Angels vs. Mariners Odds & Betting Predictions - April 5, 2023
Angels at Mariners
8:10 pm • MLB NetworkStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | 7.71 | 0-4 | |
 |  | 3.14 | 10-5 |
Angels at Mariners Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Angels 3-5 | N/A | N/A | N/A | |
Mariners 4-4 | N/A | N/A | N/A | |
T-Mobile ParkSeattle
Angels vs. Mariners Expert Picks
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 79-69-0 (+9.9u)
Under 8.5+120
1.2u
Anders
Last 30d: 14-17-0 (-2.5u)
SEA +1.5-115
1u
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 42-38-0 (+3.2u)
C.Flexen o3.5 Ks-105
1u
BetMGM: Flexen was limited to 66 pitches in his first start, but I expect them to stretch him out now that he will get a few starts for Robbie Ray while he recovers. He only struck out 1 in his first start, but his underlying metrics were very K friendly. Flexen was able to post a 21% swinging strike rate and all 4 of his pitches were able to get a 50%+ whiff rate. He should see his K% go up quite a bit going forward and the Angels are a team that K at a higher rate. Projecting this closer to -160
Matt Trollo
Last 30d: 10-8-2 (+1.6u)
SEA +148
1u
SEA massive pen edge - better LU top to bottom (no Rendon)
Kenny Ducey
Last 30d: 1-2-0 (-1.3u)
Over 7-123
1.23u
Derek Farnsworth
Last 30d: 0-2-0 (-2.6u)
LAA -175
1u
LAA -1.5+100
0.5u
Greg DiNardo
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
SEA +1.5-120
1u
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 40-38-2 (-16.4u)
LAA -1-135
2.7u
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 88-96-0 (+2.6u)
LAA -175
$0.57
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 130-123-3 (+3.2u)
SEA +155
0.5u
Bet to +137
Doug Ziefel
Last 30d: 199-264-16 (-11.5u)
SEA +135
0.5u
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 79-69-0 (+9.9u)
Under 7+100
1u
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 130-123-3 (+3.2u)
Under 7+100
0.5u
Need +100 or better
Angels vs. Mariners Previews & Analysis
Angels vs. Mariners Notes
Keys to the Game
The Mariners are 61-11 (.847) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season -- 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .805.
The Angels are just 3-76 (.038) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season -- 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .046.
The Angels are just 35-49 (.417) on the road since the 2022 season -- tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Mariners are 68-3 (.958) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season -- tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .881.
Matchup Contrasts
Eugenio Suarez had an OPS of just .443 with two strikes last season -- seventh worst in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Shohei Ohtani allowed an OPS of just .396 (396 PAs) with two strikes last season -- 12th best among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 91st Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Shohei Ohtani is slugging .750 (81 total bases in 108 ABs) with runners in scoring position since last season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .451 -- 100th Percentile.
Chris Flexen has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 82.2 MPH on changeups since the 2021 season (167 balls in play) -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 86.3
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 19% (259/1,333) against Chris Flexen since the 2021 season -- 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 26% -- fifth Percentile.
23 of Shohei Ohtani's breaking pitch strikeouts were backdoor in 2022 -- 2nd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan -- 97th Percentile.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Angels vs. Mariners Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Mariners are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Mariners are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Mariners are 1-0 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mariners' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Mariners' 7 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Mariners vs. Angels Injury Updates
Mariners Injuries
- J.P. CrawfordSS
Crawford is out with shoulder
Out
- Miles Mastrobuoni3B
Mastrobuoni is out with calf
Out
- Bryce MillerSP
Miller is out with oblique
Out
Angels Injuries
- Anthony Rendon3B
Rendon is out with hip
Out
- Grayson RodriguezSP
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out
- Alek ManoahSP
Manoah is out with finger
Out
- Vaughn Grissom2B
Grissom is out with wrist
Out
Angels vs. Mariners Box Score
Angels Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 111 | 6 | 8 | 1 | |
 | 14 | 0.2 | 1 | 1 | |
 | 26 | 1.1 | 0 | 1 | |
 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Mariners Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 91 | 5 | 4 | 2 | |
 | 23 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
 | 14 | 0.2 | 1 | 2 | |
 | 16 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | |
 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 0-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Angels vs. Mariners Odds Comparison
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Angels at Mariners Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Angels 3-5 | N/A | N/A |
Mariners 4-4 | N/A | N/A |