Mavericks vs. Warriors Odds & Betting Predictions - February 23, 2025

Mavericks at Warriors

8:30 pm • ABC

Dallas Mavericks

39-43

102

102 - 126

Golden State Warriors

5-7

126

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mavericks 39-43	+7.5	+9.5-108	o228.5-112	+315
Warriors 5-7	u233.5	-9.5-112	u228.5-108	-400

Sunday 8:30 p.m.

February 23, 2025

Chase CenterSan Francisco

K.Irving u5.5 Ast-135

0.5u

Played this last game at plus odds but books have adjusted. You can get this at -135 on DK, and I’m playing on Sleeper. Irving is averaging 4.2 assists over 8.5 assist chances in the month of February. Assuming he sees a similar amount of chances today, he’d need to convert 70% to clear 5.5. Last time he played the Warriors, Golden State held him to 0 assists so let’s hope for a similar outcome.

K.Thompson o19.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-122

1.22u

K.Irving o2.5 3pt M-125

The Mavericks face off against the Warriors on Sunday and the player I’m targeting is Kyrie Irving. We just saw this matchup before the All-Star Break and Kyrie made 7 3s on 10 attempts against the Warriors. He’s now coming off a 5/12 game against the Pelicans as well. On the season, when he’s played without Luka Doncic, he is averaging 3 per game on 8.2 attempts. He’s had 3+ in 64% of games without Luka. The Warriors are about middle of the road when it comes to defending 3s and I expect Kyrie to continue to fire from beyond the arc.

M.Christie o12.5 Pts-115

M.Christie o13.5 Pts-115

D.Green u0.5 3pt M+150

0.75u

K.Thompson To Make 5+ Threes Yes+330

0.5u

K.Thompson To Make 6+ Threes Yes+650

0.25u

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NBA Public Betting

Warriors are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Warriors are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Warriors are 24-16 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Warriors' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 20 of Warriors' 41 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Warriors	41-38-3	17-22-2	24-16-1	27-27-2	14-11-1
Mavericks	38-42-2	20-20	18-22-2	16-17-1	22-25-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Warriors	41-41	20-21	21-20	29-27	12-14
Mavericks	45-37	18-22	27-15	16-18	29-19

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Warriors	48-34	N/A	N/A	37-19	11-15
Mavericks	39-43	N/A	N/A	22-12	17-31

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Feb 22nd	@SAC	W 132-108	-2 W	O 237	GSW -135
Feb 14th	@HOU	W 105-98	-1.5 W	U 226	GSW -120
Feb 13th	@DAL	L 107-111	-7.5 L	U 234.5	DAL -320
Feb 11th	@MIL	W 125-111	-7.5 W	O 230.5	GSW -277
Feb 9th	@CHI	W 132-111	-6.5 W	O 240.5	GSW -262