Diamondbacks vs. Mariners Odds & Betting Predictions - April 27, 2024

Diamondbacks at Mariners

1:40 am • ARID

Arizona Diamondbacks

43-43

1 - 6

Seattle Mariners

45-41

pitcher		team	era	w-l
E.Hancock			4.75	4-4
Z.Gallen			3.65	14-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Diamondbacks 43-43	-1.5	-1.5+130	o7.5-102	-130
Mariners 45-41	u7	+1.5-155	u7.5-118	+110

Saturday 1:40 a.m.

April 27, 2024

T-Mobile ParkSeattle

SEA +105

1.05u

Under 7.5-115

0.5u

Z.Gallen o7.5 Ks+120

0.5u

E.Hancock u4.5 Ks-136

0.5u

Z.Gallen u7.5 Ks-140

Tweeted earlier: Gallen is under in 4/5 this season, and he only had a 22% K% on the road last year (under in 14/18 road starts). SEA is K prone, but their bats have also heated up of late. Over the L2 weeks, they’re at a 128 wRC+ vs righties (leads MLB), and a 26% K%. But they are driving pitch counts up (12.5% walk rate is also the highest). Even giving Gallen a generous 29% K%, I’d have him at about 6.9 Ks.

SEA +123

0.62u

Bet to +114

Over 7.5+101

0.5u

Bet to -115

Featured Insight
Diamondbacks hitters have a groundball rate of 48% this season -- second highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Mariners this season -- second lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Mariners hitters have a hard-hit rate of 45% over the last week -- fifth best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 48% against the Diamondbacks RPs over the last week -- fourth worst in MLB.

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The Mariners are 68-14 (.829) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season -- tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .783.

The Diamondbacks are 73-18 (.802) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season -- tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .733.

Eugenio Suarez struck out in 31% of PA's in the 2022 season -- third highest in MLB-- second Percentile. Andres Munoz had a strikeout rate of 39% in the 2022 season -- fourth highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mariners are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Mariners are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mariners are 18-26 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Mariners' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 22 of Mariners' 42 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	35-51	17-25	18-26	18-36	16-13
Diamondbacks	42-43	20-24	22-19	25-33	17-10

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mariners	47-35-4	22-17-3	25-18-1	30-20-4	15-14
Diamondbacks	45-37-3	22-19-3	23-18	32-23-3	13-14

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	45-41	22-20	23-21	29-25	14-15
Diamondbacks	43-43	22-22	21-20	30-28	13-14

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 25th	@TEX	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 9	SEA -118
Apr 25th	@TEX	L 1-5	+1.5 L	U 9	TEX +124
Apr 24th	@TEX	W 4-0	-1.5 W	U 9	SEA -118
Apr 22nd	@COL	W 10-2	-1.5 W	O 11	SEA -120
Apr 21st	@COL	L 1-2	-1.5 L	U 10.5	COL -191

Victor Robles
RF
Robles is out with shoulder
Out

Anthony DeSclafani
SP
DeSclafani is out with arm
Out
Josh Naylor
1B
Josh Naylor has been scratched Tuesday.
Out
Jordan Montgomery
SP
Montgomery is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
John Curtiss
RP
Curtiss is out with elbow
Out
Corbin Carroll
RF
Carroll is out with wrist
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RZ.Gallen, P	64	5	3	3
RS.McGough, P	22	1	0	3
RJ.Martinez, P	29	2	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Marte, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
2J.Pederson, DH	0-1	0	0	0
3L.Gurriel, LF	0-4	0	0	0
4C.Walker, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
5E.Suarez, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
6G.Moreno, C	0-3	0	0	0
7C.Carroll, CF	0-3	0	0	0
8K.Newman, SS	1-3	1	1	1
9P.Smith, RF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RE.Hancock, P	83	6	4	1
RT.Thornton, P	11	1	2	0
RC.Bolton, P	33	2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Rojas, 3B	1-3	2	1	1
2J.Rodriguez, CF	2-4	1	0	0
3C.Raleigh, C	0-3	1	0	0
4M.Haniger, RF	1-4	1	1	4
5J.Polanco, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
6T.France, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
7M.Garver, DH	1-3	1	1	1
8L.Raley, LF	0-3	0	0	0
9D.Moore, SS	0-3	0	0	0