Thank you to Sabrina Ionescu and Betnijah Laney for getting us to 2-0 on Friday props.
Same team be damned, both went far over their point totals, which brings us to 35-25 on the season, 21-8 since Aug. 8 and 3-2 in the WNBA playoffs.
We continue with day three of the postseason, featuring a pair of Game 2s on Sunday. Here are the WNBA player props I'm betting for today's playoff doubleheader.
WNBA Player Props Today
| Lynx Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
+8.5 -104 | 157.5 -112 / -108 | +350 |
| Sun Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
-8.5 -118 | 157.5 -112 / -108 | -480 |
Kayla McBride Over 14.5 Points (-113)
Trap or Trend time.
Kayla McBride has scored 15 or more points in five consecutive games and in eight of her last 10, including a 16-point showing in Game 1 of this series.
McBride got to 16 points against this Sun defense on 6-of-14 shooting from the field, 2-of-9 from 3, and a pair of free throws, all to say, the over hit even on less than spectacular efficiency on about standard volume.
In fact, on this streak of five straight games of 15 or more points, she's only shot above 43% from the field — 45% — just once. She hasn't even hit over 47% from the field since Aug. 7.
In the eight of 10 games where she's hit over 14.5 points, half those games were 41% or worse shooting.
The point? As long as the volume is there, especially in a playoff setting where McBride will be entrusted with a meaningful share of the offense, her overs should be money more often than not, considering this current stretch.
| Sky Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
+18.5 -115 | 170.5 -113 / -113 | +350 |
| Aces Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
-18.5 -105 | 170.5 -113 / -113 | -480 |
Kahleah Copper 20+ Points (+106)
Copper's points over/under is actually 18.5, and the lean has been on the over given the -120 juice on DraftKings, and -125 on FanDuel. Other books are in the same neighborhood. In buying another point, you risk the bad beat at exactly 19.
Here's why I don't care. On one hand, Copper only got 15 last time out, but she hit 20 or more in four straight before that, including a 25-point effort in Indiana, where she netted the mark on less than 18 minutes played.
Copper shot just 5-for-14 from the field and recorded four fouls in Game 1 against the Aces, limiting her productivity. I'm betting on a bounce back performance, though, I doubt it'll be enough to topple the overwhelming Aces, but the Sky will need it to have a chance.
