Athletics vs. Royals Odds & Betting Predictions - May 6, 2023

Athletics at Royals

12:10 am • BSKC

Athletics

0-0

12 - 8

Kansas City Royals

3-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Keller			4.57	3-4
K.Muller			7.60	1-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Athletics 0-0	+1.5-160	o10-105	+120
Royals 3-3	-1.5+134	u10-115	-142

Saturday 12:10 a.m.

May 06, 2023

Kauffman StadiumKansas City

S.Perez o0.5 HR+360

0.1u

S.Perez o0.5 RBI+120

0.5u

Rotogrinders weather projection: +15.2% HR +12.7% Runs Sal Perez is hitting cleanup and is very live for a HR. Last year slugged .509 (5 HR, 10 2Bs) and this year has 3 RBI in 27 ABs vs LHP

K.Muller u3.5 Ks+112

1.12u

Available at FanDuel. I have Muller projected for 3.45 strikeouts, meaning it's basically a coin flip whether he goes over or under this number. Thus, the plus odds are attractive. Across six starts, Muller has had four strikeouts just once, though he has had exactly three in all of the others. He's facing a Royals team that has been trash to open the year, but they have been better against lefties than righties. They also haven't struck out a ton against lefties. I think we can trust what we've seen so far and buy into Muller's being a low-strikeout pitcher.

KC -138 (F5)

0.69u

Bet to -140

Over 9-110

0.5u

Bet to -115

Over 9-110

Project 10.1; Imagine an Over in every game of this series with these pens. A’s bullpen ERA over 7, Royals over 5

Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Friday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
May 5, 2023 UTC

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The Royals are just 2-4 (.333) when they've hit 2 or more home runs this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.

The Athletics are just 5-5 (.500) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .738.

The Royals are just 11-13 (.458) when favorites since last season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .604.

Matt Duffy is batting .349 this season -- eighth best among hitters with at least 45 total PA's-- 97th Percentile. Right handed batters are hitting .327 (34-for-104) against Kyle Muller this season -- 14th worst among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP-- 11th Percentile.

43% of Ryan Noda strikeouts were looking over the last 30 days -- tied for 11th highest in MLB-- 94th Percentile. 39% of Brad Keller strikeouts were looking over the last 30 days -- seventh highest among qualified SPs-- 93rd Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Royals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Royals are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Royals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Royals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	87-75	43-38	44-37	40-38	46-37
Athletics	86-76	44-37	42-39	9-12	76-64

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Royals	69-88-5	38-42-1	31-46-4	32-46	36-42-5
Athletics	78-83-1	39-42	39-41-1	10-11	68-71-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	86-76	45-36	41-40	49-29	36-47
Athletics	69-93	38-43	31-50	13-8	55-85

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 4th	BAL	L 10-13	+1.5 L	O 9.5	BAL +150
May 3rd	BAL	W 6-0	+1.5 W	U 9	KC +130
May 2nd	BAL	L 7-11	+1.5 L	O 8.5	BAL +158
Apr 30th	@MIN	L 4-8	+1.5 L	O 7.5	MIN +185
Apr 29th	@MIN	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	KC +199

Kyle Wright
P
Wright is out for season with shoulder
Out for Season

Miguel Andujar
OF
Andujar is out with abdominal
Out
Luis Medina
P
Medina is out with elbow
Out
Esteury Ruiz
OF
Ruiz is out with wrist
Out
Ken Waldichuk
P
Waldichuk is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LK.Muller, P	94	5.1	1	5
RS. Patton, P	9	0.2	0	0
RS.Fujinami, P	19	0.1	0	3
RA.Pruitt, P	10	0.2	0	0
LS.Moll, P	10	1	0	0
RZ. Jackson, P	22	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1E.Ruiz, CF	3-6	3	0	0
2R.Noda, 1B	3-4	3	0	3
3B.Rooker, DH	3-5	2	1	3
4R.Laureano, RF	1-6	1	1	1
5J.Bleday, LF	2-3	1	0	0
5J. Aguilar, PH	0-0	0	0	0
5J.Diaz, PR	0-0	0	0	0
5J.Diaz, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
6S.Langeliers, C	1-3	0	0	1
7T. Kemp, 2B	3-4	1	0	1
7T. Kemp, LF	3-4	1	0	1
8J. Peterson, 3B	0-5	0	0	0
9N.Allen, SS	1-5	1	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Keller, P	95	4.1	1	6
RJ.Heasley, P	38	2.2	1	2
LJ.Taylor, P	32	1	1	2
RC.Hernandez, P	26	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Melendez, RF	1-5	0	0	0
2E.Olivares, LF	1-4	1	0	0
3V.Pasquantino, DH	1-3	1	0	1
4S.Perez, C	1-5	1	0	0
5N.Pratto, 1B	2-4	3	1	2
6M.Duffy, 2B	1-3	1	0	1
7H. Dozier, 3B	2-2	0	0	2
8J. Bradley, CF	0-4	0	0	1
9M.Garcia, SS	1-3	1	0	1