
Derek Carty

147
Total Bets
149.6K
Followers
Derek Carty
Last 30d: 4-6-1 (-0.82u)
Derek Carty's Picks
Today
Pending
P.Rivers o16.5 Pass Comp-105
SF
IND
1.05u
12/23 1:15 AM
THE BLITZ is forecasting 22.73 completions for Philip Rivers. The oddsmakers' implied projection is 17.15 completions, so I believe there is some value here. If you take the over, you’d be projected to win 81% of the time resulting in a 58% ROI with expected value of $61.40 (based on a $100 wager). This play is good down to at least -240. Love THE BLITZ? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics: https://evanalytics.com/products/nfl-premium-subscription?ref=zdlkmgz
27
11
A.Pierce o18.5 Rec Yds-114
SF
IND
1.14u
12/23 1:15 AM
There is a value opportunity on Alec Pierce's receiving yards prop. THE BLITZ is projecting 61.53 receiving yards for him with a 87% chance that he exceeds 18.5 receiving yards. If you can get the over at -114 or better, there is some great value here. This play is good down to at least -315. Love THE BLITZ? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics: https://evanalytics.com/products/nfl-premium-subscription?ref=zdlkmgz
20
4
M.Pittman o3.5 Recs+112
SF
IND
1u
12/23 1:15 AM
THE BLITZ is forecasting 5.42 receptions for Michael Pittman. The oddsmakers' implied projection is 3.70 receptions, so I believe there is some value here. If you take the over, you’d be projected to win 72% of the time resulting in a 52% ROI with expected value of $51.79 (based on a $100 wager). This play is good down to at least -165. Love THE BLITZ? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics: https://evanalytics.com/products/nfl-premium-subscription?ref=zdlkmgz
15
5
J.Taylor u2.5 Recs+152
SF
IND
1u
12/23 1:15 AM
There is a value opportunity on Jonathan Taylor's receptions prop. THE BLITZ is projecting him to record 2.37 receptions, while sportsbooks imply 3.68. The model believes there is a 60% chance he records fewer than 2.5 receptions, so there is some value on the under at +152. This play is good down to at least -111. Love THE BLITZ? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics: https://evanalytics.com/products/nfl-premium-subscription?ref=zdlkmgz
15
4
Futures
| Past Performance | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 0-0-0 | 0% | 0.00u |
| Last 7 Days | 0-1-1 | 0% | -1.00u |
| Last 30 Days | 4-6-1 | 36% | -0.82u |
| All Time | 59-80-8 | 40% | 5.62u |
| Top Leagues | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| NFL | 44-48-1 | 47% | 5.39u |
| MLB | 15-32-7 | 28% | 0.23u |
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