Braves vs. Mariners Odds & Betting Predictions - May 1, 2024

Braves at Mariners

1:40 am • BSSO

Atlanta Braves

63-77

2 - 3

Seattle Mariners

73-67

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Castillo			3.64	11-12
R.Lopez			1.99	8-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 63-77	-1.5+142	o7+105	-125
Mariners 73-67	+1.5-170	u7-125	+105

Wednesday 1:40 a.m.

May 01, 2024

T-Mobile ParkSeattle

SEA +105

1.05u

ATL -126

0.63u

L.Castillo u6.5 Ks+100

0.5u

SEA +100 (F5)

0.5u

Need +100 or better

Featured Insight
Braves RPs have a strikeout rate of 26% since the 2022 season -- tied for second highest in MLB. Mariners have struck out 25% since the 2022 season -- second highest in MLB.

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The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .424.

The Braves are 17-53 (.243) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .101.

The Mariners are 73-14 (.839) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .786.

The Mariners are 28-4 (.875) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .792.

36% of Ronald Acuna strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- tied for 12th highest in MLB-- 94th Percentile. 45% of Luis Castillo's strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- 10th highest among qualified SPs-- 89th Percentile.

Ronald Acuna is batting .319 on fastballs since last season -- 14th best in MLB-- 89th Percentile. Luis Castillo has thrown fastballs 62% of the time since last season -- highest among qualified SPs-- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mariners are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Mariners are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mariners are 26-46 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Mariners' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 34 of Mariners' 68 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	55-85	29-39	26-46	32-64	22-19
Braves	60-79	27-39	33-40	37-54	22-25

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mariners	75-59-6	34-29-5	41-30-1	47-43-6	26-15
Braves	62-69-8	27-36-3	35-33-5	40-47-4	21-22-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	73-67	41-27	32-40	51-45	20-21
Braves	63-77	33-33	29-44	47-44	14-33

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 30th	ATL	W 2-1	+1.5 W	U 7	SEA +135
Apr 28th	ARI	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 6.5	ARI -141
Apr 28th	ARI	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 7	SEA -155
Apr 27th	ARI	W 6-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	SEA +110
Apr 25th	@TEX	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 9	SEA -118

Joe Jimenez
RP
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Austin Riley
3B
Riley is out with abdominal
Out
Austin Cox
RP
Cox is out with knee
Out
AJ Smith-Shawver
SP
Smith-Shawver is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Lopez, P	88	5	7	3
RJ.Chavez, P	27	2	3	0
LA.Bummer, P	14	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	0-4	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	2-4	0	1
3A.Riley, 3B	1-4	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	0-2	0	0
5M.Ozuna, DH	1-4	0	0
6O.Arcia, SS	0-4	0	0
7M.Harris, CF	1-4	0	0
8T.d'Arnaud, C	1-4	1	0
9J.Kelenic, LF	1-4	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Castillo, P	103	7	7	0
RR.Stanek, P	13	0.1	0	2
RA.Munoz, P	27	1.2	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Rojas, 3B	1-1	1	0	0
2J.Rodriguez, CF	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Polanco, 2B	1-4	1	1	2
4M.Garver, DH	0-4	0	0	0
5C.Raleigh, C	1-4	0	0	0
6M.Haniger, RF	1-4	1	0	0
7T.France, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
8L.Raley, LF	1-3	0	0	0
9D.Moore, SS	1-3	0	0	1