Boston College vs Pitt Odds
| Boston College Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Point Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
+2.5 -105 | 46.5 -110o / -110u | +110 |
| Pitt Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Point Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
-2.5 -115 | 46.5 -110o / -110u | -130 |
On Thursday evening, we head to Acrisure Stadium, where the Pittsburgh Panthers will host the Boston College Eagles. This ACC clash appears lopsided on paper, but for some reason, oddsmakers think otherwise.
Let's dig through the Boston College vs. Pitt odds and make a prediction for Thursday's lone college football game.
Boston College Eagles
The Eagles were absolutely steamrolled by Virginia Tech last Saturday. I still can't entirely believe they allowed 600 ([) yards of total offense.
I'm aware that this could easily be an outlier for the Eagles defense, but it also doesn't bode well for the remainder of the year. Boston College suffered a handful of injuries on the defensive side of the ball, and the impact could be felt imminently.
Quarterback Thomas Castellanos didn't play his best last week, completing 10-of-20 passes for 50 yards with one touchdown and two interceptions.
This offense will have its hands full this week against a Pitt defense that's a lot better than its 2-8 record portrays. Castellanos will need to be much more efficient if Boston College wants to pull out a road win.
It appears this will be a strength-on-strength matchup, as the Eagles rank top-50 in Rushing Success Rate and Line Yards, while Pitt's defense sits top-30 in both of those categories.
Castellano's rushing ability is a huge reason why he's been successful because the Eagles are 105th in Passing Success Rate. If they're unable to move the ball on the ground, I have a hard time envisioning points being scored.
Defensively, this group has been gashed all year against formidable opponents, but the Panthers offense is anemic. However, Pitt has had success running the ball.
The Eagles are third-worst in the nation in creating Havoc, but the Panthers' offensive front has been abused all year. However, Boston College also ranks 122nd in Defensive Finishing Drives.
Additionally, the Eagles' injury report is full, especially on defense. If you enjoy ugly football, be sure to tune in Thursday evening.
Pittsburgh Panthers
The Panthers, for the most part, have been able to stop the run. But Syracuse still ran for 382 yards last week. That was a big surprise, and I expect Pat Narduzzi's group to have a much more inspired effort this week.
If the Panthers don't show any signs of life over the next couple of weeks, I wouldn't be surprised if Narduzzi loses his job. To me, it's put up or shut up time, especially for this defense.
Luckily for this unit, they've been excellent in Defensive Quality Drives and Defensive Finishing Drives. The Eagles are top-50 in both of these categories, so that could be a huge difference in this game.
The quarterback position has been questionable for the Panthers this season ever since Phil Jurkovec started taking practice snaps at tight end. Quarterback Christian Veilleux has been dreadful since being handed the keys and sports a 7:8 touchdown-to-interception ratio.
Narduzzi said he won't name a starter for this game, which makes me believe Nate Yarnell will get the starting nod.
With Yarnell potentially starting, I'd expect the Panthers to lean on a ground attack that ranks 46th in Rushing Success Rate.
This offense may see a spark with a quarterback change, but I wouldn't expect different results. Despite the Eagles having a ton of defensive injuries, I think this offense is way too anemic to put a lot of points on the scoreboard.
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Boston College vs Pitt
Matchup Analysis
Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Boston College and Pitt match up statistically:
Boston College Offense vs Pitt Defense
 | Offense |  Defense |  Edge |
| Rush Success | 48 | 30 | |
| Line Yards | 48 | 30 | |
| Pass Success | 106 | 85 | |
| Havoc | 37 | 92 | |
| Finishing Drives | 63 | 38 | |
| Quality Drives | 31 | 52 | |
Pitt Offense vs Boston College Defense
| Offense | Defense | Edge |
| Rush Success | 46 | 77 | |
| Line Yards | 90 | 75 | |
| Pass Success | 129 | 124 | |
| Havoc | 86 | 131 | |
| Finishing Drives | 98 | 122 | |
| Quality Drives | 133 | 98 | |
Pace of Play / Other
| | |
| PFF Tackling | 82 | 111 |
| PFF Coverage | 84 | 79 |
| Special Teams SP+ | 93 | 96 |
| Middle 8 | 125 | 102 |
| Seconds per Play | 26.1 (50) | 27.8 (86) |
| Rush Rate | 59.8% (14) | 48.7% (105) |
Boston College vs Pitt
Prediction, Pick
I want to ride with the Panthers, as it'd probably be smart to follow the market steam. However, I think this is a good spot for an under.
After getting embarrassed last week, both of these defenses should have chips on their shoulders. Additionally, there's no reason to have faith in either offense — especially Pitt's.
Even if both offenses can find a way to move the chains, I wouldn't expect a lot of explosive plays from either team. Both of these special teams units are also horrific, which should also work in our favor.
This number is still sitting above 45, so I'd grab it before it dips any further. I also wouldn't skip out on any plans to watch this game, so let's cash this under without any torture.
Pick: Under 46.5 (Play to 45)
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