Nuggets vs. Heat Odds
| Nuggets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-2.5 -108 | 214.5 -108 / -112 | -142 |
| Heat Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+2.5 -112 | 214.5 -108 / -112 | -+120 |
Despite 41 points from Nikola Jokic, his scoring simply wasn't enough for the Denver Nuggets to win Game 2 and remain perfect at home this postseason. It was their first loss at home dating back to March 30 as the Miami Heat were able to even up the series.
Balanced scoring has been the key to the Heat's success all postseason long and this was no different on Sunday night. The Heat had five players in double-digit scoring, including three players with 20 or more points.
Wednesday night, the series knotted at 1-1 switches to Miami, where the Heat boast a 27-14 record in home games. If Game 2 is any indicator of how this series may go, we are definitely in for a treat while at Kaseya Center for the first time this NBA Finals.
The game should be close, and I truly can't choose an outright side, so my same game parlay will focus on some players I think are primed for big efforts. Here's a look at my same game parlay for Game 3 of the NBA Finals.
NBA Finals Same Game Parlay
The Parlay: (+255)
- Bam Adebayo Over 19.5 Points (-102)
- Michael Porter Jr. Over 2.5 Made 3-Point Shots (-113)
Bam Adebayo Over 19.5 Points
The Heat have been so much more efficient with Bam Adebayo on the court this postseason. He brings intensity and great energy on both sides of the floor and looked awesome from inside the paint and even the mid-range in Game 2.
He put up a stat line of 21 points, nine rebounds, four assists and two blocks, but a lot of what he brought was the ability to get pressure at the rim, plus screening and great passing that all allowed the Heat to excel from beyond the arc. Those things aren't prevalent on the stats sheet, but those intangible qualities have contributed to Miami's success.
His two big scoring nights in the NBA Finals are no surprise, as he's consistently put up big numbers against the Nuggets. Dating back to 2020 he's logged 15 or more points in six of his seven contests in the regular season, and now 20-plus in both games thus far the Finals
He's been so good on the road in both games that returning home should make for another great night out of Adebayo. Look for him to log big minutes once again — somewhere around the 40 mark. With his penetration and presence inside, if the Heat are knocking down 3s the way they have been that just makes Adebayo even more dangerous.
Michael Porter Jr. Over 2.5 Made 3-Point Shots
Michael Porter Jr. has really struggled from beyond the arc this series, connecting on only three made 3-point shots on 17 attempts. Although he keeps shooting and getting good looks, the ball just has not been falling with much consistency– especially from deep.
His defense has always been a liability, and that makes his minutes inconsistent. We saw this in Game 2, in which he logged only 26 minutes, but the Nuggets need his offense and scoring, especially if he can find his groove early on.
His splits have been pretty similar at home and on the road in the regular season, and much the same in the postseason.
Thus far these playoffs, there is a big jump in 3s attempted on the road at 8.1 versus at home at 6.3. He's also shooting above 36% overall from deep. Looking into his stats in more detail against the Heat, he's made three or more 3-point shots in three of the last four head-to-head's versus the Nuggets in the regular season.
Although they haven't been falling yet this series, he's attempted a big number thus far through two games. Take him on the over to connect from beyond the arc.
Pick: Adebayo o19.5 PTS + Porter Jr. o2.5 3s SGP (+255) |
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