Astros vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - August 8, 2023

Astros at Orioles

11:05 pm • TBS

Houston Astros

5-2

7 - 6

Baltimore Orioles

3-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
G.Rodriguez			4.35	7-4
F.Valdez			3.46	12-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Astros 5-2	N/A	N/A	N/A
Orioles 3-3	N/A	N/A	N/A

Tuesday 11:05 p.m.

August 08, 2023

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

Y.Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases+125

$50.00

Over 0.5+105

HOU Astros @ BAL Orioles

$42.00

Over 1.5-130

HOU Astros @ BAL Orioles

$5.38

HOU o4.5+106

0.53u

BAL +110 (F5)

0.28u

BAL +110

0.25u

BAL +105

Y.Alvarez o0.5 HR+400

0.15u

Y.Alvarez o0.5 Runs Scored+105

0.42u

Y.Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases+125

0.5u

Wrote up a big Yordan day in my preview and Best Bets article

Over 8-110

0.5u

HOU -130

BAL +110

$1.00

BAL +116

0.5u

Bet to +105

BAL +112 (F5)

0.56u

Bet to +111

BAL +116

1.5u

Rodrigues 4.04 SIERA/.290 xwOBA L30 days (better than his first run), Valdez 3.43 SIERA/3.86 xERA season - O's 109 wRC+ v LHP, HOU 99 v RHP - O's 3rd best estimators MLB pens L30 days, HOU dead last (FIP/xFIP > 5)

Featured Insight
The Astros have scored first in 56% of their games this season -- tied for fourth-highest in MLB. The Orioles have allowed their opponents to score first in 55% of their games this season -- fifth-highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Orioles Right Handed Hitters have struck out 24% against LHP since last season -- tied for fourth-highest in MLB. AstrosRPs have a strikeout rate of 29% vs right-handed batters since last season -- highest in MLB.

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The Astros are 16-8 (.667) after a road loss this season -- tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .461.

Adam Frazier has an OPS of just .658 since last season -- sixth worst in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Framber Valdez has allowed an OPS of just .609 (1,370 PAs) since last season -- 12th best among starting pitchers with at least 108 total IP-- 93rd Percentile.

Anthony Santander is slugging .487 on breaking pitches since last season -- 13th best in MLB-- 89th Percentile. Bryan Abreu has thrown a breaking pitch 57% of the time since last season -- 12th highest among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Opponents had a chase percentage of just 15% (8/54) against Eduardo Rodriguez in late innings in 2022 -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% -- first Percentile.

Framber Valdez has thrown inside pitches 50% of the time (264/529) with two-strikes this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Orioles' 6 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	2-4	2-4	N/A	2-3	0-1
Astros	5-2	5-2	N/A	3-2	2-0

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	3-3	3-3	N/A	2-3	1-0
Astros	5-2	5-2	N/A	3-2	2-0

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	3-3	3-3	N/A	3-2	0-1
Astros	5-2	5-2	N/A	3-2	2-0

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 6th	NYM	W 2-0	-	-	-
Aug 5th	NYM	W 7-3	-	-	-
Aug 4th	NYM	W 10-3	-	-	-
Aug 3rd	@TOR	W 6-1	-	-	-
Aug 2nd	@TOR	L 1-4	-	-	-

Heston Kjerstad
LF
Kjerstad is out with hamstring
Out
Jordan Westburg
3B
Westburg is out with elbow
Out
Jackson Holliday
2B
Holliday is out with hand
Out

Zach Dezenzo
LF
Dezenzo is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LF.Valdez, P	93	7	3	6
RR.Stanek, P	9	1	1	0
RR.Pressly, P	13	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	1-4	2	0	0
2A.Bregman, 3B	2-5	1	0	0
3Y.Alvarez, LF	1-4	1	0	0
4K.Tucker, RF	2-4	2	1	5
5Y.Diaz, DH	0-3	0	0	1
5Y.Diaz, C	0-3	0	0	1
6J.Abreu, 1B	0-5	0	0	0
7J.Pena, SS	3-4	0	0	1
8J.Meyers, CF	1-4	0	0	0
9M.Maldonado, C	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Singleton, PH	0-0	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Rodriguez, P	93	6	4	2
RM.Baumann, P	14	1	1	1
RY.Cano, P	18	1	1	0
RF.Bautista, P	30	0.2	2	4
J.Krehbiel, P	1	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Rutschman, DH	1-3	2	1	2
2R.Mountcastle, 1B	1-4	1	1	2
3A.Santander, RF	0-3	0	0	0
3R.McKenna, RF	0-0	0	0	0
4A.Hays, LF	0-4	0	0	0
5G.Henderson, SS	1-4	0	0	0
6J.Westburg, 2B	2-4	1	0	0
6J.Westburg, 3B	2-4	1	0	0
7R.Urias, 3B	1-3	1	0	0
7A.Frazier, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
8J.McCann, C	1-2	1	0	2
8R.O'Hearn, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9J.Mateo, CF	1-3	0	0	0