Broncos vs. Bears Odds & Betting Predictions - October 1, 2023

Broncos at Bears

5:00 pm • CBS

Denver Broncos

5-4

31 - 28

Chicago Bears

4-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Broncos 5-4	-3-111	o47-110	-162
Bears 4-4	+3-109	u47-110	+136

Sunday 5:00 p.m.

October 01, 2023

Soldier FieldChicago

M.Mims Anytime TD Scorer+440

0.5u

Via Brian Matthews

DEN -3-105

2.1u

J.Jeudy o60.5 Rec Yds-135

5 yards higher than Sutton on my offshore

CHI +3.5-110

Contest number was 3.5, locked it in early on Thursday

CHI +3-110

D.Moore o99.5 Rec Yds+925

2.31u

D.Moore o46.5 Rec Yds-110

0.45u

Denver is bottom barrel in defensive DVOA and were one of the worst even before the Miami destruction. Think this is a good opportunity for Moore to rip a couple chunk plays off.

J.Williams o50.5 Rush Yds-120

J.Williams o52.5 Rush Yds-114

1.14u

READ IT 😁:https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/broncos-vs-bears-player-props-bet-javonte-williams

Under 46.5-110

1.1u

R.Johnson o31.5 Rush Yds-110

1.1u

@The_Oddsmaker

R.Johnson o31.5 Rush Yds-110

1.1u

CHI +114 (1Q)

Over 46-110

0.36u

Resorts World

D.Moore o40.5 Rec Yds-125

0.8u

D.Moore o40.5 Rec Yds-125

R.Johnson o31.5 Rush Yds-120

0.4u

Via @BirdmanThe4th

CHI -2.5+172

0.3u

Over 46-110

0.91u

Two of the worst teams in the NFL won’t put up points

Under 46-110

@nick_giffen

CHI +3.5-113

0.88u

Of course it’s gross, but it’s the right thing to do…as long as you get the hook.

Under 46-110

Available at FanDuel. Both of these defenses suck, but do we trust the two offenses to combine for 46 points? Maybe the Broncos are due for some positive regression, but that's not enough to bridge the gap between my model and the total here. I've got it at 43.5 right now with the projected wind speeds at 5 miles per hour. Even if the wind does decrease, I should still show value here. I'm fine betting against these two offenses even if means sweating the two worst defenses in football thus far.

CHI +3.5-125

$50.00

DON’T FUCKING ASK I DON’T KNOW WHY I DO THIS TO MYSELF

Under 46.5-115

1.15u

#LuckRankings under

Featured Insight
The Bears have run successful plays on 55.0% of pass attempts on their opponent's side of the field this season -- second-best in NFL. Broncos have allowed successful plays on 53.0% of pass attempts on their own side of the field this season -- tied for eighth-worst in NFL.

TRY FOR FREE

Featured Insight
The Bears have an average drive start position from the 23.8 yard line this season -- tied for fifth-worst in NFL. The Broncos have allowed an average drive start position from the 24.2 yard line this season -- eighth-best in NFL.

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NFL Public Betting

Bears are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Bears are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Bears are 1-3 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Bears' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Bears' 3 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bears	5-3	3-0	1-3	3-0	2-3
Broncos	6-3	2-2	4-1	3-0	3-3

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Bears	3-5	2-1	0-4	2-1	1-4
Broncos	6-3	3-1	3-2	3-0	3-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bears	4-4	N/A	N/A	3-0	1-4
Broncos	5-4	N/A	N/A	3-0	2-4

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 24th	@KC	L 10-41	+12.5 L	O 48.5	KC +525
Sep 17th	@TB	L 17-27	+2.5 L	O 41	TB +110
Sep 10th	GB	L 20-38	-1 L	O 40.5	GB -120
Aug 26th	BUF	L 21-24	+3 L	O 37.5	BUF +154
Aug 19th	@IND	L 17-24	+4.5 L	O 37.5	IND +175

Josh Reynolds
WR
Reynolds is out with hand
Out
P.J. Locke
S
Locke is out with thumb
Out
Delarrin Turner-Yell
S
Turner-Yell is out with knee
Out

Ryan Bates
OL
Bates is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Jaquan Brisker
DB
Brisker is out with concussion
Out
Braxton Jones
OL
Jones is out with knee
Out
Caleb Williams
QB
Williams is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Kiran Amegadjie
OL
Amegadjie is out with calf
Out

See more NFL Injuries

Broncos

Total

Bears

311

Total Yards

471

Total Plays

6.5

Yards Per Play

6.7

Broncos

Passing

Bears

223

YDS

335

21/28

Comps/Atts

28/35

7.379

YPA

7.692

3/0

TDs/INTs

4/1

1/9

Sacks/Yards

4/35

Broncos

Rushing

Bears

Rush Yards

171

Attempts

5.105

YPC

5.516

TDs

Broncos

Turnovers

Bears

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Broncos

Efficiency

Bears

3/3 100%

Redzone

2/3 66.67%

6/11 0%

3rd Down

6/12 0%

0/0 0%

4th Down

1/3 0%

Broncos

First Downs

Bears

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Broncos

Misc

Bears

7/39

Penalties/Yards

10/91

26:11

Possession

33:49

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MatchupOverUnder
Broncos 5-4	o24.5-101	u24.5-112
Bears 4-4	o22-115	u22-106

Broncos vs. Bears Odds & Betting Predictions - October 1, 2023

Broncos at Bears

Denver Broncos

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Broncos at Bears Odds

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Public

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