Blue Jays vs. Yankees Odds & Betting Predictions - April 21, 2023

Blue Jays at Yankees

11:05 pm • Apple TV+

Toronto Blue Jays

13-15

6 - 1

New York Yankees

17-12

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.German			4.56	5-7
Y.Kikuchi			3.87	11-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Blue Jays 13-15	+1.5-181	o8.5-106	+115
Yankees 17-12	-1.5+150	u8.5-115	-137

Friday 11:05 p.m.

April 21, 2023

Yankee StadiumBronx

Y.Kikuchi u5.5 Ks-115

Yankees will have 8 RHB in tonight’s lineup which will ding Kikuchi’s K rate as well as being on the road. Home plate ump Adrian Johnson tends to squeeze pitchers too. Projecting closer to -170

NYY -130

2.6u

NYY -138

1.38u

Under 4.5 (F5)-120

0.83u

Under 8.5-104

Over 4.5 (F5)-115

TOR o4+100

NYY -134

Available at FanDuel. I've got the Yankees at 65.7% versus 57.3% implied, I'm guessing in large part because I'm skeptical that Yusei Kikuchi has fully cured his issues from last year. His SIERA is low, but he's still letting up a 48.8% hard-hit rate and 44.2% fly-ball rate. Against this lineup in this park, that's rough. Domingo German, on the other hand, has good underlying data -- though there is some concern that his last start may have been aided by a sticky substance on his hands that he was forced to wash off. I'm fine being above market on the Yankees in this spot.

D.LeMahieu o1.5 Total Bases+136

0.5u

LeMahieu .455 OBP lifetime v Kikuchi

NYY -135

1.35u

Under 9-105

0.5u

Bet to 8.5 (-102)

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The Blue Jays are 16-15 (.516) when underdogs since the 2022 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .397.

The Yankees are 20-25 (.444) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .196.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Yankees are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Yankees are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Yankees are 5-9 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Yankees' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 8 of Yankees' 15 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	15-14	10-5	5-9	14-10	1-4
Blue Jays	17-11	8-5	9-6	6-3	11-7

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Yankees	13-14-2	8-7	5-7-2	11-12-1	2-2-1
Blue Jays	10-18	7-6	3-12	3-6	6-12

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	17-12	10-5	7-7	16-8	1-4
Blue Jays	13-15	8-5	5-10	6-3	7-11

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 20th	LAA	W 9-3	-1.5 W	O 8.5	NYY -159
Apr 19th	LAA	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 9	NYY -139
Apr 18th	LAA	L 2-5	-1.5 L	U 9.5	LAA -158
Apr 16th	MIN	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 7	NYY -167
Apr 15th	MIN	W 6-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	NYY -145

Alek Manoah
SP
Manoah is out with elbow
Out

Gerrit Cole
SP
Cole is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
DJ LeMahieu
3B
LeMahieu is out with calf
Out
Giancarlo Stanton
DH
Stanton is out with elbow
Out
Luis Gil
SP
Gil is out with back
Out
JT Brubaker
SP
Brubaker is out with ribs
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LY.Kikuchi, P	90	6	3	1
RE.Swanson, P	10	1	1	0
RT.Richards, P	17	1	2	0
RY.Garcia, P	9	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Springer, RF	1-5	1	0	0
2B.Bichette, SS	1-4	1	0	0
3V.Guerrero, DH	2-4	2	1	2
4M.Chapman, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
5D.Varsho, LF	0-4	1	0	0
6B. Belt, 1B	2-4	1	1	4
7D.Jansen, C	1-3	0	0	0
8C.Biggio, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
9K.Kiermaier, CF	1-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.German, P	91	6	6	4
RA. Abreu, P	44	2	4	2
RG.Weissert, P	19	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Volpe, SS	1-4	0	0	0
2A.Judge, RF	1-4	0	0	0
3A.Rizzo, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
4G.Torres, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
5D.LeMahieu, DH	0-3	0	0	0
6O.Peraza, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
7O.Cabrera, LF	1-3	1	1	1
8K.Higashioka, C	1-3	0	0	0
9I.Kiner-Falefa, CF	1-2	0	0	0