Advanced NBA projections found a betting edge on Jalen Brunson’s player props for Saturday, April 15, when the Cleveland Cavaliers and New York Knicks play Game 1.
Projections picked up an incredibly easy win last night on KAT’s player prop against the Thunder.
Where’s the value at in betting Brunson’s player props vs. the Cavaliers in Game 1 on the road?
I’ll give you a hint: It’s not Brunson’s point total bettors should be looking at Saturday in Knicks vs. Cavaliers Game 1.
Instead, model projections spotted player prop value on Brunson’s assists.
NBA player prop projections as of Saturday, and odds via FanDuel
Jalen Brunson Player Props, Picks
Action Network’s NBA player prop projections see an edge on playing Brunson’s assists under 5.5 at FanDuel's odds of -102.
Projections crunch odds for every player prop across the market and subsequently assign letter grades and edge percentages based on how good the pick is.
Saturday's Brunson prop is a B grade play and 11.7% edge from projections, which made the point guard's assist total more like an even 5.0.
Pick: Brunson Under 5.5 Assists |
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Brunson’s admittedly averaged more assists per game on the road (6.3) than at MSG (6.1).
However, he draws a Cavs defense No. 1 in the NBA in assists allowed per game, alongside a suppressed full-game over/under of 217.5.