Betting NFL parlays via Anytime Touchdown Scorers is incredibly fun, even if they’re mostly a losing proposition that will drain your bankroll if you’re not careful. Most sportsbooks tend to clean up on this type of bet, so how do we scratch the “parlay itch” without overextending ourselves financially?
Allow me to introduce “The 180 Challenge.” Here’s how it works:
Each week, I'll be betting a 3-leg NFLAnytime TD parlay that equates to +1800 or more. $10 per parlay ticket, $180 total for the season.
The goal is to win as much as possible. But the safety net is, you only need to hit one parlay all season to make your money back. If you go 0-18 (which is unfortunate), the positive spin is it's only $180.
This way, we can still participate with fun touchdown parlays while managing our bankroll and not going overboard on bad spending habits. We hit our first 22-1 parlay of the season back in Week 6, and then followed that up with another 20-1 winner in Week 10. That means we’re playing with house money the rest of the season, for those following along.
Disclaimer: 18-1 parlays have less than 5% chance of hitting, and that percentage only shrinks as you increase the parlay odds. Keep your expectations in check and bet on these for recreation.
Continue below for my NFL parlay picks for Week 11.
NFL Parlay Week 11
- Anthony Richardson Anytime Touchdown (+210)
- George Pickens Anytime Touchdown (+150)
- George Kittle Anytime Touchdown (+200)
Note: I took George Kittle out of the parlay in place of DeAndre Hopkins. Kittle's status for Seahawks-49ers is up in the air, so I wanted to provide a reliable alternative.
Parlay Odds: +1915 (bet365)
Colts vs. Jets Parlay Pick: Anthony Richardson
After a brief few weeks on the bench, Anthony Richardson has the starting QB job back for the Colts, and he's fully healthy, and this could be a decent matchup for him to find the end zone.
This week, the Colts will be taking on a Jets defense, whose strength lies in the secondary as opposed to stopping the rush, ranked 27th in the NFL in defensive DVOA against the run.
The Jets have already allowed five rushing TDs to opposing QBs this season. Look for T-Rich to use his legs and get the Colts on the board this week.
Ravens vs. Steelers Parlay Pick: George Pickens
George Pickens leads the Steelers in nearly every receiving category, and he's especially taken off since the change to Russell Wilson at quarterback.
Pickens has scored a touchdown in two of three games with Wilson at QB, and he probably should've scored in all three.
The Ravens secondary has allowed the most touchdowns in the NFL to opposing wide receivers this season.
Coming off a game where Ja’Marr Chase torched the Ravens' secondary for three TDs, I expect Pickens to find the end zone again in this matchup.
Chiefs vs. Bills Parlay Pick: DeAndre Hopkins
Chiefs WR DeAndre Hopkins should have an easier matchup this week against the Bills and no CB Patrick Surtain. The Bills plays zone at a top-nine rate and Nuk has three red-zone targets in three games with the Chiefs and a two-touchdown outing. He's also second on the team in target share when playing zone defenses so look for Mahomes to look for Hopkins in the endzone.
