Mavericks vs. Thunder Odds & Betting Predictions - November 18, 2024

Luka and the Mavs play their second game in as many days; however, given the blowout last night when Wemby sat for the Spurs it was not a full minutes rotation for the Mavs players. OKC has had moderate success defending Luka given their glut of wing defenders and it has translated to Luka seeing an uptick in his assists. Here, in a matchup without Chet defending the rim I think this is even more likely to be the case. Luka has averaged 7.8 assists per game this season but looking at these matchups against OKC over the past few seasons and he has exceeded 7.8 dimes in 85% of them while averaging 9.9 per game. Additionally, in his last 10 games on 0 days rest, he is averaging 11.4 assists per game. I’ll take the base line here at 7.5 and play the 10+ (+225).