Braves vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - May 4, 2023

Braves at Marlins

8:10 pm • MLB Network

Atlanta Braves

5-2

6 - 3

Miami Marlins

5-1

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Luzardo			3.63	10-9
D.Dodd			7.60	2-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 5-2	N/A	N/A	N/A
Marlins 5-1	N/A	N/A	N/A

Thursday 8:10 p.m.

May 04, 2023

loanDepot parkMiami

MIA -112

MIA -110 (F5)

2.2u

Over 8.5-115

4.97 SIERA Dodd's only estimator below five through 2 starts, Luzardo 3.48 ERA, but estimators averaging just below four - MIA 114 wRC+ v LHP, ATL 139 - Def combined -13 Runs Prevented (both bottom 1/3 of league) - MIA pen 2nd worst estimators in MLB L30 days (better only than OAK)

MIA -110

1.1u

ATL +100 (F5)

0.5u

ATL -103

0.97u

MIA -107

0.4u

MIA -110

1.1u

MIA -112 (F5)

0.56u

Bet to -115

ATL -110

0.5u

MIA -120 (F5)

1.2u

Under 4.5 (F5)-113

1.2u

-102

MIA +135

1.1u

ATL -140

0.5u

Fried allowed a single earned run in 11 IP v Fish in 2022. Allowed single earned run in 20 IP through 2023

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The Braves are 88-10 (.898) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .803.

The Marlins are just 66-10 (.868) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .912.

The Braves are 120-65 (.649) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .534.

Ronald Acuna is slugging 1.000 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season -- second best in MLB-- 99th Percentile. 99% of Jesus Luzardo fastballs are 95+ MPH this season -- third highest among qualified SPs-- 97th Percentile.

Ronald Acuna is batting .591 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season -- best in MLB-- 100th Percentile. 99% of Jesus Luzardo fastballs are 95+ MPH this season -- third highest among qualified SPs-- 97th Percentile.

Jesus Luzardo has allowed an OBP of .576 (33 PA's) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .312 -- first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 12% (9/73) against Jesus Luzardo this season -- 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% -- 98th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Marlins' 6 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	2-4	2-4	N/A	2-4	N/A
Braves	5-2	4-2	1-0	5-2	N/A

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	3-3	3-3	N/A	3-3	N/A
Braves	1-6	0-6	1-0	1-6	N/A

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	5-1	5-1	N/A	5-1	N/A
Braves	5-2	4-2	1-0	5-2	N/A

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 3rd	ATL	L 6-14	-	-	-
May 2nd	ATL	L 0-6	-	-	-
Apr 30th	CHC	W 4-3	-	-	-
Apr 29th	CHC	W 7-6	-	-	-
Apr 28th	CHC	W 3-2	-	-	-

Esteury Ruiz
LF
Ruiz is out with oblique
Out
Kyle Stowers
LF
Stowers is out with hamstring
Out
Maximo Acosta
SS
Acosta is out with oblique
Out
Christopher Morel
LF
Christopher Morel (left oblique) scratched Friday.
Out
Adam Mazur
SP
Mazur is out with elbow
Out

Joey Wentz
RP
Wentz is out with knee
Out
Sean Murphy
C
Murphy is out with hip
Out
Ha-Seong Kim
SS
Kim is out with finger
Out
Spencer Strider
SP
Strider is out with oblique
Out
Spencer Schwellenbach
SP
Schwellenbach is out with elbow
Out
AJ Smith-Shawver
SP
Smith-Shawver is out with elbow
Out
Hurston Waldrep
SP
Waldrep is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LD.Dodd, P	85	6	1	3
RM.Tonkin, P	11	1	0	0
RN.Anderson, P	12	1	0	0
LA.Minter, P	18	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	1-3	1	0	1
1S.Hilliard, CF	0-1	0	0	0
2M.Olson, 1B	1-5	1	1	1
3A.Riley, 3B	2-4	1	0	0
4S.Murphy, C	1-4	0	0	1
5O.Albies, 2B	3-5	0	0	0
6V.Grissom, SS	0-4	0	0	1
7M.Ozuna, DH	1-4	2	1	1
8E.Rosario, LF	2-4	1	0	0
9K.Pillar, CF	1-3	0	0	1
9K.Pillar, RF	1-3	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Luzardo, P	106	5.2	5	3
RH.Brazoban, P	31	1.1	4	0
RD.Floro, P	13	1	1	0
LA.Puk, P	20	0.2	1	2
LS.Okert, P	3	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Berti, SS	3-5	1	0	0
2J.Soler, DH	3-5	1	1	3
3L.Arraez, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
4Y.Gurriel, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5J. Segura, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
6G.Hampson, RF	0-3	0	0	0
6J.Chisholm, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6J.Chisholm, CF	0-1	0	0	0
7N.Fortes, C	1-4	0	0	0
8B.De La Cruz, LF	1-4	0	0	0
9P.Burdick, CF	0-2	1	0	0
9P.Burdick, RF	0-2	1	0	0