Like to back TCU early. Ace LaPour on the mound for the Horned Frogs and a lineup with plenty of batting prowess and undervalued in futures markets. Full writeup coming at Action Network.

Full writeup coming at Action Network.

WVU undervalued in futures market, plays decent GASO team. Full writeup coming at Action Network.

LaPour vs. Fennell is an elite matchup. Neither team brings much power and played in a major league park. Expect the starters to excell against small ball approach. Bullpens are also solid. TCU and unders should have strong correlation early.

Kansas underrated in futures markets. Serves as a nice boost for two heavy favorites.

Two stellar pitching staffs and UCSB has the advantage even on the road. More small ball teams with less power than you’d like to see for many runs generated. Expect another methodical mover like Friday’s 5-1 result.

Potent lineup for the Sooners hung 10 on the board yesterday vs. Texas Tech. Oklahoma State has concerns in pitching depth, giving up 12 to Arkansas yesterday. OU undervalued in the market, should be favored here.

Still targeting WVU early. NC State has ceiling for a deep postseason run and gets things going early with Indiana State. Florida dropped embarrassment yesterday, unlikely to happen twice against UAB.

Backing this team early. Armani Raygoza is a name to know for UTRGV as a lethal hitter. Fan backing is nuts here. High trajectory based on facilities, support, and financial backing. Took care of business with 7 runs in last night’s opener.

Bounce backs for Wake and Vandy. Ole Miss should continue to roll flawed Nevada pitching staff.

Cincinnati looks to complete series sweep while K-State seeking 3-0 tournament finish. K-State offense has been terrific against two quality opponents in Iowa and UConn. Freshman on the mound for PSU. Cincinnati shaping up to be another quiet pain in Big 12. Could make some noise with just enough juice at the plate and quality bullpen.

Flashes 2-0 on the weekend with 19 scored runs. SELA used 11 bullpen innings and five arms so far due to struggles from starters. Kent State bats are best in the MAC and finished 4th in the country in runs scored last year. This is a regional-caliber club.

Worth the flier. Louisville looks to be in trouble — roster looks totally lifeless on both sides. There’s a good chance Cards just aren’t any good. Michigan State had 7 batters post multiple hits yesterday alone. Watch for bats to remain aggressive Sunday against Peter Michael (37 walks in 50.1 IP last year). Cards ran out 8 different bullpen arms last two games. How much juice is left for Sunday?

Kent State potent bats and roll in after sweep over SELA. LSU also has potential to cover total by itself with 4th-best arm on Flashes. But confident Kent can steal a couple runs in Baton Rouge.

Alabama undervalued and both teams have pitching depth advantage.

Possible overvalue on UCF after noncompetitive weekend against Siena. Miami top-25 team playing at home and undervalued. Team to watch to host regional.

Pitching a legit issue for the Pokes. OKST starter Parker Jennings faced 5 Arkansas batters and allowed 3 runs in 0.2 IP last weekend. GCU trots out capable Fresno transfer JT Guerrero. Lopes went 1-2 with a good win over Northeastern and quality losses to Penn State and Nebraska. Backing a tournament team at home.

Full writeup coming to Action Network.

Tommy Egan back on the mound after nice start against Mercer (5.0 IP, 2 ER, 1 BB, 6 K). Troy bats are slower against better competition piecing together just 5 hits in 4-3 walkoff loss to Mercer (12 K). Campbell averaged 2.75 runs per game through 4 (2-2 record) and has yet to record its first HR. Superior pitching takes on lower-octane bats.

LaPour sitting for TCU against UCLA. Statement game possibility for Frogs, but clear Saarloos is playing long game. Not counting on run creation for this iteration of the TCU lineup. Hawaii a team I am looking to back early.

Michigan off to a terrific start against good competition. Louisville perhaps most lenient opponent yet. Wolverines are a legitimate threat to win Big 10 and play in the postseason. Batting has been a big issue for Cards against pitching staffs with a pulse. Transfer Cade Montgomery allowed no earned runs through 6.1 IP against Stanford last weekend. If bullpen holds up, Michigan could steal another one.

FSU playing like a CWS team early in the year. Bryson Moore back on the mound after struggling in his first action of the year. I expect a return to his UVA production (3.44 ERA, 21K in 18.1 IP). Freshman on the mound for TCU who was peppered against Oklahoma (4 ER, 5 hits in 3 IP) as rotation is moved up a day in LaPour’s absence. Run generation remains a concern. Ole Miss to boost juice here. Rebels take on Missouri State and took opener 11-6.

Houston looking like the biggest surprise in the Big 12. UTRGV is a team I’d like to back later on, but Cougs are looking dangerous with a pitching staff built to win 35+ games. See previous notes for UCLA. TL;DR: Run creation is an issue for Frogs & freshman on the mound after rough first outing.

Pitching leads the way for UCSB against overmatched opponent. Lineup for Gouchos needs improvement — high K rate across the board. Portland failed to score 5 runs in 4-of-5 games so far. Last Saturday, it fell 2-1 to Purdue.

For this number to go over, UCSB will have to provide most of the runs. Gouchos have not gone over 6 runs this year. Don’t expect Portland to provide much offense here.

Don’t know how you can side any other way with these two offenses. Arizona severe underperformers and bats are dead currently. UConn not much better appraisal.

GASO has surrendered 94 runs already this season. Pitching staff is a disaster. Games include allowing 29 (yesterday), 25 (Tuesday), 15, and 11. Now digging into SP3 and a bullpen that used 6 arms through 5.8 IP (the game ended after 7).

Houston looks for series win, FSU goes for 2-1 tournament run, and Ole Miss should sweep. UH and FSU took tough Saturday losses but have the talent to clean up Sunday.

Kurt Barr had terrific first outing with 1 ER and 8 K in 7.0 IP vs. Arizona last Sunday. Michigan only needed two arms to secure that 4-1 win. Pitching staff is stout for Michigan and bats have been solid. Michigan is a postseason worthy team.

Auburn is the superior baseball team. Louisville far overvalued in the market for a team that’s quite possibly just bad.

Former TCU ace Kole Klecker finds his way back to the mound now for ASU. He goes up against Michael Catalano, a talented sophomore. Catalano threw 2.2 IP relief innings in his only effort yet this year. We’re in for an excellent game but I like the 7-0 ‘dog in this first of two series.

USF quietly piecing together great season against better quality competition than Bethune Cookman. Kansas State takes on Louisiana. Cajuns used lots of bullpen arms last Tuesday (win over Rice) but went 15 long innings Sunday vs. Maryland. Middle reliever went 5.0 so this game will likely test new arms against dangerous Wildcat lineup.

Kole Klecker is an accomplished ace who suffered from inconsistency on TCU. Now a vet midweek arm with legit upside for ASU. Michael Catalano is a decided arm with young upside. Threw 2.2 IP with 4 Ks against Oklahoma State earlier. Both offenses are legit, but I like the arms tonight.

Warmer than you’d think in Cincinnati today with stiff breeze RF to LF shifting to out to CF. Xavier gave up 23 to a Louisville offense stuck in neutral last Tuesday. Indiana adept at scoring runs against lesser competition.

Auburn’s Jake Marciano has only allowed one run through two starts and 11 IP (20K). Teams are batting just .111 (Kansas State, Y-town State) against the sophomore lefty. Nebraska’s Ty Horn is solid, but Auburn’s offensive ceiling is superior. See other notes on UCSB.

I want to back UAB, but this is a numbers play. Elsewhere, Jacksonville is as high as -110 and -104. This is an errant line that’s gone too far. JAX starter Alex Walsh has allowed one run through 9.1 IP (2 starts). Getting some more innings out of him will be crucial. Options in bullpen expire quickly, but bats like Derek Bermudez and Cade Walter (4 HR each) will help keep the pressure on Blazers.

All Vanderbilt does is hit home runs. Junior Braden Holcomb leads the charge with 6 HR and slashing .471/.550/1.088. Even in a big league park like Globe Life, the Commodores managed to pile up HR. Connor Fennell off to a decent start, but has 10.1 IP in two starts and bullpen isn’t elite. Look for Vandy to provide most of the scoring, but UC Irvine could chip in a bit after Fennell. Wind is calm in Vegas and fence is shorter than Globe Life.

Oregon State’s offense is broken. It has yet to break 7 runs and, of seven played games, the Beavs stalled at 4 of fewer runs five times. Houston on the other hand has pitched quite well across the board. Paul Schmitz has yet to allow a run through 9 IP (2-0, vs. Wake Forest & UTRGV). Expect a low-scoring affair and I will look at the under when it becomes available.

Siding with undervalued WVU, Ole Miss. Hunter Elliott (OM) struggled with control last time out, but still a trustworthy ace with high upside. Baylor not the offense to take advantage. Jackson Florda has 1 ER in 11 IP (2-0) for UCSB. Gouchos can go the distance with two arms on Friday but bullpen is deep if need be.

Auburn collapsed last night vs. Nebraska and I don’t anticipate a repeat. Huskers throw Carson Jasa (a 6-foot-7 SO) who provides a lot of power and throws strikes. Fanned 17 batters in two starts but also allowed 6 runs and only lasted 10.2 innings total. Still riding WVU early. Really like Chansen Cole as a Saturday starter.

Arizona is in the dumpster and Vanderbilt is red-hot. UCSB still superior pitching depth and starting arms. Oklahoma playing far inferior Gonzaga team with a struggling offense and middling pitching staff. Good weather for all three, talent wins out.

Houston has yet to notch a high-quality win and Iowa is as high as -115 elsewhere.

Louisiana Tech Saturday starter Hudson Rowan has yet to allow his first run on the season in two starts. Grayden Harris gets the nod following a decent outing vs. Oregon State last weekend. Two pitching and defense-focused teams.

An entire run higher than other books. Iowa pitching has been inconsistent but really only toppled by very strong offenses like Alabama and Kansas State. Houston is not that offense. Cougs are pitching-focused and have been held at or under five runs in three straight.

Kennesaw State’s Ty Bayer has turned in two awful starts (20.77 ERA, just 4.1 IP in three appearances). WVU’s bats are hot led by SS Matt Ineich (17 hits, 10 RBI) and C Matt Graveline (3 HR). Expect WVU to provide most of the scoring.

Coastal down its two best arms until at least May. Yesterday, the Chants let three arms ride out a 16-run barrage from UTSA. The depth is hurting heading into this game against Ole Miss. UCSB looks to close out the sweep with Kellan Montgomery, who lasted 7.2 innings last weekend. The bullpen is well-rested as this weekend’s starters went 13.1 IP.

Nebraska’s Gavin Blachowicz has been terrific in his Sunday spots against two tough opponents, Grand Canyon and Florida State. The 6-foot-4 sophomore gave up just one run each outing and allowed one extra-base hit total (a HR). I expect a low-scoring affair here.

FGCU starter Hunter Possehl has fanned 17 batters through 9.2 IP and only 3 of his 7 allowed runs were earned. Boston College is 159th in WRAA and 176th in WRC+. I expect a strong outing from the 6-foot-7 sophomore.

A full run lower at other books. Nebraska starter Gavin Blachowitz has been one of the better Sunday arms against good competition like Grand Canyon and Florida State (allowed one run apiece).

Two less-than-exciting offenses meet for final day in Greenville. Michigan State bullpen has been excellent and JMU lacks power throughout its lineup (4 HR through 3 weekends!). Spartans are 287th in WRC+

UCSB excellent under team. Kellan Montgomery had much better outing last weekend making it 7.2 IP. Gouchos haven’t gone to the bullpen much this series (just two pen arms used) and Utah has 3 combined runs. Offense has been sparse for UCSB. 7 runs last two games are tied for season-best.

Red Wolves piecing together quietly great season so far. Tuesday results: 7-6 loss vs. Ole Miss and 12-4 win over Arkansas.

Last Tuesday, LSU threw 10 arms in an evaluation match against McNeese. The Tigers are looking for a solid midweek starter but they haven’t repeated a midweek starter yet. Two of the three gave up 3+ ER in about an inning of work. Louisiana is a high-quality opponent, winning 9-of-10 after an 0-2 start. Expect a great environment at The Tigue. If LSU approaches this like the other midweeks, Louisiana could steal a lower-scoring affair.

Matter Sauser threw UCF’s first Tuesday game against Miami but has since been moved to a Saturday role. Last Tuesday’s game was postponed, so we haven’t seen anyone take hold of the midweek starter gig for UCF. Chances are, a lot of arms work out for this game at home. FGCU is a quality opponent with a strong lineup with plenty of power in guys like Jon Embury and Jeremy Comer.

UAB off to scorching start with wins over Florida and two over Cincinnati. Bats are effective and bullpen is solid. Perhaps an overreaction, but rather get ahead on this number.

WVU avoids Arizona and Oklahoma State in conference play and hosts TCU to close the regular season. Draw 7 of bottom 8 according to preseason odds. B12 play starts with Baylor & BYU to gain momentum. Talented team highly spoke of but not represented in rankings. Return ace Chase Meyer, a first-team preseason AA selection. Good funding helped land a decent transfer class. Quietly landed atop the Big 12 last year and finished in the Super Regional for a second straight year.

Stud roster. This team fell short in another regional but has the talent to make a run at Omaha. High-end bats like Sawyer Strosnider and Noah Franco, high-end arms like Tommy LaPour and Mason Brassfield, and lots of returning contributors. Even without Louis Rodriguez (season-ending injury), Frogs have the depth in the bullpen to compete. Must score more runs against top arms and think another year with the core lineup will help.

Preseason No. 1 team not priced like it. Return 8 starters from last year’s Omaha team. Check all the boxes — star power, depth, and coaching.

Stellar start for USM that proves they’re not just hot, they’re excellent. Strong on both sides with a deep bullpen and potent lineup. Sun Belt schedule gives them the inside track to host a Regional — no Coastal until the postseason. Probably longest this number is going to be.

Return Golden Spikes favorite Roch Cholowsky and 8-of-9 starters from Omaha team last year. Pitching is solid, though depth of pen needs to show. Schedule is good balance of test (host TCU early, tourney vs. Tennessee, A&M, MSST) and manageable in Big Ten. Should contend for 40 wins again. Roster & staff understands how to win in postseason. Debuted as D1Baseball No. 1 team and is not priced like it everywhere.

Frogs return a strong nucleus. Last year bats were frustratingly silent but Bill Mosiello has a history of producing elite offenses. Sophomore class is as good as any. Tommy LaPour is a legitimate ace and bullpen is deep. Consistent program that has Omaha experience in the coaching staff.

Hired an elite coach in Brian O’Connor (Virginia). Few programs spend on baseball like Mississippi State and four straight disappointing seasons are followed by major buy-in. Big time transfer class with two high MLB prospects in Ace Reese and Jack Bauer.

Already one of the country’s most productive players brings his No. 1 WR to Miami and joins another alpha WR in Toney. Upgrades to OL and RB. Miami should remain near the top of preseason rankings and the high-profile nature of his breakup with Duke ensures Mensah’s name is known among voters. Miami should be favored in 11-of-12 games (sans at Notre Dame).