PvB Bets' Picks
Today
G.Smith o22.5 Pass Comp-120
LAC

20
-
9

LV
0.83u
FINAL 9/16
Geno went 24-34 in the Raider's week 1 win against New England with a touchdown and interception. We saw a pretty efficient passing attack from Geno and this offense. Geno held an aDOT of 11.0, while averaging just 7.6 last season. What I like about this is despite throwing deep in week 1, he was still able to clear this 22.5 line.
The LAC defense tends to run a lot of Cover 3. In week 1, they ran it at the 8th highest rate (36.3%). That a good coverage scheme to prevent deep plays. However it tends to leave shallow players more open, which could leave more short passes for Geno to make. Shorter passes help us in the completion department. Geno is also a very accurate QB. Of WB's with at least 500 drop backs last season, he ranked 4th highest in completion percentage (70.4%). That's essentially what Joe Burrow did last season (70.6%). In week one? 70.5%!
He has viable options in the passing game and it looks like Bowers will play. If the Chargers are a legit wagon on offense this season, we could also see a negative game script here. The passing yards are also not a bad play, but given the matchup I like completions more here.
7
1
Pending
Futures
Past Performance | |||
---|---|---|---|
Yesterday | 0-2-0 | 0% | -2.00u |
Last 7 Days | 2-2-0 | 50% | -0.21u |
Last 30 Days | 2-7-0 | 22% | -4.46u |
All Time | 163-126-6 | 55% | 16.00u |
Top Leagues | |||
---|---|---|---|
NBA | 94-56-6 | 60% | 25.90u |
NCAAF | 0-1-0 | 0% | -1.00u |
NHL | 0-1-0 | 0% | -1.00u |
NCAAB | 0-1-0 | 0% | -1.00u |
NFL | 48-45-0 | 52% | -2.80u |
MLB | 21-22-0 | 49% | -4.10u |
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