Heat vs. Clippers Odds & Betting Predictions - January 14, 2025

We tried to run this last time Kawhi played and he was scratched due to the fires. Let’s run it back here. One thing I’ve noticed so far is that Kawhi’s shot diet has been a bit different since his return as he eases back into action. Through two games he is taking 48% of his shots from beyond the arc and they are entirely above the break 3s. That is a 21% jump from last season and he has not been above 30% since his sophomore season (31%). Despite the previous lack of volume, he is an excellent 3 point shooter. The last 3 seasons he’s shot over 40% from deep. I think this swing is in an effort to reduce the wear and tear on his lower body. This matchup against Miami is strong too, they allow the 10th highest frequency of above the break 3s which is where Kawhi is taking all of his from. I’ll grab over 1.5 3s for Kawhi and will sprinkle 3+