The Florida Atlantic Owls (1-2) travel north to take on the UConn Huskies (1-2) in a Saturday evening matchup (7 p.m. ET, CBS Sports Network) for the college football degenerates.
FAU will look to continue its winning ways following a win over Florida International. The Owls are currently 1-2 straight up and 2-1 against the spread, with the total staying under in two of those games.
Connecticut enters this game following a 26-21 loss to Duke and holds a 1-2 record. The Huskies own a 2-1 record against the spread and have also seen two games go over the total.
It'll be near perfect weather for this game with temperatures in the 60s and no rain. Winds will be around eight miles per hour.
Continue below for my FAU vs UConn prediction for Saturday of college football Week 4.
Florida Atlantic vs UConn Odds, Spread, Pick
Florida Atlantic Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1 -112 | 45.5 -112 / -108 | -105 |
UConn Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1 -108 | 45.5 -112 / -108 | -115 |
- Point Spread: Florida Atlantic +1 (-112) · UConn -1 (-108)
- Total: Over/Under 45.5
- Moneyline: Florida Atlantic -105 · UConn -115
- Pick: FAU +2.5
Florida Atlantic vs UConn Preview
FAU Football
Tom Herman's second season with the Owls has started off with some promise following a 4-8 debut year, but this game is a must-win if he hopes to improve upon the overall record.
Through three games, FAU is averaging 18.3 points per game and 4.4 yards per play. The Owls have a 36% success rate and have scored 2.67 points per opportunity.
The Owls' offense is a run-first attack, but the passing game has done its job in a complementary role. They average 156.7 passing yards per game and 5.3 yards per attempt.
Cam Fancher has thrown every pass and is completing 58% of his throws en route to a 39% passing success rate.
FAU averages 38.7 rush attempts per game and 144.3 rushing yards per game. Fancher leads the team 43 rush attempts, but a two-man backfield of CJ Campbell Jr. and Zuberi Mobley each have over 30 carries and 100 rushing yards.
Mobley represents the most efficient option with 5.4 yards per attempt, and he's turned his 33 carries into three touchdowns.
As a unit, the Owls have a 35% rushing success rate behind an offensive line generating nearly 3.0 line yards per attempt.
The Owls' defense has done its part to keep a struggling offense in the game. The unit allows 20.0 points per game and 6.1 yards per play. While the Owls have struggled to generate havoc, they have slowed offensive scoring opportunities, allowing just three points per opportunity.
Overall, the defense allows a 40% success rate and has been slightly better against the passing game, albeit in limited chances.
UConn Football
Jim Mora took over a program at the bottom of the FBS and has moved it slightly up the list of the bottom-25. Through three games, his team is sitting with a 1-2 record.
UConn is averaging 30.3 points per game and 6.3 yards per play. His offense has a 40% success rate and averages 3.73 points per opportunity.
The Huskies have used both Nick Evers and Joe Fagnano, but Evers is the primary QB option. The team has averaged 234.3 passing yards and 2.3 passing TDs per game. As a team, the Huskies have completed 51.1% of their passes for an average of 7.8 yards per attempt and a 47% passing success rate.
With a 53% rush rate, the Huskies' offense has leaned on a passing game that's slightly above the national average.
Four backs have rushed the ball more than 15 times and eclipsed 70 rushing yards. Camryn Edwards leads the way with 153 yards and two touchdowns. As a unit, the Huskies have a 42% rushing success rate behind an offensive line that's averaged 3.24 line yards per attempt.
The defense started off the season in a concerning manner, allowing 50 points to Maryland, but the unit has held its last two opponents under 30 points.
For the year, the Huskies have allowed 31 points per game and 5.8 yards per play. They allow a 41% success rate, 3.53 points per opportunity and generate a 15% Havoc rate.
Florida Atlantic vs UConn Prediction
As of this writing, Connecticut is a 2.5-point favorite, which has held steady from the open. The total has dropped from 47 to 46.5.
According to the Action Network Pro Report, sharp money has bet the favorite to cover the short spread and also has bet the under.
My preferred bet to to go against the sharps on the spread. I project FAU as a small favorite and would move on the Owls as long as I'm still getting points.
I also lean in favor of the under as both teams will likely find success with their running game.
Pick: FAU +2.5
How to Watch Florida Atlantic vs UConn Live: Start Time, TV Channel, Location
Location: | Pratt & Whitney Stadium, East Hartford, CT |
Date: | Saturday, Sept. 21 |
Kickoff Time: | 7 p.m. ET |
TV / Streaming: | CBS Sports Network |
Florida Atlantic vs UConn Betting Trends
- 60% of the bets and 63% of the money is on UConn to cover the spread against Florida Atlantic on Saturday
- 85% of the bets and 85% of the money is on the over.
Florida Atlantic vs UConn Weather