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New Mexico State vs Tennessee Prediction, Pick, NCAAF Odds for Saturday, Nov. 15

New Mexico State vs Tennessee Prediction, Pick, NCAAF Odds for Saturday, Nov. 15 article feature image
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Credit: Imagn Images. Pictured: Tennessee Volunteers QB Joey Aguilar.

The New Mexico State Aggies take on the Tennessee Volunteers in Knoxville, Tennessee. Kickoff is set for 4:15 p.m. EST on SEC Network.

Tennessee is favored by 39.5 points on the spread. The total is set at 61.5 points.

Here’s my New Mexico State vs. Tennessee prediction and college football picks for Saturday, November 15, 2025.


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New Mexico State vs Tennessee Prediction

  • New Mexico State vs. Tennessee Pick: Tennessee -39.5 (-110, bet365)

My Tennessee vs. New Mexico State best bet is on the Vols to cover the big spread. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.


New Mexico State vs Tennessee Odds

New Mexico State Logo
Saturday, Nov 15
4:15 p.m. ET
SEC Network
Tennessee Logo
New Mexico State Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+39.5
-110
61.5
-110o / -110u
Tennessee Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-39.5
-110
61.5
-110o / -110u
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute NCAAF odds here.
bet365 Logo
  • New Mexico State vs Tennessee point spread: Tennessee -39.5 (-110), New Mexico State +39.5 (-110)
  • New Mexico State vs Tennessee over/under: 61.5 (-110o / -110u)

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New Mexico State vs Tennessee Preview

Historically, Tennessee drops the hammer on lesser opponents in spots like this.

This is a complete lay-down-and-die spot for New Mexico State. The Aggies’ Bowl hopes have evaporated. They’ve lost four games in a row. They’ve allowed over 400 yards of total offense in each of the past four weeks.

Meanwhile, the Volunteers are off their Bye week, and will want to get some reps for the starters early in this one before letting the second-stringers mop things up, hopefully staying healthy for the Florida game next week.

Let’s look at how Josh Heupel has handled these late-season spots against inferior competition:

  • 2024: 56-0 over UTEP (laying 41.5)
  • 2023: 59-3 over UConn
  • 2022: 66-24 over UT Martin
  • 2021: 60-14 over South Alabama

Tennessee won’t sleepwalk through this game, as it hasn’t in this spot over the past four seasons.

Pick: Tennessee -39.5 (-110, bet365)

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New Mexico State vs Tennessee Betting Trends



New Mexico State vs Tennessee Weather


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