Another Saturday, another slate of college football player props to bet.
This week, our college football writers came through with three college football prop bets, including picks for three running backs — Jarquez Hunter, Kaleb Johnson, and Cam Skattebo.
Let's dive into our best college football player props for Week 10.
CFB Prop Picks for Week 10
In the table below, you'll find each of our college football staff's top player prop picks from Saturday's slate of Week 10 games. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
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Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NCAAF Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Vanderbilt vs. Auburn CFB Player Props
Jarquez Hunter 120+ Rush Yards (+205)
The key to beating Vanderbilt is keeping them off the field, and Auburn running back Jarquez Hunter will do just that.
After languishing for the first part of the SEC schedule, the Auburn running game has come back to life. Last week, against Kentucky, Auburn rushed for 326 yards, and Hunter accounted for 278 of those.
Hunter averages 15 touches and 107.9 yards per game at 7.2 yards per carry.
This week presents an excellent matchup for those backing Hunter out of the backfield as they face a Vanderbilt defense that ranks ninth in the SEC in rushing defense, allowing 114.8 yards per game.
Vanderbilt runs an option-based offense that has worked remarkably well. The Commodores thrive on chaotic plays and muddying the game.
Ultimately, however, they're at their best when controlling the clock — they rank 11th nationally in time of possession.
Auburn will look to reduce Vanderbilt's time of possession edge with a heavy run game package of its own. Hunter will benefit from this; I expect him to see between 22 and 27 carries.
Given Vanderbilt's vulnerability against the run, Hunter should have a big day. He might not average 7.2 YPC, but 120 yards is well within reach.
Pick: Jarquez Hunter 120+ Rush Yards (+205) | Play to 120+ (+190)
Arizona State vs. Oklahoma State CFB Player Prop Picks
Cam Skattebo Over 124 Rush Yards (-110)
By Cody Goggin
Arizona State has been riding running back Cam Skattebo all season, and that likely won’t change in this week’s matchup.
The Sun Devils rank 13th nationally in run plays per game this season (40). Skattebo has seen over 17 carries in every game since Week 1, including 20.5 carries per game in conference play. He's eclipsed 150 rushing yards in three separate games this year.
He'll have a fantastic matchup on Saturday against Oklahoma State's defense.
The Cowboys rank 100th nationally in Rush Success Rate allowed and 126th in EPA per Rush allowed. Per Pro Football Focus, they're the worst run defense and tackling unit among Power 4 squads.
Skattebo's 89.0 PFF Rush grade ranks fifth among Power 4 running backs. He has 567 yards after contact, and his 49 missed tackles forced is the fourth-highest mark among those 350-ish Power 4 backs.
Skattebo should have plenty of usage, and he'll capitalize on those opportunities with plenty of missed tackles against a sketchy front seven.
Pick: Cam Skattebo Over 124 Rush Yards (-110) | Play to Over 130 (-110)
Arizona State vs. Oklahoma State CFB Player Props
Cam Skattebo Over 124 Rush Yards (-110)
By Brett Pund
I initially thought that Skattebo's rushing yards prop looked high.
But after digging deeper, I found that it's my favorite player prop on the board for Saturday.
Against Power 4 competition, Skattebo is averaging 133.2 rushing yards per game, topping 125 in three of the six contests. His starting quarterback was hurt in one of the three games, and he fell short as Cincinnati sold out against the run.
Skattebo and his starting quarterback should be healthy and rested fresh off a bye week.
Meanwhile, Oklahoma State's defense can't stop the run. The Cowboys rank outside the top 100 nationally in Rush Success Rate allowed and Defensive Line Yards. They also rank 128th in Pro Football Focus's Tackling grades. Oklahoma State has allowed 156.3 rushing yards per game to opposing Power 4 lead running backs.
They'll struggle against an Arizona State offense that ranks in the top 15 nationally in Rush Success Rate and Offensive Line Yards.
I expect Skattebo to get fed often and early, and I don’t believe the Pokes will stop him.
Pick: Cam Skattebo Over 124 Rush Yards (-110) | Play to Over 130 (-110)
Wisconsin vs. Iowa CFB Player Prop Picks
Kaleb Johnson Over 124.5 Rush Yards & 2+ TDs (+340)
There are two angles to this bet that aren’t getting enough attention.
First, Wisconsin’s run defense has fallen off a cliff. The Badgers' run defense finished in the top 10 nationally every season between 2019 and 2022. Jim Leonhard’s defenses were a brick wall in the box.
But then Leonhard was replaced when the new regime came to Madison. After a slightly subpar season against the run in 2023 (41st), Luke Fickell brought in Alex Grinch as his new coordinator.
Big mistake.
The Badgers have slipped to 70th in PFF's Rush Defense grades and 86th in yards per carry allowed (4.5). They're vulnerable against the run.
Second, Kaleb Johnson has become a star.
In an Ashton Jeanty-less world, Johnson would be a near shoo-in for the Doak Walker and probably generate some Heisman buzz. He’s hit this parlay (124.5+ yards, 2+ TDs) in four games this season, accomplishing the feat against Iowa State, Troy, Minnesota, and Washington.
Averaging nearly eight yards per carry, he’s a near lock to hit triple digits against a below-average run defense. And from a volume perspective, when you remove blowout wins over Illinois State and Northwestern and a blowout loss to Ohio State, he’s averaging over 21 carries per game.
Iowa enters as just a 3-point home favorite, so I think the likelihood of Johnson heading to the bench early in a blowout is slim to none.
Johnson is the Hawkeyes’ offensive engine and will get every opportunity, goal-line touches included, to gouge the Badgers.
Pick: Kaleb Johnson Over 124.5 Rush Yards & 2+ TDs (+340) | Play to (+325)
