.85u

Will break it down on GDD at 3pm ET on our YouTube.

J.Holiday o34.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115

0.87u

Will break it down on GDD at 3pm ET on our YouTube.

MIL -6-110

0.91u

MIL -6.5-110

J.Holiday o34.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115

21.6% Action Labs edge Projected closer to 39.5, which is in line w/ his averages without Giannis. Only 6-of-18 from field in G1 but still had 39 PRA

MIL -6-110

Check the hundreds ringer gambling podcast

MIL -2 (1Q)-108

It’s all about the spot. #FearTheDeer

MIL -3.5 (1Q)+100

Buckets pod @JayMoneyIsMoney23 bounce back tail

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NBA Public Betting

Bucks are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Bucks are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Bucks are 16-24 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Bucks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 23 of Bucks' 42 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bucks	35-47	19-23	16-24	29-38	6-9
Heat	40-39-3	16-25	24-14-3	23-21-3	17-18

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Bucks	41-41	23-19	18-22	36-31	5-10
Heat	35-47	21-20	14-27	23-24	12-23

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bucks	2-4	N/A	N/A	45-22	4-11
Heat	1-4	N/A	N/A	35-12	11-24

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 16th	MIA	L 117-130	-9 L	O 221	MIA -437
Apr 9th	@TOR	L 105-121	+3.5 L	O 221	TOR +140
Apr 8th	MEM	L 116-137	+9 L	O 231	MEM +300
Apr 5th	CHI	W 105-92	-5 W	U 230	MIL -210
Apr 4th	@WAS	W 140-128	-14 L	O 230.5	MIL -1074