Derek Carty

Derek Carty's Picks

Today
Pending
THE BLITZ is forecasting 22.73 completions for Philip Rivers. The oddsmakers' implied projection is 17.15 completions, so I believe there is some value here. If you take the over, you’d be projected to win 81% of the time resulting in a 58% ROI with expected value of $61.40 (based on a $100 wager). This play is good down to at least -240. Love THE BLITZ? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics: https://evanalytics.com/products/nfl-premium-subscription?ref=zdlkmgz
27
11
There is a value opportunity on Alec Pierce's receiving yards prop. THE BLITZ is projecting 61.53 receiving yards for him with a 87% chance that he exceeds 18.5 receiving yards. If you can get the over at -114 or better, there is some great value here. This play is good down to at least -315. Love THE BLITZ? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics: https://evanalytics.com/products/nfl-premium-subscription?ref=zdlkmgz
20
4
THE BLITZ is forecasting 5.42 receptions for Michael Pittman. The oddsmakers' implied projection is 3.70 receptions, so I believe there is some value here. If you take the over, you’d be projected to win 72% of the time resulting in a 52% ROI with expected value of $51.79 (based on a $100 wager). This play is good down to at least -165. Love THE BLITZ? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics: https://evanalytics.com/products/nfl-premium-subscription?ref=zdlkmgz
15
5
There is a value opportunity on Jonathan Taylor's receptions prop. THE BLITZ is projecting him to record 2.37 receptions, while sportsbooks imply 3.68. The model believes there is a 60% chance he records fewer than 2.5 receptions, so there is some value on the under at +152. This play is good down to at least -111. Love THE BLITZ? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics: https://evanalytics.com/products/nfl-premium-subscription?ref=zdlkmgz
15
4
Futures
Past Performance
Yesterday0-0-00%
0.00u
Last 7 Days0-1-10%
-1.00u
Last 30 Days4-6-136%
-0.82u
All Time59-80-840%
5.62u
Top Leagues
NFL44-48-147%
5.39u
MLB15-32-728%
0.23u