PvB Bets' Picks
Today
Pending
A. Judge o0.5 Walks-113
1u
This price is wild. The man is over in 8 of L10 and his price was -200 or worse (and started at 1.5 walks). I know Judge hasn't been great, but walking is something he continues to do.
1
2-leg SGP-115
1u
2-leg Same Game Parlay
🦵 W. Buehler ⬇️ 4.5 K's
🦵 L. Severino 3+ Hits Allowed
1
Aaron Jones Under 17.5 Rushing Attempts-110
1u
A. Jones ⬇️ 17.5 Rushing Attempts (-115 @ 365)
THE BLITZ 📽️: 14.06 RA
Jones is averaging 14.9 carries per game this season. Jones is coming off a 19 carry game where no other RB touches the ball. Given their depth (they have Chandler and also traded for Akers), they will be more likely to mix in other RBs in this one. Given Jones' injury history, it makes sense to use some other back in rotation. They didn't trade for Akers for him to not play at all and we know Chandler is capable as well.
IND has a solid run defense. They rank as the 13th best run D according to PFF grading. Jones is getting a workhorse number here at 17.5 and some books have already moved this to 16.5. Flacco should make this Colts offense more competitive, which they'll need against a good MIN defense. Ultimately, I just think this number is too high and adding in injury risk makes this a nice value.
2
Futures
Past Performance | |||
---|---|---|---|
Yesterday | 2-1-1 | 50% | 0.80u |
Last 7 Days | 4-4-1 | 44% | -0.36u |
Last 30 Days | 19-20-1 | 48% | -3.19u |
All Time | 27-32-1 | 45% | -7.75u |
Top Leagues | |||
---|---|---|---|
NFL | 12-12-0 | 50% | -0.99u |
MLB | 6-8-0 | 43% | -2.88u |
NBA | 9-12-1 | 41% | -3.88u |
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