Angels vs. Mariners Odds & Betting Predictions - April 5, 2023

Angels at Mariners

8:10 pm • MLB Network

Los Angeles Angels

0-0

4 - 3

Seattle Mariners

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Flexen			7.71	0-4
S.Ohtani			3.14	10-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Angels 0-0	-1.5+100	o7-125	-174
Mariners 0-0	+1.5-120	u7+105	+145

Wednesday 8:10 p.m.

April 05, 2023

T-Mobile ParkSeattle

Under 8.5+120

1.2u

C.Flexen o3.5 Ks-105

BetMGM: Flexen was limited to 66 pitches in his first start, but I expect them to stretch him out now that he will get a few starts for Robbie Ray while he recovers. He only struck out 1 in his first start, but his underlying metrics were very K friendly. Flexen was able to post a 21% swinging strike rate and all 4 of his pitches were able to get a 50%+ whiff rate. He should see his K% go up quite a bit going forward and the Angels are a team that K at a higher rate. Projecting this closer to -160

Over 7-115

#kennyducey @kennyducey

LAA -175

LAA -1.5+100

0.5u

LAA -1-135

2.7u

SEA +155

0.5u

Bet to +137

LAA -160

Under 7+100

Under 7+105

0.4u

Under 7+100

0.5u

Need +100 or better

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The Mariners are 61-11 (.847) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season -- 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .805.

The Angels are just 3-76 (.038) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season -- 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .046.

The Angels are just 35-49 (.417) on the road since the 2022 season -- tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .468.

The Mariners are 68-3 (.958) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season -- tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .881.

Eugenio Suarez had an OPS of just .443 with two strikes last season -- seventh worst in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Shohei Ohtani allowed an OPS of just .396 (396 PAs) with two strikes last season -- 12th best among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 91st Percentile.

Shohei Ohtani is slugging .750 (81 total bases in 108 ABs) with runners in scoring position since last season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .451 -- 100th Percentile.

Chris Flexen has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 82.2 MPH on changeups since the 2021 season (167 balls in play) -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 86.3

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 19% (259/1,333) against Chris Flexen since the 2021 season -- 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 26% -- fifth Percentile.

23 of Shohei Ohtani's breaking pitch strikeouts were backdoor in 2022 -- 2nd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan -- 97th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mariners are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Mariners' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 31 of Mariners' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	74-88	38-43	36-45	47-62	26-26
Angels	82-80	43-38	39-42	11-17	70-61

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mariners	76-76-10	31-45-5	45-31-5	50-55-4	25-21-6
Angels	74-80-8	37-40-4	37-40-4	10-17-1	62-62-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	85-77	49-32	36-45	62-47	23-29
Angels	63-99	32-49	31-50	9-19	54-77

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 5th	LAA	W 11-2	-1.5 W	O 7.5	SEA -178
Apr 4th	LAA	L 3-7	-1.5 L	O 7	LAA -140
Apr 2nd	CLE	L 5-6	-1.5 L	O 8	CLE -120
Apr 2nd	CLE	L 0-2	-1.5 L	U 7	CLE -140
Apr 1st	CLE	L 4-9	-1.5 L	O 8	CLE -168

Mike Trout
OF
Trout is out with knee
Out
Jo Adell
OF
Adell is out with oblique
Out
Jose Soriano
P
Soriano is out with shoulder
Out
Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Chase Silseth
P
Silseth is out with elbow
Out

Sam Haggerty
OF
Haggerty is out with achilles
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Ohtani, P	111	6	8	1
LM.Moore, P	14	0.2	1	1
RJ.Herget, P	26	1.1	0	1
LJ.Quijada, P	17	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Ward, LF	0-4	1	0	0
1B. Phillips, LF	0-0	0	0	0
2M.Trout, CF	1-3	0	0	1
3S.Ohtani, DH	1-2	0	0	1
3S.Ohtani, DH	1-2	0	0	1
4H.Renfroe, RF	0-3	0	0	0
5B.Drury, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
5B.Drury, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
6J. Lamb, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
6D. Fletcher, SS	0-0	0	0	0
7G.Urshela, 3B	2-4	2	0	0
8L.Rengifo, SS	0-4	0	0	0
8L.Rengifo, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
9L.O'Hoppe, C	1-4	1	1	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Flexen, P	91	5	4	2
RM.Brash, P	23	1	2	0
RD.Castillo, P	14	0.2	1	2
RA.Munoz, P	16	0.1	1	0
RP.Murfee, P	13	1	1	0
RT.Gott, P	13	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Rodriguez, CF	0-4	1	0
2T.France, 1B	1-3	1	1
3E.Suarez, 3B	2-4	0	2
4C.Raleigh, C	0-4	0	0
5T.Hernandez, RF	1-3	0	0
6K. Wong, 2B	0-3	0	0
7A. Pollock, DH	0-2	0	0
7C.Hummel, PH	0-1	0	0
7C.Hummel, DH	0-1	0	0
8J.Kelenic, LF	1-2	0	0
8S.Haggerty, PH	1-2	1	0
8S.Haggerty, LF	1-2	1	0
9J.Crawford, SS	2-4	0	0