GA Southern vs. Georgia State Odds & Betting Predictions - September 28, 2024
GA Southern at Georgia State
7:30 pm • ESPNUGA Southern at Georgia State Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
GA Southern 8-4 | -1 | +3.5-114 | o57.5-108 | +131 |
Georgia State 3-9 | u57.5 | -3.5-105 | u57.5-111 | -157 |
Saturday 7:30 p.m.
September 28, 2024Center Parc StadiumAtlanta
GA Southern vs. Georgia State Expert Picks
YBK Picks.com
76d ago
Last 30d: 39-41-2 (-12.0u)
GAST -3.5-105
2.1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
76d ago
Last 30d: 277-240-10 (+21.3u)
Under 58.5-110
1u
#ProSystem
. windy unders cool to low temps
Overall: 1150-856-23,57% (ROI:11%)
Season:11-6-0,65% (ROI:24%)
GAST -146
1u
#ProSystem
… dog to fav
Overall: 126-64-1,66% (ROI:17%)
Season:0-1-0,0% (ROI:-100%)
... dog to favorite
Overall: 82-40-1,67% (ROI:20%)
Season:0-0-0, 0% (ROI: 0%)
Tanner McGrath
77d ago
Last 30d: 119-93-5 (+16.4u)
GAST -155
1.55u
Picks Office
80d ago
Last 30d: 108-100-5 (+0.9u)
GAST -2.5-110
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice
Georgia State enters this game with a solid 2-1 record, riding the momentum of a dramatic last-second victory over Vanderbilt. Christian Veilleux led the charge with 269 passing yards and three touchdowns in that game, while Freddie Brock added 96 rushing yards to round out a balanced offensive attack. Offensively, the Panthers have averaged 24 points per game with 239 passing yards and a strong 153.3 rushing yards per game. While they’ve allowed 29.3 points per game, they’ve done well on third downs, converting at a 43.2% rate, which will be crucial against Georgia Southern’s defense that is clearly vulnerable, allowing 34.8 points per game.
Georgia Southern, on the other hand, is coming off a devastating blowout loss to Ole Miss, where they were outgained by over 400 yards and managed only 198 yards of offense while going a dreadful 3-17 on third downs. Their defense has been consistently porous, giving up over 30 points in every game this season except against South Carolina State. While JC French has been efficient with a 63.8% completion rate and six touchdowns to only one interception, the Eagles’ ground game is weak, averaging just 89.8 rushing yards per game. This lack of balance on offense combined with a defense that’s struggled against both strong and middling competition makes them vulnerable, especially on the road.
Georgia State’s balanced attack, led by Veilleux and a reliable rushing game, should find success against a shaky Eagles defense that’s shown an inability to stop the run or pass consistently. The Panthers' offensive line has protected Veilleux well, allowing him to make plays both inside and outside the pocket. Georgia Southern’s inability to stop teams on third down (only 38.2% on third-down defense) will be exposed by Georgia State’s efficiency on third downs. Moreover, coming off a bye week, the Panthers should be more rested and better prepared, giving them a significant advantage, especially at home.
While Georgia Southern is averaging 32 points per game, their numbers are inflated due to their early matchups against weaker teams like Nevada and South Carolina State. Their true form was exposed against Boise State and Ole Miss, where they allowed over 50 points in each contest. Expect Georgia State’s defense, while not elite, to do enough to contain JC French and force the Eagles into passing situations, which will play into the hands of the Panthers’ secondary.
With Georgia Southern reeling from the blowout and facing a tough road test, Georgia State’s balanced offense and better-rested team should control the game. Backing the Panthers to cover the -2.5 spread feels like the right play, especially with Georgia State’s ability to convert on key downs and Georgia Southern’s defensive struggles.
Mitch Carl
80d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
GASO +3.5-113
0.88u
Collin Wilson
81d ago
Last 30d: 79-74-3 (-24.6u)
GAST +1.5-115
1.15u
GA Southern vs. Georgia State Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
GA Southern vs. Georgia State Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Georgia State are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Georgia State are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Georgia State are 2-3 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Georgia State' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Georgia State' 6 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Georgia State | 3-8-1 | 1-5 | 2-3-1 | 0-5 | 3-3-1 |
GA Southern | 8-3-1 | 4-1-1 | 4-2 | 3-2-1 | 5-1 |
Over/Under History
overall | home o/u | away o/u | favorite o/u | underdog o/u | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Georgia State | 6-5-1 | 3-3 | 3-2-1 | 2-3 | 4-2-1 |
GA Southern | 5-7 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 2-4 | 3-3 |
Straight-Up (ML) History
overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Georgia State | 3-9 | N/A | N/A | 1-4 | 2-5 |
GA Southern | 8-4 | N/A | N/A | 4-2 | 4-2 |
Last 5 Matchups
Team Stats
498
Total Yards
385
87
Total Plays
60
5.724137931034483
Yards Per Play
6.416666666666667
237
YDS
356
24/39
Comps/Atts
23/45
6.076923076923077
YPA
7.911111111111111
1/0
TDs/INTs
2/3
3/15
Sacks/Yards
1/13
4/4 100%
Redzone
1/1 100%
10/17 0%
3rd Down
3/11 0%
0/0 0%
4th Down
0/1 0%
2/15
Penalties/Yards
4/45
GA Southern vs. Georgia State Odds Comparison
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GA Southern at Georgia State Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
GA Southern 8-4 | o26.5-125 | u26.5-110 |
Georgia State 3-9 | o30.5-125 | u30.5-110 |